We have analysed some Man City vs Man Utd HT/FT betting markets ahead of the Manchester derby in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon. Both booked a place in the FA Cup quarter-finals this week, as City demolished Luton Town 6-2 with Erling Haaland scoring five, while a late Casemiro winner ensured United won 1-0 at Nottingham Forest.
However, it is back to league action on the weekend for both, as City look to continue the pressure on Liverpool and Arsenal in the title race, while United aim to avenge their 2-1 defeat at home to Fulham last time out.
Man City vs Man Utd HT/FT betting: Key trends and selected markets
To lead HT/FT
In the last 10 league meetings, City have been leading at HT four times, United three and there being three draws. FT results have seen City go on to win five games, United four and there being one stalemate.
The most common combination in these matches has been City leading at both HT and FT, which has happened on four occasions, and has the shortest odds with betting markets. United leading at HT and FT has occurred three times, but is rated unlikely by bookmakers, while a draw at HT followed by a City win has happened once, and is rated as the second-most likely outcome:
- City/City – 10/11
- Draw/City – 18/5
- United/United – 20/1
Correct score HT
In the last 10 league meetings, the most common scoreline at HT has been 0-0, which has happened three times. The second-most common, perhaps surprisingly considering the gulf between the two sides in terms of trophies won over the last decade, is United leading 1-0. Bookmakers have 1-0 City as the most likely outcome, even though it has only occurred once, albeit in the reverse fixture at Old Trafford earlier this season:
- City 1-0 United – 27/10
- City 0-0 United – 17/5
- City 0-1 United – 10/1
Correct score FT
In the last 10 league meetings, the most common result has been a 2-0 City win, which has happened three times. The next most common are actually United victories by 2-0 and 2-1 scorelines, but they are rated as highly unlikely by betting markets this time around:
- City 2-0 United – 8/1
- City 1-2 United – 33/1
- City 0-2 United – 80/1
Highest scoring half
In the last 10 league meetings, there have been 15 first-half goals scored, and 14 in the second half. On three occasions, there have been more goals scored in the first half than second, and four times there have been more second-half strikes, with three games seeing the same number scored in both halves:
- Second half – 1/1
- First half – 21/10
- Draw – 16/5
Total goals exact 1st half
In the last 10 league meetings, there have been a total of zero and one goal scored before HT three times each – the most common. However, two goals scored by HT is rated as the second-most likely outcome with bookmakers, despite it only occurring twice:
- 1 – 15/8
- 2 – 5/2
- 0 – 10/3
Total goals exact 2nd half
In the last 10 league meetings, one and two goals to be scored in the second half is the most common outcome, happening on three occasions. The second-most common has been zero goals, which has occurred twice:
- 2 – 12/5
- 1 – 5/2
- 0 – 6/1
Total goals exact
In the last 10 league meetings, there have been 29 total goals scored, with two goals in one game the most common – happening four times. The next most-common is three goals in one match, occurring three times, while four goals is rated as the second-most likely outcome with betting markets:
- 3 – 10/3
- 4 – 7/2
- 2 – 4/1
