Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca will meet in the last round of this La Liga season on Saturday, 24 May.
Will the hosts get the win they need to secure European football next season or will Mallorca spoil their plans?
Find that out and more from our Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca prediction and preview, but remember to check out some of our other La Liga betting tips as well.
Contents
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca predictions: A close contest in Madrid
Key stats
- Mallorca go into this game with four losses in the last five league matches.
- Rayo Vallecano have gone over 2.5 total goals in their last two games and they've averaged 2.78 total goals per game in the league this season.
- Mallorca enter this game after going over 2.5 total goals in the last three matches in a row.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca
While these two teams have been close this entire season and are only four points apart at this time, Mallorca have been in poor form recently, while Rayo Vallecano have done well.
So, even with Mallorca having the advantage in their recent H2H meetings, we would still back the hosts to win this match, especially since Mallorca can't move enough to get European football next season, but Vallecano can lose it if they lose this match.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Rayo Vallecano the clear favourites
- HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.50%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.60%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.40%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the expected winners according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca odds and we are not surprised to see this considering the performances by both teams in the last few weeks.
For more of the best picks, today’s betting tips look at the action in Europe and beyond.
Most recent H2Hs: Mallorca have the edge
With five wins over Rayo Vallecano in their last six meetings, it's clear that Mallorca have been the better team lately. In fact, they also have the advantage when it comes to the overall H2H record between them: 26-12-15.
Spain La Liga 11/02/24
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 30/09/23
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 04/06/23
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 27/08/22
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 15/05/22
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano preview: Hoping for an important win to end the season
It's been a very good season for Rayo Vallecano and their good form lately gives them a chance to clinch their place in Europe for next season. Heading into the last round, a win would secure them a place in the Conference League and could even get them into the Europa League, based on other results.
Oscar Valentin will miss this game to serve a suspension, while Jonathan Montiel, Sergio Camello, and Abdul Mumin are on the team's injury list.
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Balliu, Lejeune, Ciss, Pacha, Ratiu, Lopez, Gumbau, De Frutos, Palazon & Embarba
Spain La Liga 09/05/25
W Las Palmas 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 02/05/25
W Getafe 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Atletico Madrid 3 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1
Mallorca preview: No hope for Europe left
After losing four of their last six matches in the league, Mallorca have lost all chances to secure European football for next season. Still, they are bound for a mid-table finish, which is not a bad result for them overall.
Meanwhile, Chiquinho, Takuma Asano, Pablo Maffeo and Abdon Prats are out with injuries at the moment.
Predicted lineup: Greif (GK), Bauza, Valjent, Raillo, Mojica, Mascarell, Costa, Larin, Darder, Rodriguez & Muriqi
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Valladolid 1 Mallorca 2 Spain La Liga 05/05/25
L Girona 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 22/04/25
L Barcelona 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Leganes 0 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 12/04/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Mallorca 2
Player to watch: Jorge de Frutos
Rayo Vallecano haven't been that prolific on the offensive end with 41 goals in 37 games, so they have no players with a lot of goal contributions. That being said, de Frutos is certainly the player to watch in this team.

With six goals and three assists in La Liga this season, the winger has been the team's most effective player up front and he will hope to lead the way for Rayo Vallecano as they look to secure their place in Europe for next season.