Hoffenheim will host Mainz in the next round of the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 12 April.
Will the guests get the points to keep them in the race for a spot in the Champions League next season, or will Hoffenheim spoil their plans? Find that out and more from our Hoffenheim vs Mainz prediction and preview.
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Hoffenheim vs Mainz prediction: Guests to get the win
Key Stats
- Hoffenheim have just three wins in 14 home games in the Bundesliga this season.
- Mainz have only lost once in their last eight games in the league.
- Hoffenheim have averaged 3.57 total goals per game at home this season, while Mainz have averaged 3.29 total goals per game away from home.
Correct score prediction: Hoffenheim 1-3 Mainz
With the recent forms of both teams in mind, it's clear that Mainz have the advantage. They've also done better in recent H2H duels with Hoffenheim and will have a strong motive in this one since they're fighting for a spot in the Champions League, so it all points to Mainz winning this match.
Pre-game odds and win probability: No clear favourites in this game
- HOME: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.40%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.60%
- AWAY: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.70%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Hoffenheim vs Mainz odds that the bookies expect a close game. That being said, the guests are the expected winners by a very slim margin.
Considering that Mainz are 19 points ahead of Hoffenheim, it's understandable that they're slightly favoured to win this match.
Check out more of our latest football predictions on our tip-packed page.
Most recent H2Hs: Mainz have the better record
With three wins in their last five duels with Hoffenheim, along with a couple of draws, Mainz have clearly been the better team lately. Things are certainly closer when it comes to the overall H2H record between these teams: 15-10-11 in favour of Mainz.
Germany Bundesliga I 01/12/24
Mainz
TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 13/04/24
Mainz
TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 26/11/23
TSG Hoffenheim
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 04/03/23
Mainz
TSG Hoffenheim
Europe Friendlies 14/01/23
Mainz
TSG Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim preview: Still in danger of relegation
While Hoffenheim are currently 14th in the standings, they are also just five points ahead of the relegation playoffs and seven points ahead of the relegation zone. With six games left in the season and Hoffenheim only having one win in their last six matches, they are not out of the woods just yet.
Meanwhile, Ozan Kabak, Christopher Lenz, Diadie Samassekou, Grischa Promel, Alexander Prass, and Ihlas Bebou are all out with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Baumann (GK), Gendrey, Chaves, Akpoguma, Nsoki, Stach, Bischof, Toure, Kramaric, Bulter & Orban
Germany Bundesliga I 09/05/25
D
Wolfsburg
2
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
D
Borussia M'gladbach
4
TSG Hoffenheim
4
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
L
Borussia Dortmund
3
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
L
SC Freiburg
3
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
W
Mainz
0
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Mainz preview: Chasing the Champions League
With six rounds left in the Bundesliga season, Mainz are fourth in the standings, to the surprise of many. This would mean that Mainz will bet to play in the Champions League next season, but that's far from decided yet, with a few teams close behind and looking to overtake Mainz, who enter this match with four wins in their last seven games.
When it comes to team news, Danny da Costa and Stefan Bell are doubtful with injuries, while Nadiem Amiri is suspended.
Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Hanche-Olsen, Jenz, Kohr, Caci, Sano, Maloney, Mwene, Nebel, Lee & Burkardt
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
W
Bochum
1
Mainz
4
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Mainz
1
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
L
Bayern Munich
3
Mainz
0
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
Wolfsburg
2
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Mainz
0
Player to watch: Jonathan Burkardt
Burkardt is having the best season of his career so far with 15 Bundesliga to his name, putting him among the league's top scorers this season, along with the likes of Harry Kane, Patrik Schick, and a few others.
