Mainz vs Hoffenheim prediction, odds & betting tips – 13/04/2024

Mainz
13/04/24 - 14:30

Finished

4

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TSG Hoffenheim

Mainz - TSG Hoffenheim

Germany Bundesliga I - Mewa Arena

Mainz vs Hoffenheim prediction
Mainz home form has been solid in recent weeks – Photo by Icon Sport

Relegation-threatened Mainz take on top-six hopefuls Hoffenheim at the MEWA ARENA in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 13 April. Check out our Bundesliga betting tips for the fixture below.

Mainz vs Hoffenheim prediction: Home advantage could be key

Mainz vs Hoffenheim predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Mainz to Win

⚽ Correct score prediction

 

Mainz 2-1 Hoffenheim

⚽ PLAYER to score anytime

Jonathan Burkardt

Key Stats

  • Mainz have won three of their last four home matches in the Bundesliga.
  • Mainz have lost only one of their last seven meetings with Hoffenheim.
  • Ten of Hoffenheim’s last 11 away fixtures have featured goals from both teams.
  • Jonathan Burkardt scored four times in Mainz’s last four home games in the Bundesliga.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz the market leaders

  • HOME: 20/21 (1.95) – 51.2%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite sitting in third-last place in the current Bundesliga standings, Mainz are the bookies’ favourites to win on Saturday and the market makers have given the hosts a 51.2% chance of collecting all three points. Mainz strengthened their survival bid with a thumping 4-0 win over Darmstadt last time out and they could harness their momentum this weekend.

Our top football predictions have backed Mainz to prevail again against a Hoffenheim side that hasn’t won on any of their last three visits to the MEWA Arena.

Last five H2Hs: Mainz have enjoyed better results

Germany Bundesliga I 26/11/23

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

1
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/03/23

Mainz

Mainz

1
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

0

Europe Friendlies 14/01/23

Mainz

Mainz

2
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Germany Bundesliga I 10/09/22

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

4
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 05/02/22

Mainz

Mainz

2
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

0

Mainz and Hoffenheim shared the spoils in their last encounter in November (1-1), though Mainz have lost just one of their last seven Bundesliga meetings with Hoffenheim since 2020 overall.

Mainz preview: Union could be unchanged

Maxim Leitsch and Stefan Bell are both injured for Mainz, while Nelson Weiper is touch-and-go and will need to be assessed closer to kick off. Head Coach Bo Henriksen could keep faith with the XI that dismantled Darmstadt last weekend.

Predicted lineup: Zentner – Kohr, van den Berg, Hanche-Olsen – Caci, Barreiro, Amiri, Mwene – Gruda, Jae-Sung, Burkardt

Europe Friendlies 04/09/24

L

Darmstadt

Darmstadt

1

Mainz

Mainz

0

Germany Bundesliga I 31/08/24

D

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

3

Mainz

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 24/08/24

D

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany DFB Pokal 16/08/24

W

Wehen SV

Wehen SV

1

Mainz

Mainz

3

Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24

W

Montpellier

Montpellier

1

Mainz

Mainz

3

Hoffenheim preview: Boniface to return?

Hoffenheim will be without the services of injured trio Ozan Kabak, Mergim Berisha and Marco John this weekend while Max Moerstedt will hope to shake off a dead leg in time to join the matchday squad.

Predicted lineup: Baumann – Brooks, Grillitsch, Drexler – Kaderabek, Promel, Stach, Jurasek – Kramaric, Beier, Weghorst

Germany Bundesliga I 31/08/24

L

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

3

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

1

Germany Bundesliga I 24/08/24

W

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

2

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

3

Germany DFB Pokal 16/08/24

W

Wurzburger Kickers

Wurzburger Kickers

2 (3)

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2 (5)

Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24

L

Fulham

Fulham

2

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

0

Elite Club Friendlies 03/08/24

L

Ipswich

Ipswich

1

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

0

Mainz vs Hoffenheim prediction
Mainz cult hero Lee Jae-Sung has been stepping up his performances – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Lee Jae-Sung

Lee Jae-Sung has stepped up his performance in recent weeks and his improved output in the final third has helped to power Mainz’s late dash towards Bundesliga safety. Jae-Sung has lodged seven match-changing moments in the German top tier already this term.

Can Jae-Sung make an impact again?

31-year-old South Korean star Lee Jae-Sung has chipped in with five goal contributions in his last five appearances in the Bundesliga and the versatile attacker hit two goals and claimed an assist in Mainz’s 4-0 win over Darmstadt last weekend. Jae-Sung should have enough confidence to be a key protagonist again on Saturday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.