Belarus and Luxembourg will meet in the fourth round of the League C of the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 15 October.
With Belarus still high on confidence after beating Luxembourg in their last meeting, can the guests avoid another loss? Read our Belarus vs Luxembourg predictions and preview to learn more about this game, and make sure to also check out our latest Nations League predictions.
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Belarus vs Luxembourg prediction: Another narrow win for Belarus
Key stats
- Both Belarus and Luxembourg have gone under 2.5 total goals in their last three games in a row.
- Belarus are undefeated in Nations League so far, with one win and two draws in the first three rounds.
- Luxembourg have lost five of their last six games across the board.
Correct score prediction: Belarus 1-0 Luxembourg
Given that 1-0 was the final result in three of the last four meetings between these two teams (twice for Belarus, once for Luxembourg), we can see this being another low-scoring affair in which Belarus gets a minimal win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: No clear favourites here
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.70%
- DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.50%
- AWAY: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.40%
It's obvious from the Belarus vs Luxembourg odds that the bookies don't see any of the teams as a clear favourite, with the guests being the expected winners by the thinnest of margins.
Given how close previous duels between these teams were, this makes sense. Also, while Belarus did beat Luxemburg a month ago, they will host the match on a neutral ground, so they won't have true home-court advantage.
In any case, for more predictions on the weekend’s football, take a look at our football betting tips page.
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Belarus the better team lately
With four wins over Luxembourg in the last six meetings, along with one draw and one loss, Belarus have the advantage in recent years. In fact, that's also true if we look at their overall H2H record: 7-4-2 in favour of Belarus.
UEFA Nations League C 08/09/24
Luxembourg
Belarus
UEFA Nations League 15/11/18
Luxembourg
Belarus
UEFA Nations League 12/10/18
Belarus
Luxembourg
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 31/08/17
Luxembourg
Belarus
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 10/10/16
Belarus
Luxembourg
Belarus preview: Hoping to remain undefeated in the group
With five points from the first three games in this Nations League edition, Belarus are sharing the top spot in the group with Bulgaria, although Northern Ireland are also just one point behind. So, things in this group will be decided in the remaining matches, so Belarus will be hoping for a good result against Luxembourg.
Predicted lineup: Lapoukhov (GK), Kavalyow, Volkov, Martynovich, Zabelin, Pechenin, Yablonski, Kaplenko, Ebong, Shikavka & Antilevski
UEFA Nations League C 08/09/24
W
Luxembourg
0
Belarus
1
UEFA Nations League C 05/09/24
D
Bulgaria
0
Belarus
0
International Match 11/06/24
L
Israel
4
Belarus
0
International Match 07/06/24
L
Russia
4
Belarus
0
International Match 26/03/24
D
Malta
0
Belarus
0
Luxembourg preview: Hoping to finally win a match
After four losses in a row, Luxembourg have ended this unfortunate streak with a draw against Bulgaria. However, with that being their only point in the competition so far, Luxembourg are in danger of being relegated to League D. That being said, other teams in the group aren't too far ahead of them yet, so Luxembourg can still avoid relegation.
Meanwhile, Vincent Thill and Yvandro Borges are out with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Moris (GK), Jans, Gerson, Carlson, Pinto, Bohnert, Pereira, Barreiro, Veiga, Olesen & Rodrigues
UEFA Nations League C 08/09/24
L
Belarus
1
Luxembourg
0
UEFA Nations League C 05/09/24
L
Northern Ireland
2
Luxembourg
0
International Match 08/06/24
L
Belgium
3
Luxembourg
0
International Match 05/06/24
L
France
3
Luxembourg
0
International Match 26/03/24
W
Kazakhstan
1
Luxembourg
2
Player to watch: Max Ebong
Given that Belarus have only scored one goal in three games in these qualifiers, they will need to find someone to lead the way on the offensive end and Ebong seems like one of the better candidates given that he's the top scorer in this team with five goals in 41 appearances.
