West Ham vs Luton prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/05/2024

West Ham
11/05/24 - 15:00

Finished

3

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Luton

West Ham - Luton

England Premier League - London Stadium

West Ham vs Luton prediction
West Ham United's Lucas Paqueta and Luton Town's Ryan Giles battle for the ball – Photo by Icon Sport

We're bringing our Premier League predictions for West Ham vs Luton on Saturday.

The West Ham fans will want to give manager David Moyes a fond farewell in his final home game with the club after it was announced that he would be leaving at the end of the season, but Luton will be looking to spoil the party as they go in search for a much-needed win.

West Ham vs Luton predictions: Can Luton defy the odds?

West Ham vs Luton Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Both Teams to Score

⚽ Correct Score prediction

West Ham 2-2 Luton

⬆️ Over 2.5 Goals prediction

Yes

Key Stats

  • Both teams scored when these two sides locked horns in September and three of the Hammers' last four outings along with each of Luton's last five fixtures have also ended with both teams scoring.
  • West Ham have scored two goals in two of their last three matches and have conceded at least two goals in five of their last six outings, while Luton have let in two or more goals in four of their last six matches.
  • Each of the hosts' last three matches have produced over 2.5 goals, while four of Luton's last five fixtures have also witnessed at least three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: West Ham the favourite

  • HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
  • DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
  • AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

West Ham are the expected winner of this game with a win probability of 54.1%, but we're expecting a close game between these two clubs.

The Hammers were thrashed 5-0 at Chelsea in their last league game, while Luton played out a 1-1 draw at home to Everton.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. West Ham's Jarrod Bowen is the favourite to score in this game at 7/5 (2.40) which has a probability of 41.7%, but if you want to back a Luton goalscorer then Carlton Morris has odds of 5/2 (3.50) with a probability of 23.6%.

Last five H2Hs: West Ham lead

England Premier League 01/09/23

Luton

Luton

1
West Ham

West Ham

2

Elite Club Friendlies 23/07/22

Luton

Luton

1
West Ham

West Ham

1

The Hammers have won nine, drawn nine and lost six of their last 24 games against Luton, running out 2-1 winners at Kenilworth Road in September.

Team news and form guide

West Ham: Drawn last two at home

Kalvin Phillips has been ruled out of the Luton game with a calf strain but defenders Konstantinos Mavropanos and Nayef Aguerd are hoping to return from injury in time for Moyes' last home game.

Predicted lineup: Areola (GK), Ogbonna, Coufal, Zouma, Emerson, Souček, Paquetá, Ward-Prowse, Kudus, Antonio & Bowen

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Man City

Man City

3

West Ham

West Ham

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Luton

Luton

1

West Ham

West Ham

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

5

West Ham

West Ham

0

England Premier League 27/04/24

D

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

West Ham

West Ham

2

England Premier League 21/04/24

L

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

5

West Ham

West Ham

2

Luton: Drew last game

The visitors will be without the services of Thomas Lockyer, Issa Kabore, Marvelous Nakamba, Jacob Brown, Amari'i Bell, Dan Potts, Mads Andersen and Chiedozie Ogbene for the trip to West Ham so could go with the same starting lineup that drew with Everton.

Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Burke, Osho, Mengi, Barkley, Onyedinma, Chong, Sambi Lokonga, Doughty, Morris & Adebayo

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Fulham

Fulham

4

Luton

Luton

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

L

West Ham

West Ham

3

Luton

Luton

1

England Premier League 03/05/24

D

Everton

Everton

1

Luton

Luton

1

England Premier League 27/04/24

L

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

2

Luton

Luton

1

England Premier League 20/04/24

L

Brentford

Brentford

5

Luton

Luton

1

Player to watch – Elijah Adebayo

Elijah Adebayo's goal against Everton last time out took him level with teammate Carlton Morris on ten league goals for the season.

Elijah Adebayo player to watch
A dejected Elijah Adebayo of Luton Town after Vinicius Souza of Sheff Utd scored – Photo by Icon Sport

Adebayo has returned from a recent injury layoff just as Luton are in desperate need of wins and we're expecting the Luton forwards to cause the Hammers' defence plenty of problems this weekend.

The Luton forward has impressed in the Premier League

Adebayo will be looking to impress in his final few games for Luton and if the club do get relegated there will be plenty of suitors for the tall striker this summer.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things