Finished
4
-1
Liverpool - Luton
England Premier League - Anfield
Round 26 of the Premier League will start with a match between Liverpool and Luton scheduled for Wednesday, February 21, a few days ahead of the usual weekend fixtures.
Will Liverpool get the win to secure the top spot in the league until the end of the round at least or will Luton cause a huge upset?
Monaco will meet with Toulouse in the next round of Ligue 1 on Sunday, 18 February. Find out from our Liverpool vs Luton prediction and check out more Premier League predictions on our website.
Contents
Liverpool vs Luton prediction: The Reds hoping to stay on top
| ⚽ Handicap prediction | Liverpool to win (-1) |
| ⚽ Anytime goalscorer prediction | Mohamed Salah |
| ⚽ Total goals prediction | Over 3.5 total goals |
Liverpool's great form continued over the weekend with a convincing win over Burnley, making this their sixth win in the last seven games in Premier League, ensuring that the Reds remain on top of the standings for the time being. Meanwhile, Luton have just one win in their last six games in the league and they are currently in the relegation zone.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the absolute favourite ahead of the match
- HOME: 3/13 (1.23) – 81.30%
- DRAW: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.50%
- AWAY: 13/1 (14.00) – 7.10%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Liverpool vs Luton odds that the Reds are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise given that they are fighting for the title, while Luton is battling to avoid relegation. After all, Liverpool are currently 37 points ahead of Luton Town in the Premier League standings.
Last five H2Hs: Can Luton resist the Reds twice in a row?
England Premier League 05/11/23
Luton
Liverpool
In their first duel this season in Premier League, Luton managed to draw with Liverpool at home. This was their first duel since 2008 and the second time in the last five H2H duels that Luton avoided a loss against Liverpool. The two teams have met 39 times in their history, with Liverpool winning 18 of those matches, along with 14 draws and seven Luton victories.
Team news and form guide
Liverpool: Looking to extend their great run of form
Thanks to winning six of their last seven Premier League games, Liverpool have managed to stay ahead of Man City and Arsenal in the title race, albeit just by one and two points, respectively. Ahead of their duel with Luton, Liverpool is without injured Stefan Bajcetic, Joel Matip, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ben Doak, Thiago Alcantara, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Curtis Jones, Diogo Jota, and, most likely, Darwin Nunez. Also, Alisson Becker, one of the top candidates for Premier League Golden Glove, will miss his third consecutive game in the league.
Predicted Lineup – Kelleher – Gomez, Van Dijk, Quansah, Robertson – Gravenberch, Endo, Mac Allister – Gakpo, Salah, Diaz
England Premier League 13/04/25
W
West Ham
1
Liverpool
2
England Premier League 06/04/25
L
Fulham
3
Liverpool
2
England Premier League 02/04/25
W
Everton
0
Liverpool
1
England EFL Cup 16/03/25
L
Newcastle
2
Liverpool
1
UEFA Champions League 11/03/25
L
PSG
1
Liverpool
0
Luton: Falling behind in the standings
Ahead of the season, many saw Luton Town returning to Championship promptly, but that's currently far from evident. Yes, Luton have just one win in their last six games in the league and sit in the relegation zone, but they're also tied with Everton, the first team outside of it. Meanwhile, Mads Andersen, Marvelous Nakamba, Tom Lockyer, Jacob Brown, and Luton's top scorer this season Elijah Adebayo are out with injuries.
Predicted Lineup – Restes – Desler, Mawissa, Nicolaisen, Diarra – Schmidt, Skytta – Gboho, Spierings, Cissoko – Dallinga
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Blackburn
1
Luton
0
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Stoke
1
Luton
1
England Championship 05/04/25
D
Leeds
1
Luton
1
England Championship 29/03/25
W
Hull
0
Luton
1
England Championship 15/03/25
D
Middlesbrough
0
Luton
0
Our free expert picks: Liverpool to win convincingly and score many goals
On top of our free betting tips for this duel, there are more Liverpool vs Luton betting tips we like.
One of them for both teams to score, which comes at 5/6 (1.83) odds and 54.50% probability. You might also be inclined to back Liverpool to score three or more goals at 4/5 (1.80) odds, which is the same as a 55.60% probability
Hot tip – Liverpool to win with handicap (-1)
- In six of their last seven Premier League games, Liverpool have won their matches by two or more goals.
- Liverpool have 10 wins in 12 games at home in Premier League, all of which by two or more goals over their opponents.
Other tips
Mohamed Salah to score at any time
- The Egyptian is currently second among Premier Leagues top scorers with 15 goals this season.
- With 152 goals in 239 appearances for Liverpool, Salah scores an average of 0.64 goals per game.
Over 3.5 total goals
- Liverpool have averaged 3.32 total goals per game in the league so far, while Luton have averaged 3.38 total goals per game.
- We saw at least four goals in half of the last 10 H2H duels between these two teams.
Player to watch: Mohamed Salah
We already backed the Egyptian to score a goal in this game, so we're going with him as our player to watch. After all, Salah did very well in his first match back in the team after AFCON, with a goal and an assist against Burnley over the weekend.
Penalty for Salah incoming?
This season in Premier League, Mohamed Salah scored 15 goals, with four of them coming from the penalty spot. That's around 27% of his goals, so backing him to score from a penalty against Luton might be worth taking a punt.
