Liverpool vs Luton prediction, odds & betting tips 21/02/2024

Liverpool
21/02/24 - 19:30

Finished

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Luton

Liverpool - Luton

England Premier League - Anfield

Liverpool vs Luton prediction
Can the Reds beat Luton this time? – Photo by Icon sport

Round 26 of the Premier League will start with a match between Liverpool and Luton scheduled for Wednesday, February 21, a few days ahead of the usual weekend fixtures.

Will Liverpool get the win to secure the top spot in the league until the end of the round at least or will Luton cause a huge upset?

Monaco will meet with Toulouse in the next round of Ligue 1 on Sunday, 18 February. Find out from our Liverpool vs Luton prediction and check out more Premier League predictions on our website.

Liverpool vs Luton prediction: The Reds hoping to stay on top

Liverpool vs Luton predictions
Our pick

⚽ Handicap prediction

Liverpool to win (-1)

⚽ Anytime goalscorer prediction

Mohamed Salah

⚽ Total goals prediction

Over 3.5 total goals

Liverpool's great form continued over the weekend with a convincing win over Burnley, making this their sixth win in the last seven games in Premier League, ensuring that the Reds remain on top of the standings for the time being. Meanwhile, Luton have just one win in their last six games in the league and they are currently in the relegation zone.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the absolute favourite ahead of the match

  • HOME: 3/13 (1.23) – 81.30%
  • DRAW: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.50%
  • AWAY: 13/1 (14.00) – 7.10%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

It's clear from these Liverpool vs Luton odds that the Reds are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise given that they are fighting for the title, while Luton is battling to avoid relegation. After all, Liverpool are currently 37 points ahead of Luton Town in the Premier League standings.

Last five H2Hs: Can Luton resist the Reds twice in a row?

England Premier League 05/11/23

Luton

Luton

1
Liverpool

Liverpool

1

In their first duel this season in Premier League, Luton managed to draw with Liverpool at home. This was their first duel since 2008 and the second time in the last five H2H duels that Luton avoided a loss against Liverpool. The two teams have met 39 times in their history, with Liverpool winning 18 of those matches, along with 14 draws and seven Luton victories.

Team news and form guide

Liverpool: Looking to extend their great run of form

Thanks to winning six of their last seven Premier League games, Liverpool have managed to stay ahead of Man City and Arsenal in the title race, albeit just by one and two points, respectively. Ahead of their duel with Luton, Liverpool is without injured Stefan Bajcetic, Joel Matip, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ben Doak, Thiago Alcantara, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Curtis Jones, Diogo Jota, and, most likely, Darwin Nunez. Also, Alisson Becker, one of the top candidates for Premier League Golden Glove, will miss his third consecutive game in the league.

Predicted LineupKelleher – Gomez, Van Dijk, Quansah, Robertson – Gravenberch, Endo, Mac Allister – Gakpo, Salah, Diaz

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

Others 14/05/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

England Premier League 13/05/24

D

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

2

Liverpool

Liverpool

4

England Premier League 27/04/24

D

West Ham

West Ham

2

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

Luton: Falling behind in the standings

Ahead of the season, many saw Luton Town returning to Championship promptly, but that's currently far from evident. Yes, Luton have just one win in their last six games in the league and sit in the relegation zone, but they're also tied with Everton, the first team outside of it. Meanwhile,  Mads Andersen, Marvelous Nakamba, Tom Lockyer, Jacob Brown, and Luton's top scorer this season Elijah Adebayo are out with injuries.

Predicted LineupRestes – Desler, Mawissa, Nicolaisen, Diarra – Schmidt, Skytta – Gboho, Spierings, Cissoko – Dallinga

Europe Friendlies 20/07/24

L

Goztepe

Goztepe

3

Luton

Luton

2

Europe Friendlies 16/07/24

W

FC Rukh Lviv

FC Rukh Lviv

0

Luton

Luton

1

World Club Friendlies 13/07/24

L

AGF Aarhus

AGF Aarhus

2

Luton

Luton

1

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Fulham

Fulham

4

Luton

Luton

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

L

West Ham

West Ham

3

Luton

Luton

1

Our free expert picks: Liverpool to win convincingly and score many goals

On top of our free betting tips for this duel, there are more Liverpool vs Luton betting tips we like.

One of them for both teams to score, which comes at 5/6 (1.83) odds and 54.50% probability. You might also be inclined to back Liverpool to score three or more goals at 4/5 (1.80) odds, which is the same as a 55.60% probability

Hot tip – Liverpool to win with handicap (-1)

  • In six of their last seven Premier League games, Liverpool have won their matches by two or more goals.
  • Liverpool have 10 wins in 12 games at home in Premier League, all of which by two or more goals over their opponents.

Other tips

Mohamed Salah to score at any time

  • The Egyptian is currently second among Premier Leagues top scorers with 15 goals this season.
  • With 152 goals in 239 appearances for Liverpool, Salah scores an average of 0.64 goals per game.

Over 3.5 total goals

  • Liverpool have averaged 3.32 total goals per game in the league so far, while Luton have averaged 3.38 total goals per game.
  • We saw at least four goals in half of the last 10 H2H duels between these two teams.

Player to watch: Mohamed Salah

We already backed the Egyptian to score a goal in this game, so we're going with him as our player to watch. After all, Salah did very well in his first match back in the team after AFCON, with a goal and an assist against Burnley over the weekend.

Mohamed Salah
Will Salah keep his good form going? – Photo by Icon Sport

Penalty for Salah incoming?

This season in Premier League, Mohamed Salah scored 15 goals, with four of them coming from the penalty spot. That's around 27% of his goals, so backing him to score from a penalty against Luton might be worth taking a punt.


Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.