Luton vs Chelsea prediction, odds & betting tips 30/12/2023

Luton
30/12/23 - 12:30

Finished

2

-

3

Chelsea

Luton - Chelsea

England Premier League - Kenilworth Road

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

We're bringing you our Premier League predictions ahead of Chelsea's trip to Kenilworth Road to face Luton Town. The hosts are enjoying their best form of the season right now and will feel confident about securing all three points against a Chelsea side that haven't travelled well in recent weeks.

Luton vs Chelsea prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have found the back of the net in five of Luton's last six matches.
  • Four of Chelsea's last six outings in league and cup have ended with both teams scoring.

Another reason that we have backed BTTS as our main prediction is that four of the last six encounters between these two clubs have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.

Latest odds

Head to Head

25/08/23

England Premier League EPL

Chelsea

Chelsea

Luton

Luton

3

0

02/03/22

England FA Cup FA Cup

Luton

Luton

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

3

24/01/21

England FA Cup FA Cup

Chelsea

Chelsea

Luton

Luton

3

1

Last Five - Luton

16/07/24

Europe Friendlies Europe

FC Rukh Lviv

FC Rukh Lviv

Luton

Luton

0

1

W

13/07/24

World Club Friendlies World

AGF Aarhus

AGF Aarhus

Luton

Luton

2

1

L

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Luton

Luton

4

2

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

West Ham

West Ham

Luton

Luton

3

1

L

03/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Everton

Everton

Luton

Luton

1

1

D

Last Five - Chelsea

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

2

W

15/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

2

W

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

3

W

05/05/24

England Premier League EPL

West Ham

West Ham

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

5

W

02/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Tottenham

Tottenham

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

2

W

Win probability

  • HOME: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
  • DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
  • AWAY: 16/25 (1.64) – 61%

Chelsea are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 61%, but we are expecting a close game between the two sides. If you want more football betting tips on this Premier League encounter, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

If you want to back a Chelsea player to score in this game, Nicolas Jackson is priced at 7/4 (2.75) with a probability of 36.4%, but if you want to go with a Luton player to score, Elijah Adebayo has odds of 15/4 (4.75) which has a probability of 21.1%.

Luton vs Chelsea prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 2-1

  • Chelsea have lost their last four away games in the Premier League.
  • Luton have only kept one clean sheet in their last six attempts.

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Over 2.5 goals were scored when these two sides last locked horns back in August.
  • Five of Luton's last six matches have ended with at least three goals scored.

luton vs chelsea

Luton vs Chelsea team news

Luton

Luton came out on top of their five-goal thriller at Bramall Lane last time out. Alfie Doughty scored after seventeen minutes to give Luton a 1-0 lead at the interval but Sheff Utd scored twice in the space of eight second-half minutes to go 2-1 in front. Luton showed a lot of character and received plenty of luck as two own goals went in their favour in the seventy-seventh and the eighty-first minute, securing the Hatter a rare away victory.

Issa Kabore, Marvelous Nakamba, Reece Burke, Dan Potts, Jordan Clark and Thomas Lockyer look set to miss out this weekend through injury or illness.

Predicted Lineup: Kaminski (GK), Bell, Osho, Mengi, Townsend, Barkley, Giles, Sambi Lokonga, Doughty, Adebayo & Brown

Chelsea

Chelsea entertained Crystal Palace at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday night. The hosts took the lead through Mykhailo Mudryk in the thirteenth minute but went in at the break level after Palace equalise in first-half stoppage-time. The game looked like it was going to end all square until Chelsea were awarded a penalty in the eighty-ninth minute which Chukwunonso Madueke converted to win the game.

Wesley Fofana, Reece James, Marc Cucurella, Robert Sanchez, Ben Chilwell, Enzo Fernandez, Trevoh Chalobah and Carney Chukwuemeka all have injuries, but Cole Palmer and Raheem Sterling are available once again following brief suspensions.

Predicted Lineup: Petrović (GK), Disasi, Badiashile, Maatsen, Gusto, Colwill, Gallagher, Sterling, Caicedo, Palmer & Jackson

Luton

Luton
3-4-2-1
24
Thomas Kaminski
be
15
Teden Mengi
gb
2
Gabriel Osho
gb
29
Amari Bell
jm
12
Issa Kabore
bf
28
Albert Sambi Lokonga
be
6
Ross Barkley
gb
45
Alfie Doughty
gb
30
Andros Townsend
gb
19
Jacob Brown
gb
11
Elijah Adebayo
gb
Substitutes
9
Carlton Morris
gb
26
Ryan Giles
gb
10
Cauley Woodrow
gb
18
Jordan Clark
gb
17
Ruddock Pelly
cd
14
Tahith Chong
cw
5
Mads Andersen
dk
7
Chiedozie Ogbene
ie
23
Tim Krul
nl

Chelsea

Chelsea
4-2-3-1
28
Djordje Petrovic
rs
27
Malo Gusto
fr
2
Axel Disasi
fr
6
Thiago Silva
br
26
Levi Colwill
gb
23
Conor Gallagher
gb
25
Moises Caicedo
ec
20
Cole Palmer
gb
15
Nicolas Jackson
sn
11
Noni Madueke
gb
19
Armando Broja
al
Substitutes
47
Lucas Bergstrom
fi
42
Alfie Gilchrist
gb
10
Mykhailo Mudryk
ua
7
Raheem Sterling
gb
13
Marcus Bettinelli
gb
18
Christopher Nkunku
fr
29
Ian Maatsen
nl
8
Enzo Fernandez
ar
52
Alex Matos
gb

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Elijah Adebayo

Luton's top goalscorer, Elijah Adebayo, has been in good form of late and we're expecting another big performance from the former Fulham youngster this weekend.

Adebayo has netted four goals in the Premier League this season, two of which have arrived in his last four appearances. The 25-year-old has never been the most consistent of goalscorers during his career but has hit double figures on two occasions, once with Walsall and once with Luton.

Adebayo causes plenty of problems for defences with his height and strength as well as his ability to run the channels.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Luton

Chelsea


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things