Finished
3
-0
Chelsea - Luton
England Premier League - Stamford Bridge
3rd Round
Prediction 1
Chelsea & Over 2.5 Goals
7/10 (1.70)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Sterling to Score Anytime
7/5 (2.40)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Predictions and Betting Tips for Chelsea vs Luton
Here are our Premier League predictions for Friday night's match-up between Pochenttino's Chelsea and newly-promoted Luton Town. Both of these teams will be looking to secure their first wins of the season on Friday as both also look to bounce back from disappointing defeats.
Contents
Chelsea and Over 2.5 Goals
- Chelsea have won three of their last four meetings with Luton and over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of those victories.
- Chelsea's last Premier League game produced four goals.
- Luton have seen four of their last five matches produced over 2.5 goals.
Raheem Sterling to Score
- Sterling played really well against West Ham despite the game ending in defeat for Chelsea.
- As one of the quickest and cleverest wingers in the PL, we expect Sterling to cause the Luton defence plenty of problems.
- Sterling scored 6 goals in 23 PL starts last season and will be aiming to reach double figures this time, as he has done in five of the last six campaigns.
Chelsea vs Luton Odds
Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Chelsea vs Luton.
Head to Head
02/03/22
England FA Cup FA Cup
Luton
Chelsea
2
3
24/01/21
England FA Cup FA Cup
Chelsea
Luton
3
1
Last Five - Chelsea
06/12/23
England Premier League EPL
Man Utd
Chelsea
2
1
L
04/12/23
Others Others
Brighton
Chelsea
0
0
D
03/12/23
England Premier League EPL
Brighton
Chelsea
2
3
W
25/11/23
England Premier League EPL
Newcastle
Chelsea
4
1
L
22/11/23
Others Others
Liverpool
Chelsea
0
0
D
Last Five - Luton
05/12/23
England Premier League EPL
Arsenal
Luton
4
3
L
02/12/23
England Premier League EPL
Brentford
Luton
3
1
L
25/11/23
England Premier League EPL
Crystal Palace
Luton
1
2
W
11/11/23
England Premier League EPL
Man Utd
Luton
1
0
L
05/11/23
England Premier League EPL
Liverpool
Luton
1
1
D
Chelsea odds: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
Draw odds: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
Luton odds: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.
Chelsea are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 80%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this choice. For more of our football betting tips on Friday's clash, check out the Both Teams to Score market. If you fancy BTTS in this game the odds currently stand at 23/20 (2.15) which has a probability of 46.5%, while a bet on BTTS – No has odds of 4/5 (1.80) with a probability of 55.6%
Chelsea vs Luton Lineups
Chelsea
Chelsea failed to make the most of their chances away at West Ham and it cost them dearly as Moyes' men ran out 3-1 winners. The Hammers took an early lead but a great individual goal from Chukwuemeka made it 1-1 in the 28th minute. However, West Ham restored their lead in the second forty-five and despite having their opening goal scorer sent-off in the 67th minute, the Hammers secured all 3pts with a stoppage-time penalty.
Caicedo had a debut to forget as he came off the bench to give away that late penalty but the Ecuadorian should go straight into the starting lineup for the Luton game. Nkunku, Broja, James, Chalobah, Badiashile, W. Fofana, Bettinelli and Chukwuemeka all look set to miss Friday's match through injury.
Predicted Lineup – Sánchez (GK), Silva, Chilwell, Disasi, Gusto, Colwill, Gallagher, Fernández, Caicedo, Sterling & Jackson
Luton
Luton made the trip to Brighton last time out knowing they were going to be in for a tough 90-minutes. A goal from March handed Brighton the halftime lead and a penalty from Pedro made it 2-0 in the 71st minute but Morris converted a late penalty for Luton to make it 2-1, their first goal in their return to the top-flight of English football. However, this only motivated the hosts to secure all 3pts as Brighton netted a further two goals to wrap up a 4-1 victory. Luton look set to be without the services of Burke, Osho, Potts and Clark for a tricky trip to Stamford Bridge this weekend.
Predicted Lineup – Kaminski (GK), Lockyer, Bell, Andersen, Kaboré, Mpanzu, Nakamba, Chong, Giles, Morris & Adebayo
Starting Lineups
Chelsea
Luton
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Conor Gallagher
Chelsea English international midfielder is likely to start further forward against Luton on Friday after Chukwuemeka picked up an injury against West Ham and with the more defensive-minded Caicedo likely to come into the starting eleven as his replacement.
Gallagher shined on loan at Crystal Palace when playing as an attacking midfielder with some even comparing him to Chelsea-great Frank Lampard. Gallagher netted 8 league goals for the Eagles but his return to Chelsea last season saw him only produce 3-goals from 18 starts and 17 sub appearances.
However, Gallagher has started both of Chelsea's opening games and if he does get the chance to play further forward on Friday net, we fully expect the 23-year-old to create or score a goal against a Luton defence that didn't look up to Premier League standards in their opening game.
