Cardiff vs Luton prediction
Cardiff and Luton in a battle for survival - Photo by Imago
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Under 2.5 total goals

Four of the last six duels between Cardiff and Luton have gone under 2.5 total goals

Cardiff and Luton are scheduled to meet on Tuesday, 12 March, in the upcoming round of the Championship.

With both teams desperately needing points as they battle against relegation, who will emerge victorious from this important duel? Find that out and more from our Cardiff vs Luton prediction and preview.

Cardiff vs Luton prediction: Visitors to hold their own

Key stats

  • Cardiff have gone under 2.5 total goals in 12 of their 18 matches at home in the league.
  • Luton have beaten Cardiff four times in a row.
  • Cardiff have only one win in their last seven matches in the league.

Correct score prediction: Cardiff 1-1 Luton

With both teams struggling to secure points this season and neither of them doing that well lately either, we can see this being a close contest and won't be surprised if it ends in a draw.

Cardiff have the home-court advantage, but Luton have been much better in their H2H duels recently, so a draw sounds like a realistic outcome for this match.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cardiff slightly favoured to win

  • HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.10%
  • DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.80%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see from these Cardiff vs Luton odds that the bookies expect a close game, although the hosts are the expected winners by a very thin margin.

Considering the simple fact that Cardiff will host this match, we can see why they're slight favourites in this duel between two relegation candidates.

In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, make sure to also read our latest betting tips for today too.

Most recent H2Hs: Can Cardiff end their losing run against Luton?

Luton emerged victorious the last four  times these teams clashed, so they've clearly been the better team lately. Meanwhile, the two teams are nearly tied when it comes to their overall H2H record: 20-16-19 in favour of Luton.

England Championship 06/11/24

Luton

Luton

1
Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 31/01/23

Luton

Luton

1
Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 28/01/23

Luton

Luton

0
Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 30/08/22

Cardiff

Cardiff

1
Luton

Luton

2

England Championship 18/04/22

Cardiff

Cardiff

0
Luton

Luton

1

Cardiff preview: Hoping for an important home win

With just one win in the last seven games in the Championship, Cardiff have clearly struggled recently and it's no surprise to see them hovering just above the relegation zone. That being said, Cardiff have four points more than the first team in the relegation zone, but this is a small cushion considering we have 10 more games until the season ends.

When it comes to team news, Cardiff are currently without David Turnbull, Jak Alnwick, Yakou Meite, Joe Ralls Ollie Tanner, and Jesper Daland, while Andy Rinomhota is doubtful.

Predicted lineup: Horvath (GK), Ng, Goutas, Bagan, O'Dowda, Chambers, Mannsverk, Colwill, Alves, Robinson & Salech

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Stoke

Stoke

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 08/04/25

D

Preston

Preston

2

Cardiff

Cardiff

2

England Championship 05/04/25

D

QPR

QPR

0

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 29/03/25

D

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

1

England Championship 15/03/25

W

Blackburn

Blackburn

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

2

Luton preview: Last chance of survival?

With 31 points from 36 games, Luton are currently five points behind the first team outside of the relegation zone, which is their next opponent Cardiff City. So, a loss in this game would put Luton in a very tough spot when it comes to avoiding relegation, although they're already in a difficult position.

Meanwhile, Marvelous Nakamba, Shandon Baptiste, Teden Mengi, and Tahith Chong are out with injuries, while Mark McGuinness is questionable.

Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Makosso, McGuinness, Bell, Jones, Walsh, Clark, Aasgaard, Doughty, Morris & Brown

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Blackburn

Blackburn

1

Luton

Luton

0

England Championship 08/04/25

D

Stoke

Stoke

1

Luton

Luton

1

England Championship 05/04/25

D

Leeds

Leeds

1

Luton

Luton

1

England Championship 29/03/25

W

Hull

Hull

0

Luton

Luton

1

England Championship 15/03/25

D

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Luton

Luton

0

Player to watch: Callum Robinson

With 12 goals in the Championship this season, the Irish forward has been Cardiff's most reliable offensive weapon and their best scorer, so Luton will have to keep a close eye on Robinson in this match.

Callum Robinson
Robinson to lead Cardiff to important points? – Photo by Imago

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.