Metz vs Lille prediction, odds and betting tips 28/04/2024

28/04/24 - 12:00

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Metz - Lille

France Ligue 1 - Stade Saint Symphorien

Metz know they have a one-point cushion to the teams below them in the bottom three as they welcome Lille to town, but that could all change quickly. For Lille, they're just one point behind Brest in the hunt for that final Champions League spot but this is certainly a potential banana skin.

Metz vs Lille prediction: Both teams could do with three points

Key stats

• Metz have recorded back-to-back wins for just the third time this season
• Lille lost their first league game in seven outings last weekend against Monaco
• Les Dogues have only tasted defeat once at home in Ligue this campaign

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lille to get back to winning ways

Home: 18/5 (4.6) – 21.7%

Draw: 13/5 (3.6) – 27.8%

Away: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%

Given the gulf in class and differing league positions this season, it's no surprise that Lille are favoured so heavily in this particular bout. Metz, however, have won back-to-back games, so if you were thinking about punting on Lille to win outright, it could be best to reconsider and instead check out our free betting tips.

Looking at the form of both sides we believe that any sort of winner pick must include both teams scoring because they have been in fine form in the final third. However, when it comes to picking a winner we would just about edge towards Lille.

Last five H2Hs: Clean sheets are key

Lille have come out on top in four of the last five meetings between these two sides and every time they have won, Les Dogues have managed to keep a clean sheet. The only time that Metz scored was when they recorded a 3-3 draw, so if Lille can keep it tight at the back it won't look good for Metz.

France Ligue 1 03/12/23

Lille

2

Metz

0

France Ligue 1 18/02/22

Lille

0

Metz

0

France Ligue 1 08/08/21

Metz

3

Lille

3

France Ligue 1 09/04/21

Metz

0

Lille

2

France Ligue 1 13/09/20

Lille

1

Metz

0

Lille preview: Champions League is in sight

For a lot of the season, Lille have bene looking over their shoulder as teams try to leapfrog them into the Europa League spot, but now it's changed. Brest have lost back-to-back games and allowed Lille to sneak up on them, meaning a win this weekend could be enough to Les Dogues into the top three.

Predicted lineup: Chevalier (GK) – Ismaily, Yoro, Diakite, Santos – Bentaleb, Gomes, Bouaddi – Cavaleiro, David, Cabella

France Ligue 1 10/05/25

L

Brest

2

Lille

0

France Ligue 1 04/05/25

D

Marseille

1

Lille

1

France Ligue 1 27/04/25

W

Angers

0

Lille

2

France Ligue 1 20/04/25

W

Auxerre

1

Lille

3

France Ligue 1 12/04/25

W

Toulouse

1

Lille

2

Metz preview: Chance to move away from the bottom three

Metz have managed to claw themselves to freedom in recent weeks picking up six points from their last two games, but are still not completely safe. Les Grenats have just four games left to play, so a win this weekend, or even a draw, would do wonders for their prospects.

Predicted lineup: Oukidja (GK) – Udol, Sane, Traore, Colin – Diallo, N'Doram, Jean Jacques, Atta, Sabaly – Mikautadze

France Ligue 2 10/05/25

W

Laval

2

Metz

3

France Ligue 2 02/05/25

D

Rodez Aveyron

3

Metz

3

France Ligue 2 26/04/25

L

Pau

2

Metz

1

France Ligue 2 19/04/25

D

Red Star FC 93

2

Metz

2

France Ligue 2 11/04/25

W

Martigues

1

Metz

4

Player to watch: Remy Cabella

Remy Cabella has managed to age like a fine wine in footballing terms because at 34 he is starring in Ligue 1 and becoming one of the most influential players in Lille's squad gunning for the top three.

Cabella is flying under the radar

Out of all the players to have started a Ligue 1 game for Lille this season, no player has averaged more goal-creating actions per 90 minutes than Cabella, so the fact that he can impact from the start or off the bench is a huge reason as to why they're doing so well this late into the season.