Leeds vs Sunderland prediction
Leeds and Sunderland battling for important points - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 total goals

Six of the last seven H2H duels between these teams have gone under 2.5 total goals

Leeds will host Sunderland in the next round of the Championship on Monday, 17 February.

With both teams chasing promotion, who will secure three crucial points from this duel? Read our Leeds vs Sunderland prediction to learn about that, but remember to also take a look at our other Championship predictions.

Leeds vs Sunderland prediction: A hard-fought draw?

Key stats

  • Sunderland have averaged just 2.31 total goals per game in away matches in the league so far.
  • Leeds are undefeated in their last 14 league matches, while Sunderland are without a loss in their last eight.
  • Three of the previous four meetings between Leeds and Sunderland have ended in draws.

Correct score prediction: Leeds 1-1 Sunderland

With both teams undefeated for a while in the league and with both of them chasing promotion, a draw in this game sounds like a reasonable outcome, especially since three of the last four H2H duels between them have ended in draws.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Whites favoured to pick up three points

  • HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.50%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.00%
  • AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.40%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

It's clear from these Leeds vs Sunderland odds that the hosts are the expected winners and it's by a big margin, even though this is a duel between two teams fighting for direct promotion.

That being said, Leeds are seven points ahead of Sunderland and they've been nearly perfect at home this season, so we can see why they're the more likely winners according to the bookies.

For additional predictions ahead of the weekend’s action, be sure to check out our football betting tips page when you can.

Most recent H2Hs: A tied matchup lately

With three draws in the last five duels between Leeds and Sunderland, along with one win for each team, it's clear that this has been as close matchup as it can be, at least recently.

When it comes to their overall H2H record, Leeds have the advantage: 40-21-35.

England Championship 17/11/24

Leeds

Leeds

0
Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 04/10/24

Sunderland

Sunderland

2
Leeds

Leeds

2

England Championship 09/04/24

Leeds

Leeds

0
Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 12/12/23

Sunderland

Sunderland

1
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Championship 07/04/18

Leeds

Leeds

1
Sunderland

Sunderland

1

Leeds preview: Fighting to continue winning ways

It's now been 14 rounds since Leeds have lost their last match in the Championship and, more importantly, Leeds have won 10 of those 14 games. Thanks to this impressive run, they are currently second in the league standings, one point behind Sheffield United, but they can overtake them if they avoid a loss on Monday against Sunderland.

When it comes to team news, Maximilian Wober and Patrick Bamford will miss this match through injuries.

Predicted lineup: Meslier (GK), Bogle, Rodon, Ampadu, Firpo, Tanaka, Gruev, James, Aaronson, Solomon & Piroe

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Preston

Preston

1

Leeds

Leeds

2

England Championship 08/04/25

W

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Leeds

Leeds

1

England Championship 05/04/25

D

Luton

Luton

1

Leeds

Leeds

1

England Championship 29/03/25

D

Swansea

Swansea

2

Leeds

Leeds

2

England Championship 15/03/25

D

QPR

QPR

2

Leeds

Leeds

2

Sunderland preview: Hoping to join the race for direct promotion

While Sunderland have been great this season, including their current streak of eight games without a loss, they are still only fourth in the standings right now, seven points behind their next opponent Leeds and eight behind Sheff Utd, the two main candidates for direct promotion. With Burnley also in the mixture, Sunderland can't afford to lose to Leeds on Monday if they want to stay in this race.

Meanwhile, Ajibola Alese, Niall Huggins, Jayden Danns, Tom Watson, and Romaine Mundle are out with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Patterson (GK), Hume, Ballard, O'Nien, Cirkin, Neil, Bellingham, Roberts, Rigg, Le Fee & Isidor

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Swansea

Swansea

1

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 08/04/25

D

Norwich

Norwich

0

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

England Championship 05/04/25

W

West Brom

West Brom

0

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

England Championship 29/03/25

W

Millwall

Millwall

0

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

England Championship 15/03/25

L

Coventry

Coventry

3

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

Player to watch: Joel Piroe

With 14 goals to his name when it comes to the Championship, Piroe is only behind Borja Sainz in terms of league's top scorers. The Dutch forward has been the focal point of offense for Leeds, who are by far the team with most goals in the league.

Joel Piroe
Piroe chasing after Sainz for the best scorer in the Championship – Photo by Imago

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.