The EFL Cup has produced a number of all-Championship ties with the most tasty being Leeds vs Middlesbrough on Wednesday night.
Last season, these two teams played out two high-scoring league games and on both occasions, Leeds secured all three points.
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Leeds vs Middlesbrough prediction: Goals expected at Elland Road
Key Stats
- Leeds have won three of their last five outings across all competitions.
- Wednesday's hosts have only failed to score in two of their last six fixtures.
- Middlesbrough have scored in all bar one of their last six matches.
Correct score prediction: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Leeds have scored at least three goals in three of their last five matches but have only managed to keep one clean sheet during that period, while Boro have scored exactly one goal in three of their last five games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Leeds the clear favourite
- HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Leeds are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 62.5%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Leeds in front
Wednesday's hosts have won four and drawn one of their last five games against Middlesbrough, securing a 4-3 victory at the Riverside Stadium when the pair last met in April.
England Championship 22/04/24
Middlesbrough
Leeds
England Championship 20/04/24
Middlesbrough
Leeds
England Championship 02/12/23
Leeds
Middlesbrough
England Championship 26/02/20
Middlesbrough
Leeds
England Championship 30/11/19
Leeds
Middlesbrough
Leeds preview: Have plenty of goals in them
Leeds played out a 3-3 draw on the opening weekend of the new Championship season at home to Portsmouth.
Daniel Farke's side rescued a point in the fifth minute of time added on in what was a truly breathtaking game of football at Elland Road.
The German manager's side have scored 12 goals in their last five matches combined but clearly still have some work to do with their defence.
Predicted lineup: Meslier (GK), Firpo, Rodon, Ampadu, Struijk, Bogle, James, Gruev, Rutter, Gnonto & Joseph
England Championship 01/10/24
D
Norwich
1
Leeds
1
England Championship 28/09/24
W
Coventry
0
Leeds
3
England Championship 21/09/24
W
Cardiff
0
Leeds
2
England Championship 14/09/24
L
Burnley
1
Leeds
0
England Championship 31/08/24
W
Hull
0
Leeds
2
Middlesbrough preview: Will have their defence tested
Boro claimed a 1-0 win at home against Swansea on Saturday to get their campaign off to a great start.
However, with just eight goals in their last five matches, five of which came against Doncaster, Middlesbrough are going to be relying on their strong defensive record this season, especially on the road.
Predicted lineup: Dieng (GK), Ayling, Clarke, Engel, van den Berg, McGree, Azaz, Morris, Hackney, Jones & Latte Lath
England Championship 01/10/24
W
West Brom
0
Middlesbrough
1
England Championship 28/09/24
W
Stoke
0
Middlesbrough
2
England Championship 21/09/24
L
Sunderland
1
Middlesbrough
0
England Championship 14/09/24
D
Preston
1
Middlesbrough
1
England Championship 31/08/24
W
Cardiff
0
Middlesbrough
2
Player to watch – Wilfried Gnonto
Wilfried Gnonto continues to develop well at Leeds United having made the move to the English club from Zurich in 2022.
The Italian international scored nine goals in 44 games across all competitions last season, his best campaign in a Leeds shirt in terms of both goals scored and games played.
The young Italian continues to be linked with a move away from Elland Road but still remains at the club
Gnonto, who continues to be linked with a move back to the Premier League with Everton, scored in the 3-3 draw with Portsmouth before being substituted in the second half.
We're backing Leeds' little Italian to cause the Middlesbrough defence plenty of headaches in this League Cup tie, helping to guide his side to victory.
