Middlesbrough vs Leeds prediction
Middlesbrough and Leeds to meet in the derby of the round in the Championship - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Leeds to win

Leeds have won five of the last six H2H duels with Middlesbrough.

In the mid-week round of the Championship we'll see a duel between Middlesbrough and Leeds, on Tuesday, 8 April.

With both teams in the race for promotion this season, who will win the important points from this game? Read  our Middlesbrough vs Leeds prediction and preview to find that out and more.

Middlesbrough vs Leeds predictions: Goals expected to flow

Key Stats

  • Middlesbrough have been in better form lately, but Leeds are still 22 points ahead in the standings.
  • Seven of the previous 10 meetings between these two teams have gone over 2.5 total goals.
  • Leeds have averaged 2.68 and Middlesbrough have averaged 2.75 total goals per game in the league this season.

Correct score prediction: Middlesbrough 1-2 Leeds

While Leeds have struggled to win lately and they've jeopardised promotion due to this, they are still in the race for the first two spots in the league and a win over Middlesbrough would be crucial in this race.

Considering how well Leeds have done against this opponent in recent years, we can see them getting this important win despite their poor form.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Leeds the more likely winners

  • HOME: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.20%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.70%
  • AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.10%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see from these Middlesbrough vs Leeds odds that the guests are the expected winners and that's not really surprising considering the simple fact that Leeds are ahead by 22 points in the standings.

That being said, Leeds are winless in three games in a row, while Middlesbrough are in good form and hosting the game, so this should be a very exciting duel.

In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: Leeds dominating this matchup lately

With five wins in the last six duels with Middlesbrough, Leeds have clearly been the better team of the two recently. Furthermore, Leeds also have the advantage in their overall H2H record against Middlesbrough: 43-29-33.

England Championship 10/12/24

Leeds

Leeds

3
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

1

England EFL Cup 14/08/24

Leeds

Leeds

0
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

3

England Championship 22/04/24

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

3
Leeds

Leeds

4

England Championship 20/04/24

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Championship 02/12/23

Leeds

Leeds

3
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

Middlesbrough preview: Will have their defence tested

The Boro have been in fine form recently, winning four of their last six games in the Championship. Thanks to this, they now sit in fifth place in the league standings, which would take them into the playoffs for promotion, but the job is not done yet since they're also just one point ahead of the first team outside of the playoff zone.

When it comes to team news, Neto Borges, Alex Bangura, Seny Dieng, Darragh Lenihan, Luke Ayling, Dael Fry, Ben Doak, and George Edmundson are all out with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Travers (GK), Dijksteel, Van den Berg, Howson, Giles, Hackney, Morris, Iling-Junior, Iheanacho, Azaz & Conway

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Coventry

Coventry

2

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

England Championship 26/04/25

D

Norwich

Norwich

0

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

2

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

1

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Millwall

Millwall

1

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Leeds preview: Bottling the promotion?

With three draws in a row and just one win in their last six games in the league, Leeds have gone from league leaders to third place in the standings, which would take them into the playoffs instead of direct promotion to the Premier League. That being said, Leeds are still just one point behind Sheff Utd and two behind Burnley, so promotion is certainly still in play with six rounds left in the season.

On the bright side, Leeds have a clear bill of health going into this crucial match.

Predicted lineup: Darlow (GK), Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Firpo, Tanaka, Ampadu, James, Aaronson, Solomon & Piroe

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

Leeds

Leeds

2

England Championship 28/04/25

W

Bristol City

Bristol City

0

Leeds

Leeds

4

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Stoke

Stoke

0

Leeds

Leeds

6

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

0

Leeds

Leeds

1

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Preston

Preston

1

Leeds

Leeds

2

Player to watch: Joel Piroe

The Dutch forward is the leading scorer for Leeds this season with 15 goals in the Championship this season, on top of which he also has six assists, which is why Piroe is our player to watch in this important game against Middlesbrough.

Joel Piroe
Piroe hoping for another goal to help Leeds beat Middlesbrough – Photo by Imago

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.