Burnley will take on Leeds to close this Championship round on Monday, 27 January.
With both teams chasing direct promotion this season, who will get the points from this important duel? Read our Burnley vs Leeds prediction and preview to find that out and learn more about the match.
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Burnley vs Leeds prediction: A low-scoring, close contest
Key Stats
- Burnley have gone under 2.5 total goals in 22 of their 28 matches in the Championship.
- Leeds have gone under 2.5 total goals in 10 of their 13 away matches in the league so far.
- Burnley are undefeated in 13 home games in the league this season, while Leeds have just two losses in 13 away matches.
- Leeds are undefeated in their last 10 games in the league, but Burnley are without a loss in their last 15 games.
Correct score prediction: Burnley 1-1 Leeds
With both teams in impressive forms and battling for the top of the standings, it's hard to see any team running away with this game. So, we also expect to see a close contest and we wouldn't be surprised if the match ends without a winner.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Leeds start as favourites
- HOME: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%
- AWAY: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.50%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Burnley vs Leeds odds that the bookies expect this to be a very close game, which is hardly a surprise when two of the top three teams in the standings meet.
That being said, the guests are the expected winners by a small margin, which makes sense since they are the ones currently ahead, even if it's just by three points.
In any case, be sure to look at our football betting tips page for more predictions this weekend.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage for Leeds
In the last five meetings between these two teams, we saw Leeds win three times, along with one draw and one Burnley win. Meanwhile, Leeds also have the advantage when it comes to their overall H2H record against Burnley: 33-13-19.
England Championship 27/11/24
Burnley
Leeds
England Championship 14/09/24
Leeds
Burnley
England Premier League 02/01/22
Leeds
Burnley
England Premier League 29/08/21
Burnley
Leeds
England Premier League 15/05/21
Burnley
Leeds
Burnley preview: Hoping to keep their streak alive
The last time Burnley have lost a match was all the way back at the start of November last year, with their undefeated streak in the league now going 15 games strong. Despite that, Burnley remain third in the standings, trailing three points behind Leeds and two behind Sheffield United. So, a win over Leeds on Monday would put them over Sheff Utd and tied with Leeds.
When it comes to team news, Aaron Ramsey, Jordan Beyer, and Enock Agyei are out with injuries, while Manuel Benson and Nathan Redmond remain doubtful despite returning to training.
Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Roberts, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Humphreys, Cullen, Laurent, Anthony, Brownhill, Foster & Flemming
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
Leeds preview: Trying to remain at the top
Similar to their next opponent, Leeds have also been on a long streak without a loss in the Championship, which has now lasted for 10 games. More importantly, Leeds sit at the top of the league standings with 59 points from 28 games, so they remain one of the main candidates to secure direct promotion this season and avoiding a loss in their next game would present an important boost for their chances to do so.
Meanwhile, Pascal Struijk and Patrick Bamford will miss this match through injuries.
Predicted lineup: Meslier (GK), Bogle, Rodon, Ampadu, Byram, Tanaka, Rothwell, James, Ramazani, Solomon & Piroe
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Plymouth
1
Leeds
2
England Championship 28/04/25
W
Bristol City
0
Leeds
4
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Stoke
0
Leeds
6
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Oxford Utd
0
Leeds
1
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Preston
1
Leeds
2
Player to watch: Josh Brownhill
While Burnley's good form this season in the Championship has mainly been due to their great defence, someone also needs to score goals to keep them chasing the top. With that in mind, our player to watch is Burnley's top scorer this season with nine goals. In addition to this, Brownhill also added four assists to ascertain himself as the main driving force of his team's offence.
