Bellingham La Liga top scorer odds – Can Jude win the Pichichi?

Despite currently being sidelined through injury, Jude Bellingham is the 7/4 favourite according to the latest La Liga top scorer odds to win the Pichichi Trophy in his first season in Spain.

That would be an extraordinary achievement for any midfielder, let alone one who is just 20 years old. Bellingham only scored eight times in the Bundesliga last term but has been an absolute revelation in Spain, thriving in an advanced midfield role. He’s scored 16 goals in 21 appearances to top the La Liga Pichichi race as we head into the final few months of the campaign.

In the era of Leo Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, far greater numbers were required to challenge for the prestigious award, but Robert Lewandowski became the first league debutant in 16 years to win it last term with 23 goals for champions Barcelona.

Ruud van Nistelrooy, Real Madrid
Prior to last season, the most recent newcomer to Spanish football to be the league’s top goalscorer was Ruud van Nistelrooy in 2006/07. (Photo by Alfaqui / Icon Sport)

No Englishman has ever won the Pichichi and Bellingham could also join a very exclusive group of La Liga top scorers under the age of 21.

The youngest ever Pichichi winner is Ronaldo Nazario who was an absolute sensation for Barcelona at the age of just 20 during the 1996/97 season. His return of 34 goals in 37 games wouldn’t be equalled for more than a decade.

Read on to see Bellingham's chances of making history in his debut season in Madrid.

Jude Bellingham La Liga top scorer odds – Main rivals

Robert Lewandowski (4/1)

While Bellingham is clear of the rest, both in terms of his current goal tally and the La Liga top scorer odds, there are four other strong candidates who are obvious contenders to fight for the Pichichi.

All of those players are currently available at a best priced 4/1 and perhaps the most dangerous of those is last season’s winner Robert Lewandowski. The Polish striker was having a tough campaign, but he’s found a bit of form in recent weeks, hammering home four goals in his last four league games to move onto 12 for the season. 

That still leaves him with plenty of ground to make up on Bellingham but with Barcelona showing signs of rediscovering a bit of form, Lewandowski is capable of closing the gap in rapid time if he continues to get chances.

La Liga top goalscorer odds
Artem Dovbyk celebrates scoring against Sevilla in January 2024 – Photo by Icon Sport

Artem Dovbyk (4/1)

Bellingham is not the only La Liga debutant making a serious push for the Pichichi. Girona’s Artem Dovbyk is also having a cracking campaign with 14 goals to his name.

Along with compatriot Viktor Tsyhankov, he’s been part of one of the best La Liga goal and assist combos and he’s made a real impression for surprise title challengers Girona. Dovbyk’s goals/minute ratio is actually slightly better than Bellingham’s with the 26 year old also missing a few games due to injury.

The concern about Dovbyk’s chances of finishing as the La Liga top scorer may be whether his team’s form can hold. Girona suffered back-to-back defeats in February against Real Madrid and Athletic Club to do huge damage to their title challenge. Much will depend on whether Michel’s men bounce back and continue to play as well and create as many chances as they did in the first half of the campaign.

Alvaro Morata (4/1)

Another Pichichi hopeful is Alvaro Morata. The former Chelsea, Real Madrid and Juventus man has found a home in the red and white half of the Spanish capital and he’s been playing some of the best football of his career this term.

Morata has scored 13 goals in La Liga and 19 in all competitions and has formed a terrific partnership with Antoine Griezmann. However Morata’s odds are drifting in terms of the Pichichi race with only one league goal since he scored a hat-trick in the 4-3 defeat to Girona in Atleti’s first league game of 2024.

He did suffer an injury during that period and has featured off the bench in recent weeks, but it’s seven appearances in all competitions without a goal for the Spain striker.

Borja Mayoral
Borja Mayoral has emerged as a surprise contender – Photo by Icon Sport

Borya Mayoral (4/1)

Bellingham’s closest rival in terms of goals right now is Getafe’s Borja Mayoral who is one back on the Real Madrid midfielder with 15 for the season in La Liga.

The 26 year old was a product of the Real Madrid youth system, but there was little sign that he’d be capable of putting this kind of campaign together during a stop-start career before this season.

Mayoral had never even reached double figures in La Liga before with his previous best league tally being the ten goals he scored for Roma in Serie A in 2020/21. He could potentially end up doubling that if he can close out the season well with mid-table Getafe.

When did a central midfielder last win the Pichichi?

While a number of wide players and number 10’s have won the Pichichi, there have been few central midfielders to get even close to winning the trophy.

The most recent recipient that could be classed as a central midfielder was Atletico Madrid’s Luis Aragones who was part of a three-way tie for the award in the 1969/70 season with 16 goals in 30 matches.

How many Englishmen have challenged for the Pichichi?

Gary Lineker spent three seasons at Barcelona in the late 1980s. His best La Liga goal haul was 20 in his debut 1986/87 campaign. He finished second in the Pichichi race, but a distant second in truth, with Hugo Sanchez bagging 34 for Real Madrid.

Meanwhile, Michael Owen – the last Englishman to win the Ballon d'Or – spent one season at the Santiago Bernabeu, but his 13-goal haul in La Liga was only the joint 10th best goal return that season. Bellingham is already clear of Owen's tally.

Read our latest free La Liga tips for more analysis on other Spanish football betting markets.

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Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.