La Liga top scorer odds: Can Bellingham catch up after sophomore slump?

A La Liga and Champions League winner in his first season at the Bernabeu, Jude Bellingham was instrumental in keeping Los Blancos on top of the world. However, the latest La Liga top scorer odds suggest that he will have to wait if he’s to clinch the coveted Pichichi trophy…

La Liga top scorer odds - Bellingham
Jude Bellingham has been a key player for Real Madrid since arriving from Dortmund in 2023 – Photo by Icon Sport

Current La Liga top scorer odds

With Bellingham’s top scorer odds ranging between 80/1 and 100/1 at present, it seems like a complete waste of money to back him, especially as he trails the current leader Robert Lewandowski by a significant margin.

Player
Club
Best odds

Robert Lewandowski

Barcelona

2/11

Raphinha

Barcelona

13/2

Kylian Mbappe

Real Madrid

10/1

Ante Budimir

Osasuna

10/1

Vinicius Jr

Real Madrid

20/1

La Liga top scorer betting market frontrunners

Lewandowski is back in the spotlight this season after losing his top scorer title to Artem Dovbyk last year. He’s currently leading the La Liga goalscoring charts, averaging over a goal per game. With Barcelona's attacking style, he’s not likely to slow down anytime soon, making him a tough competitor to beat.

His teammate Raphinha has really stepped up this season, finding his scoring touch despite not being known for it in the past. His newfound consistency has pushed him into double digits, putting him in the running to catch up with Lewandowski. He’s even surpassed Mbappe in the scoring market.

Speaking of Mbappe, he hasn’t quite lived up to the high expectations since joining Real Madrid last summer. With Vinicius Jr sidelined due to injury, December could be his chance to shine, but he’ll need to pick up the pace if he wants to contend for the top scorer title after a slow start.

Meanwhile, Vinícius Jr has had his ups and downs as a finisher since he arrived in Spain, but he’s made significant improvements over the last couple of years. Although a potential long-term injury could hinder his chances for the top scorer title, he has the ability to bounce back when he’s back to his best.

Outside of Spain’s traditional big two, Budimir from Osasuna has been making waves since late September. His hat-trick against Villarreal in November did much to boost his profile among the top scorers, and he’s become a popular choice for first goalscorer bets.

real madrid vs getafe prediction
Bellingham's teammate Kylian Mbappe is yet to really thrive in the famous white jersey, but can't yet be completely counted out of the Pichichi trophy race – Photo by IMAGO.

Could next year be Bellingham’s year?

Nobody could have anticipated the kind of extraordinary goalscoring numbers that Bellingham produced during 2023/24, particularly in the early part of the season.

For a while, he was even favourite to become the first-ever Englishman to win the Pichichi – an act that would also have seen him join an exclusive group of La Liga top scorers under the age of 21.

He led the way with just nine rounds remaining, so Bellingham may well have done it too, but for injuries and suspensions that saw him appear in only 28 of Real Madrid’s 38 league games (0.67 per game).

But that hasn’t translated to 2024/25, and as the La Liga moves into the festive period, his return of five in 12 equates to a comparatively poor 0.41 per game.

The good news for Bellingham is that he is 15 years Lewandowski’s junior, so there will be an opportunity for him to challenge again. And while his job is to feed Mbappe rather than bag the goals himself, his ability from set pieces may yet keep his hopes of the top scorer award alive.

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