Wales will host Iceland in the final round of the UEFA Nations League B on Tuesday, 19 November.
Can Wales secure a win to stay in the race for direct promotion or can Iceland surprise them and overtake their spot in the promotion playoffs? Find that out and more by reading our Wales vs Iceland prediction and preview.
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Wales vs Iceland predictions: A close contents with goals on both sides
Key stats
- Wales have gone over 2.5 total goals in three of their last six matches.
- Iceland have gone over 2.5 total goals in there of their previous five games.
- Wales have beaten Iceland three times in their last four meetings.
Correct score prediction: Wales 2-1 Iceland
Both teams will be looking for a win in this game, so we expect it to be quite exciting, with plenty of goals. That being said, with Wales playing at home, we expect them to edge out Iceland in a close contest.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Wales favoured to win
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.90%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.80%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.00%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Wales vs Iceland odds that the bookies see the hosts as the expected winners, which is understandable given that Wales are two points ahead of Iceland in the group standings.
Wales will also have the advantage of playing at home and while both teams have done well recently, Wales are the better team on paper as well, so we can see why they're favoured to win the game.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Wales vs Iceland predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Wales with a clear advantage
With three wins over Iceland in their last five meetings, Wales have clearly been the better team in recent years. Things are the same if we look at their overall H2H record as well: 5-2-1 in favour of Wales.
UEFA Nations League B 11/10/24
Iceland
Wales
Wales preview: Still in the race for direct promotion
While Wales are currently second in their group, two points behind Turkey after these two teams played a scoreless game a few days ago, they still have a chance to finish at the top and earn direct promotion to League A. However, that would require Turkey losing to Montenegro, which is a hard thing to imagine. Still, Wales only need to avoid a loss against Iceland to secure they at least get a chance to earn promotion through the playoffs.
Craig Bellamy remans without more than a few players for this game, including Kieffer Moore, Nathan Broadhead, Owen Beck, Wes Burns, Aaron Ramsey, Rabbi Matondo, and Oli Cooper.
Predicted lineup: Ward (GK), Roberts, Rodon, Cabango, Davies, Allen, Sheehan, Johnson, Wilson, Thomas & M. Harris
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25
D
North Macedonia
1
Wales
1
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25
W
Kazakhstan
1
Wales
3
UEFA Nations League B 19/11/24
W
Iceland
1
Wales
4
UEFA Nations League B 16/11/24
D
Tu00fcrkiye
0
Wales
0
UEFA Nations League B 14/10/24
W
Montenegro
0
Wales
1
Iceland preview: Hoping to surprise the favoured opponent
After beating Montenegro in the last game, Iceland enter the final round of this Nations League edition with a chance to overtake Wales in the second place and secure promotion playoffs. Of course, they first have to beat Wales at their own ground, which is not an easy ask considering the fact that Wales are undefeated in all five games in the group.
Mikael Anderson, Hlynur Freyr Karlsson, Daniel Leo Gretarsson, and Kolbeinn Finnsson will miss this match through injuries.
Predicted lineup: Valdimarsson (GK), Sampsted, Gunnarsson, Ingason, Tomasson, Thorsteinsson, Gudmundsson, Traustason, Ellertsson, Oskarsson & Gudjohnsen
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L
Kosovo
3
Iceland
1
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L
Kosovo
2
Iceland
1
UEFA Nations League B 19/11/24
L
Wales
4
Iceland
1
UEFA Nations League B 16/11/24
W
Montenegro
0
Iceland
2
UEFA Nations League B 14/10/24
L
Tu00fcrkiye
4
Iceland
2
Player to watch: Harry Wilson
The right winger has 11 goals in Welsh jersey, more than any other active player, and three of those goals came this year in the UEFA Nations League. With that in mind, Wilson is our player to watch against Iceland too.