Finland will host Greece in the final round of the UEFA Nations League B on Sunday, 17 November.
Will the hosts manage to avoid sixth loss in a row or will Greece beat them to keep the hope of automatic promotion alive? Read our Finland vs Greece predictions to learn more about this match.
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Finland vs Greece prediction: Greece to secure three points
Key stats
- The last two meetings between Finland and Greece have gone over 2.5 total goals.
- Finland have lost all five games in the Nations League.
- Greece have won four of their last five games.
Correct score prediction: Finland 1-2 Greece
While Finland will want to avoid another loss after losing all of their games in the group so far, Greece have been great lately and they still have a chance to secure direct promotion to League A. With that in mind, we can see the guests edging out a narrow win over the weakest team in the group.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Greece the more likely winners
- HOME: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.30%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%
- AWAY: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.80%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at these Finland vs Greece odds, we can see that the guests are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise looking at the standings in this group.
Furthermore, Greece have beaten Finland quite convincingly in their first duel in the group, so even though Finland will host the game, we can see why the guests are the favourites according to the bookies.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Slight advantage for Greece
In the last five meetings between these two teams, we saw Greece win three times and Finland twice. Meanwhile, if we look at their overall H2H record, Greece also have the advantage there: 10-3-6.
Finland preview: Can they avoid ending the group stage with all losses?
This is Finland's third consecutive campaign in League B, but from next edition they will be moving to League C since they're bound to finish last in their group after losing all five games so far. Finland will hope to end the campaign with a bang and a win over Greece, but that won't be an easy task given the recent performances by both teams.
Finland will likely have to manage without Matti Peltola, who was subbed off due to injury in their game against Ireland.
Predicted lineup: Hradecky (GK), O'Shaughnessy, Ivanov, Hoskonen, Niskanen, Kairinen, Kamara, Uronen, Lod, Pukki & Hakans
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25
D
Lithuania
2
Finland
2
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W
Malta
0
Finland
1
UEFA Nations League B 17/11/24
L
Greece
2
Finland
0
UEFA Nations League B 14/11/24
L
Rep of Ireland
1
Finland
0
UEFA Nations League B 13/10/24
L
England
3
Finland
1
Greece preview: Hoping to secure back-to-back promotions
Greece won five out of six group games in their previous Nations League campaign, gaining promotion to League B for the first time. So, it's safe to say that their performances in League B have been surprising, especially their win in England. However, after losing 3-0 to the same opponent in the last round, they are now tied with England in points, but three goals behind in goal difference.
With that in mind, Greece need to beat Finland and hope for England to slip against Ireland to gain direct promotion to League A or else they'll have to battle for it in the promotion playoffs.
Meanwhile, Christos Zafeiris will miss this match to serve a suspension.
Predicted lineup: Vlachodimos (GK), Rota, Mavropanos, Hatzidiakos, Tsimikas, Kourbelis, Siopis, Masouras, Bakasetas, Tzolis & Pavlidis
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W
Scotland
0
Greece
3
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L
Scotland
1
Greece
0
UEFA Nations League B 17/11/24
W
Finland
0
Greece
2
UEFA Nations League B 14/11/24
L
England
3
Greece
0
UEFA Nations League B 13/10/24
W
Rep of Ireland
0
Greece
2
Player to watch: Vangelis Pavlidis
While he only scored in one game in this UEFA Nations League edition, his brace against England shocked the football world as Greece took all three points against the favoured opponent. Pavlidis is a constant threat in front of a goal and Finland will have to keep a close eye on him in this match.
