Greece vs Finland prediction, odds & betting tips 07/09/2024

Greece vs Finland prediction, odds & betting tips 07/09/2024
Photo by IMAGO
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Over 2.5 total goals

Each of Finland's last eight games went above the 2.5-goal threshold

An interesting fixture is on the cards as Greece and Finland battle for three points in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday, 7 September. View our free Greece vs Finland predictions below.

Greece vs Finland predictions: Hosts to emerge victorious

Key stats

  • Greece have lost just once in their last 11 home games stretching back to November 2021.
  • On the other hand, Finland suffered three defeats in their last five matches away from home.
  • Almost four goals were scored on average in Finland's last eight games.
  • Each of Finland's last five matches featured goals at both ends.

Correct score prediction: Greece 2-1 Finland

Greece won seven of their last 10 home games. Interestingly, three of their last five victories against Finland have been by a 2-1 scoreline.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Greece are clear favourites

  • HOME:3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
  • DRAW:13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY:18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Although Greece and Finland did not qualify for Euro 2024, it is worth mentioning that they both made it as far as the Qualification Playoffs.

As both teams look to kick off their Nations League campaign with a victory, Greece are the expected winners at 3/4 (1.75). Teams with these odds usually have a 57.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Greece vs Finland predictions.

Additionally, both teams were on the scoresheet in each of Finland's last five matches. Keeping in mind that Greece have scored two goals on average in their last six games, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 21/20 (2.05). That one has a 48.8% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: An even contest

In the last seven skirmishes between these outfits, both teams have three wins apiece with a draw between them. However, Greece have been the more dominant side overall, losing only six times in 18 previous encounters with Finland (W9, D3).

It is also worth mentioning that Greece and Finland were paired in the same Nations League group in 2018.

Greece preview: Hoping for a solid League B debut

Greece won five out of six group games in their previous Nations League campaign, gaining promotion to League B for the first time. They will have to contend with England, Finland and Ireland for a place in the Nations League's top tier.

Predicted lineup: Tzolakis (GK), Giannoulis, Koulierakis, Retsos, Tsimikas, Mantalos, Galanopoulos, Tzolis, Bakasetas, Masouras & Pavlidis.

International Match 11/06/24

W

Malta

Malta

0

Greece

Greece

2

International Match 07/06/24

L

Germany

Germany

2

Greece

Greece

1

Euro 2024 Qualifying 26/03/24

L

Georgia

Georgia

0 (4)

Greece

Greece

0 (2)

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/03/24

W

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

0

Greece

Greece

5

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/11/23

D

France

France

2

Greece

Greece

2

Finland preview: Will the third time be the charm?

This is Finland's third consecutive campaign in League B. They finished second in their previous two outings, and will set their sights on achieving promotion to League A.

Predicted lineup: Hradecky (GK), Ollila, Vaisanen, Hoskonen, Jensen, Maenpaa, Suhonen, Lod, Terho, Pukki & Pohjanpalo.

International Match 07/06/24

D

Scotland

Scotland

2

Finland

Finland

2

International Match 04/06/24

L

Portugal

Portugal

4

Finland

Finland

2

International Match 26/03/24

W

Estonia

Estonia

1

Finland

Finland

2

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/03/24

L

Wales

Wales

4

Finland

Finland

1

Euro 2024 Qualifying 20/11/23

W

San Marino

San Marino

1

Finland

Finland

2

Player to watch: Teemu Pukki

Greece vs Finland predictions
Photo by IMAGO

Teemu Pukki is Finland's all-time top scorer and is just 15 caps away from the all-time appearance record. Interestingly, the former Norwich forward has a solid track record against Greece, having scored in the last two encounters between these teams. He will fancy his chances of extending his scoring run against Greece to three matches.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives