Germany vs Paraguay prediction, betting tips and preview – World Cup 2026

World Cup – 2026 World Cup

Paraguay

29/06/2026 22:30

Not Started Boston Stadium – Foxborough

Germany

Defeat against another South American opponent at the 2026 World Cup would prove costly for Germany, who face Paraguay in their round of 32 clash at Gillette Stadium on Monday.

Julian Nagelsmann’s side enter this encounter following a loss to Ecuador in the final round of their Group E fixture, though Die Nationalelf still clinched top spot thanks to their head-to-head advantage over Ivory Coast.

Paraguay, meanwhile, settled for a goalless draw with Australia on matchday three to earn a spot in the knockout as one of the best third-placed teams.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions, as well as our best 2026 World Cup betting offers and free bets.

Germany vs. Paraguay key stats

• Germany have won 11 of their last 12 games (L1).
• Paraguay failed to record victory in three of their last five matches.
• Over 2.5 goals has landed in each of Germany’s last eight outings, with Die Nationalelf netting multiple times in seven of those.

Germany vs. Paraguay preview: Germany look to steady after group-stage stumble

Despite a recent setback at the World Cup, there is still optimism among Germany supporters, who saw their side progress to the knockout stage of the competition for the first time since 2014.

Nagelsmann’s team opened the tournament in dominant fashion, beating Curacao 7-1 before coming from behind to secure a 2-1 win over Ivory Coast on matchday two, a result that ensured top spot in Group E.

The head coach retained a core of his starting lineup on matchday three, although injuries to Nico Schlotterbeck and Nathaniel Brown forced two changes, with Antonio Rudiger and David Raum coming into the side.

Die Nationalelf then suffered a 2-1 defeat to Ecuador in that fixture, despite taking an early lead through Leroy Sane, ending their 11-match winning run.

The result highlighted ongoing defensive concerns, with Germany without a clean sheet at the World Cup since the 1-0 victory over Argentina in the 2014 final that secured a fourth title.

Deniz Undav is the team’s leading scorer at the tournament with three goals, although the Stuttgart forward has yet to start a match, leaving uncertainty over his role in this knockout tie.

Meanwhile, Paraguay began the competition slowly with a 4-1 defeat to the USA before responding with a narrow 1-0 win against Turkey on matchday two.

A goalless draw with Australia in their final Group D fixture secured third place and a spot in the knockout phase as one of the best third-placed teams.

This marks Paraguay’s ninth World Cup appearance, with their best run coming in 2010 when they reached the quarter-finals.

Matching or surpassing that achievement requires breaking down a Germany side that has avoided defeat in the last two meetings between the nations, including a 1-0 win at the 2002 World Cup and a 3-3 friendly draw in 2013.

Germany vs. Paraguay form guide & betting tips

Whispers predicts: Germany 2-1 Paraguay

Germany remain strong favourites at 9/25 (1.36) compared to Paraguay at 7/1 (8.00), with the market viewing their defeat last time out as an isolated setback.

Die Nationalelf are still expected to respond strongly against a side ranked 31 places lower in the FIFA World Rankings, making a Germany win the most reliable option.

Greater value is found in the goals markets, with both teams to score priced at 1/1 (2.00), particularly given Germany’s defensive record, while over 2.5 goals is also appealing at 18/25 (1.72).

For higher risk and return, Germany win and both teams to score is available at 9/4 (3.25), aligning closely with a 2-1 correct score in favour of the European nation priced at 8/1 (9.00).