Finland vs San Marino prediction, preview & betting tips – 15/11/2026
Photo by Cerberus Sport / Alamy.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Both Teams to Score - No

San Marino lost the reverse fixture 7-0 and have scored in just two of their last 11 competitive games.

In the final game of their UEFA Nations League campaign, Finland and San Marino will square off in Helsinki on Sunday.

Both teams are unable to earn promotion, with the visitors yet to put a point on the board in their five matches.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Finland vs. San Marino key stats

  • Finland have scored nine goals and conceded just four in the UEFA Nations League group C1.
  • Finland have won all seven H2Hs on the record including a 7-0 victory in the reverse fixture in September.
  • San Marino have lost all five of their Nations League games so far this campaign.
  • San Marino are winless in their last 20 matches.

Finland vs. San Marino preview: Finland to conclude Nations League campaign with win

Finland vs San Marino — Tale of the Tape

Finland vs San Marino
3rdPosition4th
7Points0
9Goals For1
4Goals Against18
2Clean Sheets0
3rd (H)Home / Away Rank4th (A)

Finland head into their final game of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League unable to earn promotion from League C.

They suffered relegation from a tough group B2 in the previous term and made a positive start to 2026-27, winning two and drawing one of their first three matches having begun with a 7-0 thrashing of San Marino in the reverse fixture before playing out a goalless stalemate with Belarus and beating Albania 2-1 thanks to Leo Walta's brace.

The Huuhkajat have since suffered consecutive defeats to fall out of contention for a return to the second tier, though, firstly falling to a 1-0 loss in the return fixture against Belarus before losing 2-0 away at Albania on Thursday, in a game in which they could have gone second.

Instead, Jacob Friis's side sit third and unable to overtake Belarus on the final day due to their inferior head-to-head record, meaning they are only looking to finish on a positive note with 10 points in their final competitive game of the year.

Their visitors, meanwhile, make the trip aiming to bow out of the Nations League on a positive note having not yet managed a point after promotion to League C.

A historic 2024-25 campaign saw San Marino top group D1 on seven points from four matches, but they have since slipped into another winless run which was previously typical for La Serenissima, who arrived in the new campaign without a victory in 15 outings having lost 14 of those, largely in World Cup qualifying.

They have been unable to correct that in group C1, losing all five of their matches thus far and conceding 18 goals while scoring just one, with the 7-0 home beating in their first outing with Finland being the toughest, while only getting on the scoresheet in a 2-1 away loss to Albania courtesy of Lorenzo Lazzari in which the hosts only scored the winner in injury time.

On their return to action in the November international break, Roberto Cevoli's side hosted Belarus on Thursday and lost 2-0, with Kirill Gomanov and Artyom Kontsevoy on the scoresheet for the visitors, and they will now bid to finish with a confidence-boosting first win since 2024 before facing another campaign in League C with no relegation this term due to the elimination of the bottom tier.

Finland vs. San Marino form guide & betting tips

Finland vs. San Marino — Last 5 Form Guide
Finland vs San Marino
WDWLL
Form
LLLLL
7Points0
3rdForm Table4TH
9Goals For1
4Goals Against18

Whispers predicts: Finland 4-0 San Marino

San Marino failed to score at home to Finland and have scored in just one of five Nations League games and two of their last 11 competitive matches. We struggle to see them getting on the scoresheet in Helsinki and opt for Both Teams to Score – No.

La Serenissima have struggled to keep things tight, too, particularly against a Finland team who were two leagues above them in the 2024-25 Nations League campaign. Left disappointed by consecutive losses, we see the superior hosts dishing out a beating and fancy over 3.5 goals.

Leo Walta has scored a pair of braces in this Nations League term and is operating in an advanced midfield role for Finland. With chances likely to be aplenty for the hosts we cannot see past him scoring anytime again.

📈 Finland vs. San Marino — Whispers' Tips

> Both Teams to Score – No | Likelihood: Likely

> Over 3.5 goals | Likelihood: Probable

> Leo Walta to score anytime | Likelihood: Possible


Sam is a sports reporter with over four years of experience covering football across the world. He is a long-suffering Sheffield United fan and lover of most sports, primarily focusing on football and golf.