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Latvia will take on Armenia in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 15 November, with both teams playing for nothing but pride after a miserable campaign.
Under normal circumstances, Latvia would be facing relegation to League D, but a change in rules means they will retain their League C status for the 2028-29 campaign.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
Latvia vs Armenia key stats
- Latvia have lost five of their last six games in all competitions.
- Armenia have lost just two of their last seven games in all competitions.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in each of Armenia's last three matches.
Latvia vs Armenia preview: More misery ahead for the hosts
Latvia vs Armenia — Tale of the Tape
| Latvia | vs | Armenia |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Position | 3rd |
| 1 | Points | 5 |
| 3 | Goals For | 5 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
Latvia have endured a gruelling Nations League campaign, picking up just one point from their five group games to date.
Fortunately for Paolo Nicolato and his side, the rules have changed for this edition of the tournament, meaning no League C teams are being relegated due to the removal of League D for the 2028-29 campaign.
That doesn't mean Latvia should take this game lightly. Their supporters have seen them win just one game of football on home soil over the last 26 months, and this is their most ‘winnable' League C fixture.
Latvia have no injuries or suspensions for this one, which means Nicolato can select his strongest possible starting XI.
As for Armenia, their League C campaign has gone marginally better, but they are still out of contention for promotion with one game to play.
The visitors have picked up five points from their five Nations League matches, and although they trail Cyprus in second by three points, they have picked up just one point in their two matches against the Cypriots, so they cannot leapfrog them.
One thing that Yeghishe Melikyan has done well this year is make Armenia harder to beat. While they haven't won a bucketload of games, they have at least avoided defeat in five of their last seven.
Melikyan has more decisions to make in his team selection for this match, with Erik Simonyan, Kamo Hovhannisyan, and Vahan Bichakhchyan all out injured.
Latvia vs Armenia form guide & betting tips
| Latvia | vs | Armenia |
|---|---|---|
LDLLL |
Form | WLLDD |
| 3 | Goals For | 5 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 6 |
LLL |
Nations League | LDD |
Whispers predicts: Latvia 0-1 Armenia
Latvia's recent performances have not been those of a team capable of picking up three points against a team ranked higher than them in the world rankings. Armenia to win has been best priced at 7/5.
Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of Latvia's last four home games. Under 2.5 goals has been priced at 4/6.
Artur Gharibyan is averaging a goal every other game in the Nations League this season. Gharibyan to score anytime has been priced at 5/2.
> Armenia to win at 7/5 (2.40) | Likelihood: Possible
> Under 3.5 goals at 4/6 (1.67) | Likelihood: Probable
> Artur Gharibyan to score anytime at 5/2 (3.50) | Likelihood: Possible