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Estrela Amadora will play host to Porto in the upcoming Primeira Liga round on Sunday, April 26.
The hosts are fighting for survival, while Porto enter the game as league leaders and the favourites in the title race. So, both teams will fight hard for points from this game, but who will emerge victorious?
Read our Estrela Amadora vs Porto prediction and preview to find out, but don't forget to also check out our other Primeira Liga predictions and our favourite betting tips for today.
Contents
Estrela Amadora vs Porto key stats
- Porto have conceded just 14 goals in 30 matches in the league.
- Four of the last five meetings between these teams have gone under 2.5 total goals.
- Both teams have gone under 2.5 total goals in their last three games they played.
- We saw double-digit corners in four of the previous five meetings between Estrela and Porto.
Estrela Amadora vs Porto preview: Hosts looking for an upset
| Estrela Amadora | vs | Porto |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Position | 1st |
| 28 | Points | 79 |
| 33 | Goals For | 61 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 13th | Home Rank | 1st |
| 16th | Away Rank | 1st |
With four games left in the season, Estrela Amadora sit in 15th place in the standings, one spot and two points above the relegation zone. That being said, 16th place leads to relegation playoffs, so even if they drop down to it, Estrela Amadora will have another chance to avoid relegation.
Estrela Amadora have managed to win just once in their last nine matches in the league, so their fans have every right to be worried heading into this final stretch. They've also lost their last three games in a row and four of their last five.
Since their next opponent is Porto, who sit at the top of the standings and have only lost once this entire season, Estrela Amadora will have to play their best football to cause an upset, and even that might not be enough.
The hosts could be without Bernardo Schappo, Jefferson Encada, Issiar Drame, and Matthew Gbomadu, who are all questionable for this match.
Porto managed to put behind them recent Europa League elimination by Nottingham Forest ahead of last weekend's meeting with Tondela, which they won 2-0. Thanks to that win, they are one step closer to clinching the title.
At the moment, Porto sit at 79 points, while Benfica are at 72. Sporting Lisbon have 71 points and a game in hand. All in all, Porto are in a great spot to be crowned as champions, especially when we consider the fact that they've only failed to win five times in 30 games in Primeira Liga.
Samu Aghehowa and Luuk de Jong, the team's key pieces on the offensive end, remain out with injuries, along with Martim Fernandes, Zaidu, and Nehuen Perez.
Estrela Amadora vs Porto form guide & betting tips
| Estrela Amadora | vs | Porto |
|---|---|---|
| L-W-L-L-L | League Form | W-W-D-W-W |
| 3 | Points | 13 |
| 14th | Form Table | 1st |
| 5 | Goals For | 12 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 4 |
| L-L-L | Form (all comps) | L-W-D |
Whispers predicts: Estrela Amadora 0-2 Porto
Given Estrela Amadora's struggles to score and Porto's amazing defence this season, Porto to win to nil sounds like a smart bet at 21/20 odds. Furthermore, under 2.5 total goals at even odds is also a reasonable bet.
Lastly, recent H2H history between these teams suggests we will see double-digit corners, which is priced at even odds.
> Porto to win to nil at 21/20 | Likelihood: Probable
> Under 2.5 total goals at 1/1 | Likelihood: Probable
> Over 9.5 total corners at 1/1 | Likelihood: Possible
> Porto to win with handicap (-1) at 19/20 | Likelihood: Possible
> Correct score 0-2 at 11/2 | Likelihood: Outsider