Derby vs Portsmouth prediction, odds & betting tips 16/09/2023

Derby
16/09/23 - 15:00

Finished

1

-

1

Portsmouth

Derby - Portsmouth

England League 1 - Pride Park Stadium

8th Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Derby and Portsmouth cross swords on Saturday, September 16th in a League One clash between two teams that have very high ambitions and desires to challenge for promotion. Here is our detailed preview of the game, as well as our best Derby vs Portsmouth free betting tips. 

Derby vs Portsmouth predictions and betting tips

If you need help finding the right bet for Derby vs Portsmouth, check our top betting picks for this game, along with our other best football tips for today.

BTTS

  • Derby saw 3 of their last 4 league matches produce BTTS outcomes. 
  • Also, in 5 of the last 6 H2Hs, both teams scored. 
  • Portsmouth registered 6 BTTS outcomes in their last 9 away league games. 

Waghorn to Score Anytime

  • Derby’s new striker Waghorn has hit the ground running and he has 5 goals in the last 4 rounds. 
  • Waghorn scored in the last 2 home matches too. 
  • Also, Portsmouth failed to keep a clean sheet against the Rams in 5 of their last 6 meetings. 

Top betting odds and key stats for Derby vs Portsmouth

Check the best Derby vs Portsmouth odds and useful stats here, on our website:

Head to Head

29/04/23

England League 1 League 1

Derby

Derby

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

1

1

18/11/22

England League 1 League 1

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

Derby

Derby

0

0

12/08/15

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

Derby

Derby

2

1

Last Five - Derby

27/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Carlisle

Carlisle

Derby

Derby

0

2

W

20/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Cambridge Utd

Cambridge Utd

Derby

Derby

0

1

W

13/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

Derby

Derby

0

3

W

10/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Wycombe

Wycombe

Derby

Derby

0

0

D

02/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

Derby

Derby

2

2

D

Last Five - Portsmouth

27/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Lincoln City

Lincoln City

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

0

2

W

20/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Wigan

Wigan

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

2

1

L

16/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Barnsley

Barnsley

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

2

3

W

13/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Bolton

Bolton

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

1

1

D

06/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

1

3

W

Now, let's take a better look at the best markets and odds we found for this duel:

Derby odds: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5% Probability

Draw odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6% Probability

Portsmouth odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6% Probability

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

As we can see, the bookies favour Derby as the expected winners of this match. With a 45.50% win probability. In other markets Over 2.5 Goals comes at 55.40% probability.  

Derby – Portsmouth preview: latest form, news, and potential lineups

Read all of the latest injury updates and team news for this duel, including our predicted Derby vs Portsmouth lineups.

Derby

Derby have been struggling to find consistency so far. They mixed 3 wins with 3 defeats in the first 6 rounds. All of those 3 defeats with the same 1-2 scorelines. Last time around the Rams lost 1-2 away vs Bolton. An early red card for goalkeeper Wildsmith proved crucial for this outcome. 

The League One best goalie from last season Wildsmith now sits out suspended. This will give the experienced Vickers a chance to impress. 

Derby have other serious selection issues too. Star playmaker Bird, the main right midfielder Ward and the useful centre-back Wilson are all sidelined. Rooney and Sibley could miss too due to knocks. In better news, Barkhuizen is finally fit and he could be ready to play his first minutes of the season. 

Predicted Lineup: 

Vickers (GK), Cashin, Nelson, Forsyth, Mendez-Laing, Smith, Hourihane, Fornah, Barkhuizen, Washington & Waghorn 

Portsmouth

Portsmouth have made a solid start to the campaign and they remain undefeated after 6 rounds (W3 D3). Continue to struggle for goals though and this is the main reason why only draws were registered in half of the matches so far. 

Pompey have some selection issues ahead of this match. Star playmaker Morrell and the main right-back Rafferty are suspended. Another key midfielder Whyte could miss too as he got hurt last weekend while on international duty. 

In further problems, a third key midfielder Lowery needs surgery and he will be out until Christmas. The options in attack remain limited too as both Scully and Yengi, regular starters when fit, remain in rehabilitation. 

Predicted Lineup: 

Norris (GK), Swanson, Poole, Shaughnessy, Ogilvie, Robertson, Pack, Saydee, Anjorin, Kamara & Bishop

​Starting Lineups

The teams usually announce their starting lineups one hour before the start of the game.

​Player to Watch: Will Norris

Portsmouth have problems scoring goals so far this season. This makes the role of their starting goalie Will Norris even more important. In every game Pompey have won so far Norris has been the Player of the Match. 

Norris will certainly be busy in Derby and only if he can produce another inspiring display Pompey will be travelling back home with some points in the bag. 

Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction


Iskra had a promising, at least she believed so, tennis and volleyball career as a junior but a series of injuries ended her hopes to become a professional athlete very early. Instead, she focused all her energy on her other passions - soccer scouting and sports writing. For nearly two decades, Iskra had been a freelance sports writer. Football, basketball and tennis are the main fields of her expertise. She has dined with kings, queens and some of the most famous sports figures of the past and the present. Iskra is also a member of the largest independent union of investigative journalists. She has minority ownership at several sports clubs and has been actively involved with the creation of FIFA [Freelance Isn't Free Act] and its passing as official legislation.