Cologne vs Freiburg prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/05/2024

Cologne
04/05/24 - 17:30

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SC Freiburg

Cologne - SC Freiburg

Germany Bundesliga I - RheinEnergieStadion

Cologne vs Freiburg prediction
Cologne have been toothless in attack this season – Photo by Icon Sport

Relegation-threatened Cologne are in desperate need of a win as they prepare to host Freiburg at the RheinEnergieSTADION on Saturday, 4 May. Check out our Bundesliga betting tips for the contest below.

Cologne vs Freiburg prediction: Can hosts secure a vital win?

Cologne vs Freiburg Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Freiburg to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Cologne 0-1 Freiburg

⚽ First Goal

Freiburg

Key Stats

  • Cologne were beaten in four of their last five Bundesliga home games.
  • Freiburg have won each of their last three tussles with Cologne.
  • Cologne have scored just 24 times in 31 Bundesliga fixtures this season.
  • Freiburg opened the scoring in each of their last four away matches in the Bundesliga.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour hosts

  • HOME: 27/20 (2.35) – 42.6%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Cologne have been named as favourites to beat Freiburg this weekend despite a torrid run of four losses in their last five Bundesliga home fixtures. The hosts have a 42.6% chance of success according to the bookies, though they have also lost each of their last three encounters with Freiburg and football tips suggest opposing the bookmakers could be a savvier move on Saturday.

Freiburg came out on top in each of their last three away games in the Bundesliga and chasing down a place in the top six, they still have plenty to play for. Cologne need to be note-perfect in the run-in to stand a chance of avoiding the drop, though they should find the going tough here against Christian Streich’s outfit.

Last five H2Hs: History favours Freiburg

Germany Bundesliga I 17/12/23

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2
Cologne

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 29/04/23

Cologne

Cologne

0
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 06/11/22

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2
Cologne

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 05/02/22

Cologne

Cologne

1
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 11/09/21

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1
Cologne

Cologne

1

Freiburg edged out Cologne 2-0 in December, though they scored their two goals after their opponents were reduced to ten men. Freiburg have won each of the last three iterations of this fixture overall.

Cologne preview: Hosts missing several players

Davie Selke, Luca Kilian, Florian Dietz and Justin Diehl are all injured for Cologne at present while Leart Paqarada and Dejan Ljubicic are both ill and could also miss out on Saturday. Cologne are seven points shy of safety in the standings.

Predicted lineup: Schwabe – Schmitz, Hubers, Chabot, Finkgrafe – Martel, Huseinbasic – Thielmann, Waldschmidt, Alidou – Tigges

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

4

Cologne

Cologne

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/24

W

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Cologne

Cologne

3

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/24

D

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

Cologne

Cologne

0

Germany Bundesliga I 28/04/24

D

Mainz

Mainz

1

Cologne

Cologne

1

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/24

L

Darmstadt

Darmstadt

2

Cologne

Cologne

0

Freiburg preview: Visitors depleted at the back

Merlin Rohl, Philipp Lienhart, Matthias Ginter, Kenneth Schmidt and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh are injured for Freiburg while Nicolas Hofler and Kiliann Sildilla are both serving bans and will also be forced to watch from the stands.

Predicted lineup: Atubolu – Makengo, Keitel, Gulde – Doan, Eggestein, Muslija, Gunter – Sallai, Grifo, Gregoritsch

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

L

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/24

D

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

1

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/24

D

Cologne

Cologne

0

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/24

L

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 21/04/24

D

Mainz

Mainz

1

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Cologne vs Freiburg prediction
Yannik Keitel has been filling in at the back for depleted Freiburg – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Yannik Keitel

With Freiburg short on manpower at the back, Yannik Keitel has stepped back into the defensive breach of late and the converted midfielder is almost certain to reprise his role in the rearguard again on Saturday.

Keitel in unfamiliar territory

24-year-old Keitel defended manfully in ten-man Freiburg’s loss to Wolfsburg last weekend, making three interceptions and completing five clearances while carrying out an unfamiliar remit. Keitel’s numbers will need to be just as high if a patched-up Freiburg are to leave Cologne with points on Saturday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.