Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction, odds & betting tips – 10/02/2026
Chelsea Players: Photo by IMAGO / NurPhoto
🔥 Our Hot tip

Home win and over 2.5 goals

Chelsea have won each of their last four Premier League games, with each of the last three producing three or more goals.

Chelsea are looking to record a fifth Premier League victory on the trot under new boss Liam Rosenior as they welcome Leeds United to Stamford Bridge on Tuesday for matchday 26.

The Blues are in the race for a Champions League spot, currently sitting fifth and one point behind fourth-placed Manchester United, while the Whites are 16th, with a six-point cushion above the relegation zone.

Our Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction provides a clear outlook on the contest, with additional Premier League betting tips also included.

Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction: Blues to continue perfect record?

Key stats:

  • Chelsea have won each of their last six home games against Leeds.
  • The visitors have the third-worst away record in the division, with seven losses from 12 games (W1, D4).
  • Chelsea have netted exactly three goals in each of their last three Premier League outings.
  • The Blues have both scored and conceded in eight of their last nine top-flight matches.

Correct score prediction: Chelsea 3–1 Leeds

Chelsea enter this clash following a 3–1 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers, a result that extends the Blues’ winning league streak under Rosenior to four, with exactly three goals scored in each of the last three, and we expect them to do the same here against a Leeds side poor on the road.

However, the visitors will look to give a good account of themselves as they enter this clash buoyed by a 3–1 win over Nottingham Forest, and we are not putting it past Leeds to find the net at least once on Tuesday.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Hosts priced too high?

  • HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
  • DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes and subject to change.

For a side on a good run in the Premier League, the 1.55 placed on Chelsea seems generous, especially considering their dominant home record and pedigree, while the newly promoted side are available at 5.50, implying an 18.2% chance of taking full spoils. Meanwhile, a draw is priced at 4.33.

Our hot tip — Chelsea win and over 2.5 goals — offers value at 23/20 (2.15).

Most recent H2H: Chelsea out for revenge

The most recent meeting between the two sides came in the reverse fixture in December when Chelsea suffered a 3–1 loss at Elland Road, though the Blues have been dominant on their turf, winning each of the last six meetings there.

England Premier League 03/12/25

Leeds

Leeds

3
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England FA Cup 28/02/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

3
Leeds

Leeds

2

England Premier League 04/03/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Premier League 21/08/22

Leeds

Leeds

3
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 11/05/22

Leeds

Leeds

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

3
c

Chelsea preview: Key defender to return?

Club captain Reece James has missed Chelsea’s last two outings, but manager Rosenior recently indicated that the defender could be fit for Tuesday’s clash.

Meanwhile, Andrey Santos, who was forced off in the victory at Wolves, will need to undergo a late fitness test to ascertain availability, while backup goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen is also doubtful.

Confirmed absentees include Jamie Gittens, Tosin Adarabioyo, Dario Essugo, Romeo Lavia and Levi Colwill.

Predicted XI: Sanchez (GK), Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella, Caicedo, Fernandez, Estevao, Palmer, Neto & Joao Pedro

Chelsea’s last five results:

  • 07/02/26: Wolves 1–3 Chelsea (W)
  • 03/02/26: Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea (L)
  • 31/01/26: Chelsea 3–2 West Ham (W)
  • 28/01/26: Napoli 2–3 Chelsea (W)
  • 25/01/26: Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea (W)

Leeds preview: An almost full squad

Leeds have an almost fully fit squad available for Tuesday’s trip, with Anton Stach (hip) seemingly being the only player in the club’s infirmary.

Predicted XI: Darlow (GK), Rodon, Struijk, Justin, Bogle, Aaronson, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson, Calvert-Lewin & Okafor

Leeds United’s last five results:

  • 06/02/26: Leeds 3–1 Nottingham Forest (W)
  • 31/01/26: Leeds 0–4 Arsenal (L)
  • 26/01/26: Everton 1–1 Leeds (D)
  • 17/01/26: Leeds 1–0 Fulham (W)
  • 11/01/26: Derby 1–3 Leeds (W)

Player to watch: Cole Palmer

Chelsea’s Cole Palmer: Photo by IMAGO / Sports Press Photo

Cole Palmer scored a first-half treble in Saturday’s victory against Wolves, which saw the England international surpass the likes of Frank Lampard, Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink and Didier Drogba for the most Premier League hat-tricks for Chelsea, with the trio on three each.

Palmer also became the first player in the competition’s history to score three first-half hat-tricks, and he will enter Tuesday’s clash full of confidence.


Adeyeye Oluwapelumi is a writer with over four years of experience covering football and a range of global sports. A passionate Arsenal fan since 2004, he brings sharp insight and a genuine love for the game to every piece.