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Casa Pia and Benfica return from the international break with contrasting ambitions when they meet at the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior on Monday.
The hosts sit near the relegation playoff spot heading into the final stretch, while the visitors occupy third place and continue their pursuit of the Primeira Liga summit.
The Geese arrive low on momentum after a heavy defeat, whereas the Eagles resume action, aiming to extend an impressive unbeaten league campaign.
In addition to our Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction below, check out the rest of our Primeira Liga tips.
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Casa Pia vs Benfica key stats
- Each of Benfica's last six outings has featured over 2.5 goals.
- The Eagles are unbeaten in 42 league games (W30, D12), stretching from last season.
- Casa Pia remain winless in each of their last four outings (D2, L2).
- Five of Benfica’s last six matches featured over 9.5 corners.
Casa Pia vs Benfica preview: Eagles eye another step in title chase
| Casa Pia | vs | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Position | 3rd |
| 24 | Points | 65 |
| 26 | Goals For | 58 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 16th | Home Rank | 3rd |
| 12th | Away Rank | 3rd |
Casa Pia head into this encounter following a heavy 4-0 defeat to Estrela Amadora, a result that extended their winless run.
While Alvaro Pacheco’s side are struggling for rhythm, they have remained solid at home, currently unbeaten in five matches on their own turf (W2, D3).
Each of the last three meetings between Casa Pia and Benfica has featured over 2.5 goals.
One of those victories ended Porto’s unbeaten league streak in February, highlighting Casa Pia’s ability to trouble stronger opposition and providing encouragement ahead of this clash.
The hosts have also taken points from the last two encounters in this fixture, winning the corresponding meeting before earning a draw earlier this season, although Benfica arrive in stronger form.
The Eagles return from the break after a convincing 3-0 victory over Vitória de Guimarães, extending their impressive recent run.
That result maintained Jose Mourinho’s side as the only unbeaten team in the division, keeping them firmly in the hunt for the title.
Benfica have scored at least twice in each of their last four league games.
The Eagles have now won five of their last six league matches and will aim to continue that momentum as they focus solely on the Primeira Liga.
An impressive away record further strengthens their chances, with Benfica winning 10 of their 13 league games on the road to rank among the strongest travellers in the division.
Casa Pia vs Benfica form guide & betting tips
| Team A | vs | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| W-L-D-D-L | League Form | W-W-D-W-W |
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 14th | Form Table | 2nd |
| 4 | Goals For | 12 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 4 |
| W-L-D-D-L | Form (all comps) | L-W-D-W-W |
Whispers predicts: Casa Pia 1-2 Benfica
Benfica’s superior quality and momentum leave them as strong favourites heading into this encounter, with odds of 1.19 for an away victory indicating clear market confidence.
However, the contest could prove closer than expected given Casa Pia’s recent resilience in this fixture and their solid home run.
As such, BTTS-yes offers strong value at 2.05, while over 2.5 goals also appeals at 1.53.
There is greater upside in Benfica win and BTTS-yes at 3.00, which aligns with a 2-1 correct score in favour of the visitors priced at 9.50, while over 9.5 corners at 1.90 looks like another appealing option.
> Total goals – Over 2.5 at 1.53 | Likelihood: Probable
> BTTS – Yes at 2.05 | Likelihood: Probable
> Benfica win & BTTS yes at 3.00 | Likelihood: Possible
> Total corners – Over 9.5 at 1.90 | Likelihood: Possible
> Correct score – Casa Pia 1-2 Benfica at 9.50 | Likelihood: Outsider