Swansea vs Cardiff prediction, odds and betting tips 16/03/2024

Swansea
16/03/24 - 12:30

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Cardiff

Swansea - Cardiff

England Championship - Liberty Stadium

Swansea vs Cardiff prediction
Bragging rights and three points are up for grabs in this Welsh grudge match – Photo by Icon Sport

It was a monumental victory for Cardiff at home to their biggest rivals earlier in the season and that was seemingly a springboard for their season with the Bluebirds sitting 10 points ahead of Swansea.

Swansea vs Cardiff prediction: Hosts can ill afford further embarrassment

Swansea vs Cardiff predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

⚽ Correct score prediction

Swansea 1-1 Cardiff

⏱ HT/FT

Swansea/Draw

Key stats

  • Cardiff have failed to score on their previous two visits to the Swansea.com Stadium
  • Swansea have lost once in their last four matches
  • Cardiff are on a five-game unbeaten run

Pre-game odds and win probability: Swans tipped to get their revenge

Home: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%

Draw: 5/2 (3.5) – 28.6%

Away: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

Form goes out the window when it comes to a Derby Day clash, so avoiding the outright winner market would be sensible given how high tensions are set to be. So why not check out our exciting free betting tips for something a bit more enticing?

We're predicting this to be a very close affair and wouldn't be surprised to see one team win to nil. This is mainly down to the fact one team has kept a clean sheet in four of the last five games

So, unlike our first goalscorer predictions in the Premier League on our betting insights page, we're opting for a more cautious approach in this derby.

Last five H2Hs: Swansea the dominant force in Wales

Before their humbling loss earlier in the season, Swansea had not lost in four games against their bitter rivals and recorded some emphatic victories in the process.

England Championship 16/09/23

Cardiff

Cardiff

2
Swansea

Swansea

0

England Championship 01/04/23

Cardiff

Cardiff

2
Swansea

Swansea

3

England Championship 23/10/22

Swansea

Swansea

2
Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 02/04/22

Cardiff

Cardiff

0
Swansea

Swansea

4

England Championship 17/10/21

Swansea

Swansea

3
Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Swansea preview: Derby Day delight could be in store for the hosts

Swansea have only managed to win three of their last 11 Championship fixtures, so their home fans have reason to worry heading into the derby against a Cardiff team thriving, especially when they've lost four of their last five home games.

Predicted lineup: Rushworth (GK) – Tymon, Cabango, Wood, Naughton – Allen, Grimes – Placheta, Paterson, Lowe – Cullen

England Championship 04/05/24

L

Millwall

Millwall

1

Swansea

Swansea

0

England Championship 27/04/24

D

Norwich

Norwich

2

Swansea

Swansea

2

England Championship 20/04/24

W

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

0

Swansea

Swansea

4

England Championship 13/04/24

W

Rotherham

Rotherham

0

Swansea

Swansea

1

England Championship 10/04/24

W

Stoke

Stoke

0

Swansea

Swansea

3

Cardiff preview: Form is on their side

A three-game losing streak in February was perhaps the best thing that happened to Cardiff because since then, they have not tasted defeat, winning four times and drawing once. So they're certainly the form side, but that counts for very little in this fixture.

Predicted lineup: Horvath (GK) – Wilson-Esbrand, Goutas, Phillips, Ng – Wintle, Siopis – Grant, Turnbull, Bowler – O'Dowda

UK Friendlies 16/07/24

W

gb

Penybont

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

7

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

W

KV Kortrijk

KV Kortrijk

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

3

UK Friendlies 10/07/24

L

Kidderminster

Kidderminster

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 04/05/24

L

Rotherham

Rotherham

5

Cardiff

Cardiff

2

England Championship 27/04/24

L

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

4

Cardiff

Cardiff

1

West Brom's Karlan Grant
Karlan Grant has more assists when playing away from home this season Andrew Yates / Sportimage – Photo by Icon sport

Player to watch: Karlan Grant

The experienced attacker will be key to Cardiff navigating their way through a very tricky away Derby Day clash. Grant played the full 90 minutes in the reverse fixture so ahs that winning experience in a very hot environment.

Grant has found home comforts

Grant has registered just eight goal involvements for Cardiff this season, but when it comes to assisting his teammates, he's found it much easier away from home.

The veteran winger has three assists for the season and two of them have come on the road, so Swansea know exactly how he can be a big threat.


Aaron is a multi-skilled sports content writer and media professional. He is a specialist in both Men's and Women's football, along with golf.