Tottenham vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/05/2024

11/05/24 - 15:00

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Tottenham - Burnley

England Premier League - Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Here are our Premier League predictions for Burnley's trip to the capital to face Tottenham.

Following four straight league defeats Tottenham simply have to return to winning ways on Saturday if they are to consolidate a fifth-place finish in the Premier League this season, while visiting Burnley have to win their last two games and hope that Nottingham Forest lose both of their matches if they are to have any chance of remaining in the top-flight for another season.

Tottenham vs Burnley predictions: Are Tottenham too strong for Burnley?

Key Stats

• Both teams have scored in four of Spurs' and five of Burnley's last six outings in the Premier League and we're backing BTTS on Saturday.
• Tottenham have scored at least two goals in three of their last five matches but haven't managed to keep any clean sheets in their last six attempts which is why we're backing a final scoreline of 2-1 in the hosts' favour.
• Four of Tottenham's last five matches and two of Burnley's last three fixtures have ended with over 2.5 goals being scored, while the reverse league meeting between these two clubs produced seven goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The bookmakers are backing a home win

• HOME: 6/17 (1.35) – 73.9%
• DRAW: 27/5 (6.40) – 15.6%
• AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Tottenham are the expected winner of this game with a win probability of 73.9%, and it's hard to argue against the bookmakers on this one.

Spurs lost 4-2 at Liverpool last weekend, while Burnley were beaten 4-1 in their own backyard by Newcastle.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Tottenham's Heung-Min Son is the favourite to score in this game at 5/6 (1.83) which has a probability of 54.5%, but if you want to go with a Burnley goalscorer then David Datro Fofana is priced at 3/1 (4.00) with a probability of 25%.

Last five H2Hs: Tottenham lead

England FA Cup 05/01/24

Tottenham

1

Burnley

0

England Premier League 02/09/23

Burnley

2

Tottenham

5

England Premier League 15/05/22

Tottenham

1

Burnley

0

England Premier League 23/02/22

Burnley

1

Tottenham

0

England EFL Cup 27/10/21

Burnley

0

Tottenham

1

Spurs have won 39. drawn 21 and lost 32 of their last 92 meetings with Burnley across all competitions and Tottenham have already beaten Saturday's guests in the FA Cup and Premier League this season.

Team news and form guide

Tottenham: Looking to end losing streak

the hosts could be without the likes of Destiny Udogie, Fraser Forster, Ryan Sessegnon, Timo Werner, Manor Solomon and Ben Davies this weekend due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Vicario (GK), Romero, Royal, Porro, van de Ven, Bentancur, Bissouma, Kulusevski, Sarr, Son & Johnson

England FA Cup 09/02/25

L

Aston Villa

2

Tottenham

1

England EFL Cup 06/02/25

L

Liverpool

4

Tottenham

0

England Premier League 02/02/25

W

Brentford

0

Tottenham

2

UEFA Europa League 30/01/25

W

Elfsborg

0

Tottenham

3

England Premier League 26/01/25

L

Leicester

2

Tottenham

1

Burnley: Simply must win this weekend

Aaron Ramsey, Jordan Beyer, Nathan Redmond and Ameen Al-Dakhil won't make the trip to North London on Saturday but Luca Koleosho and Maxime Esteve are expected to make their returns.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Brownhill, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Foster & Odobert

England FA Cup 08/02/25

W

Southampton

0

Burnley

1

England Championship 04/02/25

W

Oxford Utd

0

Burnley

1

England Championship 01/02/25

D

Portsmouth

0

Burnley

0

England Championship 27/01/25

D

Leeds

0

Burnley

0

England Championship 22/01/25

W

Plymouth

0

Burnley

5

Player to watch – Son Heung-Min

When the Son shines, Tottenham usually win so the hosts will be hoping for a big performance from their top goalscorer this weekend.

The South Korean international has scored 17 times in the Premier League this season as well as leading the club's assists chart with nine goals created.

Will Spurs' star player shine against Burnley?

Tottenham have been on a poor run of form and this weekend's match shouldn't be easy as Burnley are fighting for their lives but we're backing Son to put in a match-winning performance against the relegation-battlers.