Tottenham vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/05/2024

Tottenham
11/05/24 - 15:00

Finished

2

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Burnley

Tottenham - Burnley

England Premier League - Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham vs Burnley prediction
Tottenham Hotspur versus Burnley; Brennan Johnson of Tottenham holds off Hannes Delcroix of Burnley – Photo by Icon Sport

Here are our Premier League predictions for Burnley's trip to the capital to face Tottenham.

Following four straight league defeats Tottenham simply have to return to winning ways on Saturday if they are to consolidate a fifth-place finish in the Premier League this season, while visiting Burnley have to win their last two games and hope that Nottingham Forest lose both of their matches if they are to have any chance of remaining in the top-flight for another season.

Tottenham vs Burnley predictions: Are Tottenham too strong for Burnley?

Tottenham vs Burnley Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Both Teams to Score

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Tottenham 2-1 Burnley

⬆️ Over 2.5 Goals prediction

Yes

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in four of Spurs' and five of Burnley's last six outings in the Premier League and we're backing BTTS on Saturday.
  • Tottenham have scored at least two goals in three of their last five matches but haven't managed to keep any clean sheets in their last six attempts which is why we're backing a final scoreline of 2-1 in the hosts' favour.
  • Four of Tottenham's last five matches and two of Burnley's last three fixtures have ended with over 2.5 goals being scored, while the reverse league meeting between these two clubs produced seven goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The bookmakers are backing a home win

  • HOME: 6/17 (1.35) – 73.9%
  • DRAW: 27/5 (6.40) – 15.6%
  • AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Tottenham are the expected winner of this game with a win probability of 73.9%, and it's hard to argue against the bookmakers on this one.

Spurs lost 4-2 at Liverpool last weekend, while Burnley were beaten 4-1 in their own backyard by Newcastle.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Tottenham's Heung-Min Son is the favourite to score in this game at 5/6 (1.83) which has a probability of 54.5%, but if you want to go with a Burnley goalscorer then David Datro Fofana is priced at 3/1 (4.00) with a probability of 25%.

Last five H2Hs: Tottenham lead

England FA Cup 05/01/24

Tottenham

Tottenham

1
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Premier League 02/09/23

Burnley

Burnley

2
Tottenham

Tottenham

5

England Premier League 15/05/22

Tottenham

Tottenham

1
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Premier League 23/02/22

Burnley

Burnley

1
Tottenham

Tottenham

0

England EFL Cup 27/10/21

Burnley

Burnley

0
Tottenham

Tottenham

1

Spurs have won 39. drawn 21 and lost 32 of their last 92 meetings with Burnley across all competitions and Tottenham have already beaten Saturday's guests in the FA Cup and Premier League this season.

Team news and form guide

Tottenham: Looking to end losing streak

the hosts could be without the likes of Destiny Udogie, Fraser Forster, Ryan Sessegnon, Timo Werner, Manor Solomon and Ben Davies this weekend due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Vicario (GK), Romero, Royal, Porro, van de Ven, Bentancur, Bissouma, Kulusevski, Sarr, Son & Johnson

Elite Club Friendlies 22/05/24

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

1 (5)

Tottenham

Tottenham

1 (4)

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

0

Tottenham

Tottenham

3

England Premier League 14/05/24

L

Man City

Man City

2

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Burnley

Burnley

1

Tottenham

Tottenham

2

England Premier League 05/05/24

L

Liverpool

Liverpool

4

Tottenham

Tottenham

2

Burnley: Simply must win this weekend

Aaron Ramsey, Jordan Beyer, Nathan Redmond and Ameen Al-Dakhil won't make the trip to North London on Saturday but Luca Koleosho and Maxime Esteve are expected to make their returns.

Predicted lineup: Murić (GK), O'Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Brownhill, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Foster & Odobert

UK Friendlies 09/07/24

L

Warrington Rylands

Warrington Rylands

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

L

Tottenham

Tottenham

2

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 04/05/24

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 27/04/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

1

Player to watch – Son Heung-Min

When the Son shines, Tottenham usually win so the hosts will be hoping for a big performance from their top goalscorer this weekend.

Heung-min Son player to watch
Son looking for his 18th goal in the Premier League this weekend – Photo by Icon Sport

The South Korean international has scored 17 times in the Premier League this season as well as leading the club's assists chart with nine goals created.

Will Spurs' star player shine against Burnley?

Tottenham have been on a poor run of form and this weekend's match shouldn't be easy as Burnley are fighting for their lives but we're backing Son to put in a match-winning performance against the relegation-battlers.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things