Derby will host Burnley in the upcoming Championship round on Tuesday, 8 April.
Will the hosts keep their good form running against the top team in the standings or will Burnley secure three points as expected? Read our Derby vs Burnley prediction to learn more about this game.
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Derby vs Burnley predictions: Hosts to avoid a loss
Key stats
- Derby have resisted Burnley twice in their last three H2H duels.
- Burnley have averaged just 1.68 total goals per game this season, which is by far the lowest average in the league.
- We saw one goal or fewer in half of all Burnley's games in the Championship so far.
Correct score prediction: Derby 0-0 Burnley
While Burnley have been amazing this season and are rightfully sitting at the top of the standings, Derby have been in great form recently and we feel they could put up a fight in this match.
Furthermore, two of the last three duels between these teams have ended without any goals, so we wouldn't be surprised to see that happen on Tuesday too.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley backed by the bookies
- HOME: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.10%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%
- AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.30%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Derby vs Burnley odds that the guests are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise considering Burnley are the league leaders, while Derby are fighting to avoid relegation.
That being said, Derby County have done well lately and with them hosting the game, we might see a closer duel than the bookies expect.
If you liked our picks for this match, feel free to also check out our expert predictions and football betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Burnley with the advantage lately
With three wins and two draws in their last five duels with Derby, Burnley have clearly been the better team in recent years. However, things are pretty much tied when we look at the overall H2H record between these teams: 41-21-40 in favour of Derby County.
England Championship 10/12/24
Burnley
Derby
England Championship 25/01/16
Burnley
Derby
England Championship 21/09/15
Derby
Burnley
Derby preview: High on confidence as they fight for survival
After going without a win for 12 games in a row, Derby have gone on a tear lately, winning four in a row before finally losing to Swansea in the last round. The Rams are currently the first team outside of the relegation zone and only by one point, so the last six games will determine their faith and whether we'll see them in the Championship next season as well.
Meanwhile, Ryan Nyambe, Ben Osborn, Kemar Roofe, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Curtis Nelson, Lars Salvesen, and David Ozoh are all on the team's injury list heading into this game.
Predicted lineup: Zetterstrom (GK), Phillips, Clarke, Langas, Wilson, Adams, Armstrong, Thompson, Forsyth, Jackson & Harness
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Burnley preview: Close to securing promotion
It's been a fantastic season for Burnley so far as they are currently sitting at the top of the Championship standings, with just two losses in 40 matches they've played so far. That being said, they are also just one point ahead of Sheffield United and two ahead of Leeds, so the Clarets will have to keep winning if they want to get promoted directly, without going through the playoffs.
When it comes to team news, Enock Agyei, Louis Beyer, Bashir Humphreys, Aaron Ramsey, Jonjo Shelvey, and Mike Tresor are out with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Roberts, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Pires, Edwards, Cullen, Laurent, Anthony, Brownhill & Flemming
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
Player to watch: Josh Brownhill
While Burnley's campaign to get promoted to the Premier League has relied mostly on their amazing defence, they also had great contribution from Brownhill on the offensive end.
The experienced midfielder is Burnley's best scorer in the Championship this term with 13 goals, to which he also added four assists. So, even though we can see this game ending without any goals, Brownhill has the quality to break the stalemate.