Luxembourg and Bulgaria will meet in the upcoming round of the UEFA Nations League C on Friday, 15 November.
Will Luxembourg find a way to beat Bulgaria for the first time ever or will the guests push them closer towards relegation? Find that out and more from our Luxembourg vs Bulgaria prediction and preview right here.
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Luxembourg vs Bulgaria prediction: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Bulgaria have gone under 2.5 total goals in seven of their last eight matches.
- The last three duels between Luxembourg and Bulgaria have all gone under 2.5 total goals and ended in draws.
- Bulgaria drew in seven of their last 10 games in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Luxembourg 1-1 Bulgaria
While Bulgaria have traditionally dominated Luxembourg, things have changed a bit in recent years and the last three meetings between these teams have ended in draws, which is what we expect to happen on Friday too.
Pre-game odds and win probability: No clear favourites here
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.70%
- DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.50%
- AWAY: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.40%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It is clear from these Luxembourg vs Bulgaria odds that the bookies don't have an expected winner in this game since the two teams are pretty evenly priced.
This is a bit surprising since Bulgaria have done better lately and we expected them to be favourites, at least to some extent. That being said, Luxembourg are hosting the game and they are a solid team.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Luxembourg's struggles to continue?
The last three duels between Luxembourg and Bulgaria have ended without a winner, but the two before have gone to Bulgaria. Things get even worse for Luxembourg if we go further back since it's all losses. Overall, in 16 previous encounters between these teams, Bulgaria are undefeated with 13 wins and three draws.
UEFA Nations League C 12/10/24
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
International Match 20/11/22
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 10/10/17
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 06/09/16
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
Luxembourg preview: Hoping for their first win in the competition
After winning just two points from the first four games in the Nations League, Luxembourg are last in their group and they're at risk of getting relegated to League D. So, their next duel with Bulgaria is very important since Bulgaria are three points ahead and Luxembourg could push them to last place with a win.
Predicted lineup: Moris (GK), D'Anzico, Korac, Carlson, Jans, Olesen, Barreiro, Pinto, Sinani, Curci & Rodrigues
International Match 25/03/25
L
Switzerland
3
Luxembourg
1
International Match 22/03/25
W
Sweden
0
Luxembourg
1
UEFA Nations League C 18/11/24
D
Northern Ireland
2
Luxembourg
2
UEFA Nations League C 15/11/24
L
Bulgaria
1
Luxembourg
0
UEFA Nations League C 15/10/24
D
Belarus
1
Luxembourg
1
Bulgaria preview: Still in play for promotion to League B
After four games in the League C of the UEFA Nations League, Bulgaria are third in their group with five points, but they are also just two points behind Norther Ireland at the top. Bulgaria were on an eight-game streak without a loss before they suffered a 5-1 trashing in Northern Ireland last month, so they'll be hoping to put that loss behind them and get back to good form against Luxembourg.
Predicted lineup: Mitov (GK), Popov, Atanasov, Petkov, Nurnberger, Kostadinov, Antov, Despodov, Krastev, Kirilov & Kolev
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L
Rep of Ireland
2
Bulgaria
1
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L
Rep of Ireland
2
Bulgaria
1
UEFA Nations League C 18/11/24
D
Belarus
1
Bulgaria
1
UEFA Nations League C 15/11/24
W
Luxembourg
0
Bulgaria
1
UEFA Nations League C 15/10/24
L
Northern Ireland
5
Bulgaria
0
Player to watch: Gerson Rodrigues
Luxembourg's top scorer ever with 22 goals in the national team has scored his team's only goal in this edition of the UEFA Nations League, so he's our player to watch against Bulgaria as well.
