Brighton vs Chelsea prediction, odds & betting tips – 15/05/2024

Brighton
15/05/24 - 19:45

Finished

1

-

2

Chelsea

Brighton - Chelsea

England Premier League - American Express Community Stadium

Brighton vs Chelsea prediction
Pascal Gross of Brighton and Hove Albion and Enzo Fernández of Chelsea challenge for the ball – Photo by Icon Sport

We're bringing you our Premier League predictions for Chelsea's trip to the south coast to face Brighton.

Mauricio Pochettino's side could move above Newcastle and into sixth spot if they manage to better the Magpies' result on Wednesday night, but the Seagulls are looking to make it three games unbeaten after they picked up four points from their last two games.

Brighton vs Chelsea predictions: Close and competitive 90 minutes on the cards?

Brighton vs Chelsea Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Chelsea to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Brighton 1-2 Chelsea

⚡ BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals prediction

Yes

Key Stats

  • Chelsea have won their last three competitive and non-competitive games against Brighton, including twice this season in the Premier League and the League Cup. The hosts have lost three of their last six league games, while the visitors have won their last three fixtures.
  • The visitors have scored at least two goals in each of their last four league games but haven't kept a single clean sheet on the road since October, which is why we're going with a final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of Chelsea.
  • Both teams have scored in six of the last seven meetings between these two clubs, while four of their last five head-to-heads have produced over 2.5 goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Away win predicted

  • HOME: 47/20 (3.35) – 29.9%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Chelsea are the expected winner of this game with a win probability of 47.6%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

Brighton played out a 1-1 draw at Newcastle in their last game, while Chelsea won 3-2 at relegation-battling Nottingham Forest.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Chelsea's Cole Palmer is the bookmaker's pick to score in this game at 13/10 (2.30) which has a probability of 43.5%, but if you want to back a Brighton goalscorer then Joao Pedro is priced at 15/8 (2.88) with a probability of 34.8%.

Last five H2Hs: Chelsea lead

England Premier League 20/04/24

Brighton

Brighton

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 03/12/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

3
Brighton

Brighton

2

England EFL Cup 27/09/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Brighton

Brighton

0

Europe Friendlies 23/07/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

4
Brighton

Brighton

3

England Premier League 15/04/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Brighton

Brighton

2

With nine wins, five draws and three defeats it's Chelsea that comfortably lead the head-to-head record between these two clubs.

Team news and form guide

Brighton: Lost three of last six

Jan Paul van Hecke, Joel Veltman, Solomon March, Pervis Estupinan, James Milner, Evan Ferguson, Jack Hinshelwood and Kaoru Mitoma could all miss the Chelsea game due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Webster, Lamptey, Dunk, Julio, Groß, Gilmour, Buonanotte, Welbeck, Enciso & Adingra

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

L

Basingstoke

Basingstoke

2

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

2

Brighton

Brighton

0

England Premier League 15/05/24

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

D

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

Brighton

Brighton

1

Chelsea: Won last three games

The visitors look set to be without the likes of Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Enzo Fernandez, Ben Chilwell, Carney Chukwuemeka and Robert Sanchez for their final away game of the campaign.

Predicted lineup: Petrović (GK), Silva, Cucurella, Chalobah, Badiashile, Gallagher, Mudryk, Palmer, Caicedo, Madueke & Jackson

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 15/05/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

5

England Premier League 02/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Player to watch – Cole Palmer

Most people expected Cole Palmer to be an astute signing for Chelsea but surely nobody could have predicted just how well his debut season would turn out.

Cole Palmer player to watch
Cole Palmer has stepped into the spotlight this season, and shone – Photo by Icon Sport

Palmer top scores for the Londoners this season with 21 Premier League goals, nine of which have arrived in the form of penalties. The England international also leads the way creatively for Chelsea with 10 assists which makes for a total of 31 direct goal involvements in 31 Premier League appearances.

Palmer has had an outstanding debut season for Chelsea

We're backing Palmer to stand out against Brighton on Wednesday night, helping to guide Chelsea to a big three points that could put the Londoners in pole position to finish in sixth place.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things