Brighton knocked Chelsea out of the FA Cup last weekend but will the Seagulls show their guests any love when the pair go head-to-head in the Premier League on Valentine's Day?
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Brighton vs Chelsea prediction: Goals expected at the AmEx
Key Stats
- Over 2.5 goals have been produced in four of Brighton's last six fixtures.
- Each of Chelsea's last six outings have featured at least three goals.
- Both teams have scored in each of Chelsea's last five fixtures.
- Six of the last seven competitive and non-competitive encounters between Brighton and Chelsea have ended with both teams scoring.
Correct score prediction: Brighton 2-2 Chelsea
Both teams created plenty of goalscoring opportunities when they met in the FA Cup last weekend but where Chelsea were wasteful in front of goal, Brighton had a large slice of luck with the winning goal containing what looked like one or maybe two clear handball shouts. We're backing Chelsea to go one better on Friday night, coming away with a share of the spoils as they have only lost one of their last five against the Seagulls.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing the visitors
- HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 14/11 (2.27) – 44%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Chelsea are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 44% but we could see these two teams cancelling one another out on Friday night.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Chelsea dominate
Friday's guests have won four and lost one of their last five competitive games against Brighton but it was the Seagulls that came out on top last weekend in the FA Cup.
England FA Cup 08/02/25
Brighton
Chelsea
England Premier League 28/09/24
Chelsea
Brighton
England Premier League 15/05/24
Brighton
Chelsea
England Premier League 20/04/24
Brighton
Chelsea
England Premier League 03/12/23
Chelsea
Brighton
Brighton preview: A much better performance
The Seagulls needed a big performance in the FA Cup last weekend against Chelsea having been thrashed 7-0 at Nottingham Forest a week earlier.
The hosts slipped behind early on after following a bright start from Chelsea but it was the hosts' goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen who put through his own goal to hand the visitors the lead. Brighton weren't behind for long as Georginio Rutter headed them back onto level terms in the 12th minute.
The Frenchman was involved in the hosts' winning goal as he passed the ball through to Karou Mitoma who appeared to handle the ball before putting it into the back of the net shortly before the hour mark but with no VAR in play, the goal was given and Brighton won the tie.
Igor Julio, James Milner, Jason Steele, Ferdi Kadioglu, Solomon March, Pervis Estupinanand Mats Wieffer could all miss out on Friday night due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Veltman, Dunk, Lamptey, van Hecke, Mitoma, Hinshelwood, Welbeck, Rutter, Pedro & Minteh
England Premier League 10/05/25
W
Wolverhampton
0
Brighton
2
England Premier League 04/05/25
D
Newcastle
1
Brighton
1
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
West Ham
2
Brighton
3
England Premier League 19/04/25
L
Brentford
4
Brighton
2
England Premier League 12/04/25
D
Leicester
2
Brighton
2
Chelsea preview: Will feel hard done by
As mentioned above, Chelsea were unlucky to lose at the AmEx last weekend as both teams gave as good as they got but seemingly, the Seagulls enjoyed the larger slice of luck on the day.
Enzo Marseca's side have to respond positively just as they did when they went a goal down at home to West Ham in their last Premier League game. On that night, Pedro Neto equalised in the 64th minute and an own goal ten minutes later proved enough for Chelsea to complete their comeback.
Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Benoit Badiashile, Nicolas Jackson, Mykhailo Mudryk, Marc Guiu and Omari Kellyman could all miss the trip to the south coast for the Blues.
Predicted lineup: Jorgensen (GK), Adarabioyo, Cucurella, James, Colwill, Palmer, Fernandez, Caicedo, Sancho, Madueke & Jackson
England Premier League 11/05/25
L
Newcastle
2
Chelsea
0
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
W
Djurgarden
0
Chelsea
1
England Premier League 04/05/25
W
Liverpool
1
Chelsea
3
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
W
Djurgarden
1
Chelsea
4
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
Everton
0
Chelsea
1
Player to watch: Georginio Rutter
Georginio Rutter made the move to Brighton from Championship side Leeds United in the summer and the young midfielder/forward seems to have settled right in at his new club.
Last time out against Chelsea, Rutter scored the hosts' first goal and then setup the winner to cap off a wonderful individual display by the former Rennes and Hoffenheim player.
Played a big role in knocking Chelsea out of the FA Cup
Rutter has now scored seven goals across all competitions for Brighton and has chipped in with a couple of assists in the Premier League, so you can see why he is our player to watch on Friday night.