Brest will play host to Paris FC in the fourth round of Ligue 1 on Sunday, 14 September.
Will the hosts find the way to win their first game this season or will Paris FC spoil those plans and avoid a loss? Read our Brest vs Paris FC prediction to learn more about this match, but don't forget to also take a look at our other Ligue 1 predictions.
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Brest vs Paris FC prediction: First win of the season for Brest
Key Stats
- Paris FC have lost both of their road games in the league this season.
- The last eight meetings between Brest and Paris FC have gone under 2.5 total goals.
- Last season in Ligue 1, Brest have lost only four of 17 home matches.
Correct score prediction: Brest 1-0 Paris FC
Both of these teams have lost twice in the first three rounds of the new Ligue 1 season, so it should be a very interesting and close game.
That being said, Brest are the better team on paper, they will have the home-court advantage, and they have extensive experience at this level of football compared to Paris FC, who are back in the top flight for the first time since 1979.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing up Brest to win
- HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.40%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.60%
- AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from the Brest vs Paris FC odds that the hosts are the expected winners, which is hardly a surprise since Paris FC are a newly-promoted team.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Brest with a convincing lead
The last meeting between these two teams was back in 2019 in Ligue 2 and Brest have the advantage with three wins in their last six meetings, with the other three ending in draws.
In fact, Paris FC have beaten Brest only once in all of their H2H meetings, with Brest notching seven wins and six matches ending in draws.
France Ligue 2 21/01/19
Paris FC
Brest
France Ligue 2 10/08/18
Brest
Paris FC
France Ligue 2 24/02/18
Paris FC
Brest
France Ligue 2 22/09/17
Brest
Paris FC
France League Cup 08/08/17
Paris FC
Brest
Brest preview: Looking for their first win of the season
After the first three rounds of the new Ligue 1 season, Brest only have one point from a draw against Lille on the opening weekend. Since then, they have lost to Toulouse and Lens, with both of those games being on the road. Now they are back home again and hosting a newly-promoted side Paris FC, which seems like a perfect opportunity for Brest to record their first win of this season.
Meanwhile, Brendan Chardonnet is out with an injury, while Hugo Magnetti and Radoslaw Majecki are suspended.
Predicted lineup: Coudert (GK), Lala, Le Cardinal, Diaz, Locko, Doumbia, Chotard, Ebimbe, Del Castillo, Ajorque & Balde
Last five matches
- Lens 3-1 Brest (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 2-0 Brest (Ligue 1)
- Brest 3-3 Lille (Ligue 1)
- Brest 1-1 Sassuolo (Club Friendly)
- Napoli 1-2 Brest (Club Friendly)
Paris FC preview: Hoping for another good performance
As a newly promoted team, it was clear that Paris FC will have a tough time in Ligue 1 this season and that their primary goal will be to avoid relegation. They have started as expected, losing both of their away games, but then they beat Metz at home in the last round. All in all, Paris FC showed some bits of quality and they won't be cannon fodder this season, that much is for sure.
When it comes to team news, Pierre-Yves Hamel, one of the team's main offensive options, is out with an injury.
Predicted lineup: Trapp (GK), Chergui, Mbow, Otavio, De Smet, M. Lopez, Cafaro, Camara, Kebbal, Krasso & Simon
Last five matches
- Paris FC 3-2 Metz (Ligue 1)
- Marseille 5-2 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
- Angers 1-0 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
- Nantes 2-3 Paris FC (Club Friendly)
- Paris FC 2-2 UNFP (Club Friendly)
Player to watch: Kamory Doumbia
The 22-year-old midfielder has started the new season for Brest in great form, scoring a couple of goals and adding one assist to his tally as well. Doumbia is in his third season with the club and this start signals that he is ready to take a leap this season.
