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Brest - Metz
France Ligue 1 - Stade Francis-Le Ble
Brest will host Metz in the first match scheduled for Sunday, 7 April, in the upcoming round of Ligue 1.
Will Brest justify the favourite's tag or will Metz surprise us and get the points they desperately need in their battle for survival? Find that out and more from our Brest vs Metz prediction, but remember to also check out our other Ligue 1 betting tips.
Contents
Brest vs Metz prediction: Brest to win and keep a clean sheet
🔥Hot tip
Brest to win
⚽ Correct score prediction
Brest 2-0 Metz
⬆️ Over 2.5 goals prediction
No
Key Stats
- Brest have only lost once in the last 16 games in Ligue 1.
- Metz have lost four of their last six games in the league.
- At home, Brest have just one loss in 13 league matches.
- Eight of the last 10 duels between Brest and Metz have gone under 2.5 total goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Brest the favourites to win
- HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.70%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.60%
- AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.30%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can conclude from the Brest vs Metz odds that the hosts are the expected winners, which is not surprising since they're second in the standings right now, while Metz are struggling to avoid relegation.
On top of that, Brest have been fantastic at home this season and they're clearly in much better form then Metz, so Brest being the favourites is what we expected to see.
Anyhow, if you liked our predictions for this match, check out some of our latest betting tips for today.
Last five H2Hs: A close matchup in recent years
France Ligue 1 10/12/23 Metz Brest France Ligue 1 24/04/22 Metz Brest France Ligue 1 26/09/21 Brest Metz France Ligue 1 31/01/21 Brest Metz France Ligue 1 29/11/20 Metz Brest
Brest have won three and Metz have won two of the previous five duels between them. Meanwhile, if we look at their overall H2H record, Metz are actually the more successful team—16-14-10.
Brest preview: Champions League getting closer and closer
After a loss to Lens, which broke their streak of 13 games without a defeat in Ligue 1, Brest have recovered nicely, with a draw against another top team, Lille, and a win over Lorient. Thanks to that, they remain only behind PSG in the standings and their fans can slowly start preparing for the team's new reality – participation in the Champions League.
Meanwhile, Bilal Brahimi is suspended for this match, while Jordan Amavi remains sidelined with an injury.
Predicted Lineup: Bizot – Lala, Chardonnet, Brassier, Locko – Magnetti, Martin – Del Castillo, Camara, Lage – Satriano
UEFA Champions League 11/02/25 L PSG 3 Brest 0 France Ligue 1 07/02/25 W Nantes 0 Brest 2 France Cup 04/02/25 W Troyes 1 Brest 2 France Ligue 1 01/02/25 L PSG 5 Brest 2 UEFA Champions League 29/01/25 L Real Madrid 3 Brest 0
Metz preview: Chances of survival slowly shrinking
With two wins in a row against Nantes and Clermont, Metz kept hope of staying up alive. However, they followed these results with a couple of losses, so they remain in the relegation zone right now. On the bright side, they are still just four points behind the first team in the safe zone and with seven games left in the season, the hope is not dead yet.
Meanwhile, Kevin N'Doram, Didier Lamkel Ze, and Maxime Colin are out with injuries right now.
Predicted Lineup – Oukidja – Kouao, Herelle, Cande, Udol – Van Den Kerkhof, Jean Jacques, Camara – Sabaly, Mikautadze, Atta
France Ligue 2 08/02/25
W
Clermont Foot
1
Metz
3
France Ligue 2 31/01/25
D
SC Bastia
1
Metz
1
France Ligue 2 24/01/25
W
Grenoble
0
Metz
3
France Ligue 2 18/01/25
W
Paris FC
1
Metz
3
France Ligue 2 11/01/25
D
Lorient
0
Metz
0
Player to watch: Romain Del Castillo
Looking at the stats from Brest's players this season, it's clear that their amazing success in the league is due to a team effort. Still, our player to watch for this match is Romain Del Castillo, the team's top scorer at the moment with six goals, to which he also added five assists.
Penalty specialist to score from the spot again?
Half of Del Castillo's six goals in Ligue 1 this season have come from penalties. If we look at the last season, five of six goals he scored in the league have also been from the penalty spot. So, he is clearly a reliable penalty taker, but will he get a chance to convert one in this match?
