Bournemouth vs Brighton prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/04/2024

Bournemouth
28/04/24 - 14:00

Finished

3

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Brighton

Bournemouth - Brighton

England Premier League - Dean Court

Bournemouth vs Brighton prediction
Bournemouth's Milos Kerkez (right) scores an own goal against Brighton in September – Photo by Icon Sport

Here are our Premier League predictions for Sunday's clash between Bournemouth and Brighton. Just a single point separates these two south coast clubs in the Premier League table and while the Seagulls have a game in hand on their hosts, it's the Cherries that have the home advantage this weekend where they will be looking to extend the gap between the pair to four points.

Bournemouth vs Brighton predictions: An action-packed 90 minutes expected

Bournemouth vs Brighton Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Dominic Solanke to Score

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Bournemouth 2-2 Brighton

⬆️ Over 2.5 Goals prediction

Yes

Key Stats

  • Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke has been one of the standout players in the Premier League this season scoring 18 league goals, and heads into this weekend's match on the back of four goals in his last seven appearances.
  • The Seagulls have a good record against Bournemouth and while the visitor's form has been poor of late we're still backing Brighton to get something out of this game. Both of these teams have plenty of goals in them and don't keep a lot of clean sheets so we're going with a final scoreline of 2-2 at the Vitality Stadium.
  • Four of the last seven encounters between Bournemouth and Brighton in league and cup have produced over 2.5 goals, while four of the hosts' and three of the visitors' last six outings have also witnessed at least three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers backing Bournemouth

  • HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bournemouth are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 43.5%, but we are expecting a close game between the pair.

The Cherries secured a 1-0 win at Wolves despite being reduced to ten men late on, while Brighton suffered a 4-0 defeat in their own backyard to Man City in midweek.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. You can back BTTS in this game at 4/9 (1.44) which has a probability of 69.2%, or you could go the other way and back BTTS – No at 2/1 (3.00) with a probability of 33.3%.

Last five H2Hs: The Cherries edge it

England Premier League 24/09/23

Brighton

Brighton

3
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

England Premier League 04/04/23

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0
Brighton

Brighton

2

England Premier League 04/02/23

Brighton

Brighton

1
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0

England Premier League 10/09/22

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0
Brighton

Brighton

0

England Premier League 21/01/20

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

3
Brighton

Brighton

1

Bournemouth have picked up 12 wins, eight draws and 11 defeats from their last 31 games against Brighton, ut the Seagulls won 3-1 in September's reverse league fixture.

Team news and form guide

Bournemouth: Have form in their favour

Ryan Fredericks, Marcus Tavernier, Luis Fernando Sinisterra, Romain Faivre, Tyler Adams and Chris Mepham could miss out this weekend due to injury, while Milos Kerkez is suspended for the hosts.

Predicted lineup: Travers (GK), Smith, Senesi, Zabarnyi, Aarons, Christie, Cook, Scott, Solanke, Kluivert & Semenyo

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

L

Brentford

Brentford

2

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

England Premier League 04/05/24

L

Arsenal

Arsenal

3

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0

England Premier League 28/04/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

0

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

3

England Premier League 24/04/24

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

0

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Brighton: Have a good recent record against their hosts

The Seagulls have a fair few injury concerns heading into Sunday's match, including Solomon March, Evan Ferguson, Jack Hinshelwood, Pervis Estupinan, Kaoru Mitoma, Tariq Lamptey, James Milner and Billy Gilmour.

Predicted lineup: Steele (GK), Veltman, Dunk, van Hecke, Barco, Lallana, Groß, Moder, Baleba, Welbeck & Pedro

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

L

Basingstoke

Basingstoke

2

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

2

Brighton

Brighton

0

England Premier League 15/05/24

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

D

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

Brighton

Brighton

1

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

Brighton

Brighton

1

Player to watch – Dominic Solanke

Bournemouth striker Dominic Solanke is enjoying his best-ever season in England's top flight with the former Liverpool man netting 18 times in 34 starts.

Dominic Solanke player to watch
Luton Town's Reece Burke and Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke (left) battle for the ball – Photo by Icon Sport

We're backing Solanke to score against an injury-hit Brighton team this weekend and hope to see the forward go on to reach the 20-goal mark before the campaign comes to a close.

Will the Cherries star reach 20 league goals for the season?

No doubt, plenty of bigger teams will be open to the option of signing Solanke in the summer with Tottenham being one name already being linked with the 26-year-old, so the Cherries man will be looking to impress even further in the final few games that remain.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things