Benfica look to bounce back from their setback on the continental front as they welcome Estrela Amadora to Estadio da Luz this weekend for round 19 of the Primeira Liga.
Jose Mourinho’s men sit third in the league standings, 10 points adrift of leaders Porto and three behind second-placed Sporting Lisbon, while their visitors are 12th and five points above the relegation zone.
Our Benfica vs Estrela prediction provides a clear outlook on the contest, with additional Primeira Liga betting tips also included.
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Benfica vs Estrela prediction: Eagles aim to rewrite some wrongs
Key stats:
- Vangelis Pavlidis has scored in five of his last six home games in the Primeira Liga, netting 10 goals in that stretch.
- Benfica are on a 33-game unbeaten run in the league stretching back to last season, with 24 wins recorded in that span.
- Estrela have lost three of their last five away league games (W2).
- The Amadorans have suffered defeats in each of the last 10 head-to-head meetings with Benfica across all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Benfica 3–0 Estrela
Benfica enter this encounter looking to give their fans something to cheer after recent setbacks, having lost three of their last four games. That run has seen them eliminated from both the Taca da Liga and Taca de Portugal, while their hopes of securing a Champions League knockout playoff berth are all but over following a 2–0 defeat at Juventus in midweek.
As such, we expect the hosts to push for a convincing victory, and it would not be surprising to see them score three against an Estrela side low on confidence after being hammered 5-0 by Estoril Praia last time out.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Almost no room for an upset?
- HOME: 1/7 (1.14) – 87.5%
- DRAW: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
- AWAY: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%
*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes and subject to change.
Benfica are clear favourites entering this encounter, with the bookies assigning them an 87.5% win probability. The visitors’ chances stand at just 5.9%, while a draw is priced at 12.5%, suggesting anything other than a home win would rank among the biggest upsets of the gameweek.
Most recent H2H: Total dominance from the Eagles
As previously noted, Estrela have lost each of the last 10 meetings between the sides, including a 1–0 defeat in the reverse fixture, underlining Benfica’s dominance in this matchup.
Benfica preview: Winger doubtful amid confirmed absentees
Gianluca Prestianni limped off during Benfica’s defeat to Juventus in midweek, making his availability for Saturday uncertain. Should the winger be ruled out, he would join Alexander Bah, Samuel Soares, Dodi Lukebakio and Richard Rios on the sidelines.
Predicted XI: Trubin (GK), Dedic, Araujo, Otamendi, Dahl, Aursnes, Manu, L. Cabral, Barreiro, Sudakov & Pavlidis
Benfica’s last five results:
- 21/01/26: Juventus 2–0 Benfica (L)
- 17/01/26: Rio Ave 0–2 Benfica (W)
- 14/01/26: FC Porto 1–0 Benfica (L)
- 07/01/26: Benfica 1–3 Braga (L)
- 03/01/26: Benfica 3–1 Estoril (W)
Estrela preview: Key attacker suspended
Marcus Abraham was sent off in last weekend’s heavy defeat to Estoril and will serve a suspension here. Meanwhile, Estrela sold striker Kikas in midweek to Eupen and sent Atanas Chernev out on loan to Kaiserslautern, meaning both players will not feature on Sunday.
Predicted XI: Ribeiro (GK), Encada, Schappo, Patrick, Otavio, Moreira, Robinho, Sola, Stoica, Pinho & Jovane
Estrela’s last five results:
- 20/12/25: Estrela 0–0 Moreirense (D)
- 19/01/26: Estrela 0–5 Estoril (L)
- 06/01/26: Estrela 1–1 Wolfsburg (D)
- 03/01/26: Estrela 3–3 Braga (D)
- 27/12/25: Famalicao 2–3 Estrela (W)
Player to watch: Sidny Lopes Cabral
Sidny Lopes Cabral joined Benfica from Estrela during the January transfer window, and it will be fascinating to see how the versatile winger performs against his former club this weekend.