Benfica vs Estoril prediction, odds & betting tips – 10/03/2024

Benfica
10/03/24 - 20:30

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Estoril

Benfica - Estoril

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica vs Estoril prediction
Leiria Municipal Stadium hosted the second game of the Semi-finals, between SL Benfica and Estoril Praia. Di Maria – Photo by Icon Sport

We're bringing you our Portuguese league predictions for Benfica vs Estoril on Sunday.

The hosts will be looking to bounce back with a vengeance this weekend after they were thrashed 5-0 by title rivals Porto. Estoril are struggling at the wrong end of the table but have caused Benfica problems this season, knocking the Portuguese giants out of the Taca da Liga in January, so Sunday;s clash should be very interesting.

Benfica vs Estoril predictions: Will Benfica return to winning ways?

Benfica vs Estoril Predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot Tip

BTTS

⚽Correct Score prediction

Benfica 3-1 Estoril

⚽Anytime Goalscorer prediction

Rafa

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in four of the last seven league and cup meetings between these two clubs, while three of Benfica's and five of Estoril's last six outings have also ended with both teams scoring.
  • Benfica have won five of their last six encounters with Estoril and the hosts have won their last three home games in all competitions, while Estoril have lost three of their last four fixtures conceding three goals in each of their last three outings.
  • Rafa has been Benfica's standout player this season, top-scoring with 12 league goals as well as providing 11 assists.

Pre-game odds and win probability:

  • HOME: 1/6 (1.17) – 85.7%
  • DRAW: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
  • AWAY: 15/1 (16.00) – 6.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Benfica are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 85.7%, and we expect the hosts to bounce back with a win this weekend.

Benfica suffered a heavy defeat against Porto last time out, going down by five goals to nil but Sunday's hosts have won three of their last six matches in all competitions. Estoril have won one, drawn two and lost three of their last six league games, suffering a 3-1 defeat at home to Vitoria Guimaraes last weekend.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. If, like us, you want to back over 2.5 goals to be scored in Sunday's match the odds stand at 4/11 (1.36) with a probability of 73.3%, while a bet on under 2.5 goals is priced at 11/5 (3.20) which has a probability of 31.3%.

Last five H2Hs: Estoril wins are rare

Portugal League Cup 24/01/24

Benfica

Benfica

1 (4)
Estoril

Estoril

1 (5)

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/10/23

Estoril

Estoril

0
Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 23/04/23

Benfica

Benfica

1
Estoril

Estoril

0

Portugal Cup 09/11/22

Estoril

Estoril

0
Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 06/11/22

Estoril

Estoril

1
Benfica

Benfica

5

Benfica have only lost one of their last 26 encounters with Estoril and that loss arrived via a penalty shoot-out in January.

Team news and form guide

Benfica: Won three of last six

Nicolas Otamendi got himself sent off during the humiliating 5-0 defeat at Porto last weekend so won't be available for the Estoril game, neither will Juan Bernat due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Araújo, Morato, Silva, Di María, Mário, Aursnes, Rafa, Kökçü, Neves & Tengstedt 

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

D

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Benfica

Benfica

2

Europe Friendlies 12/07/24

W

SC Farense

SC Farense

0

Benfica

Benfica

5

Portugal Primeira Liga 17/05/24

D

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

1

Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/05/24

W

Arouca

Arouca

0

Benfica

Benfica

5

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/24

L

Famalicao

Famalicao

2

Benfica

Benfica

0

Estoril: Lost three of last four

The visitors could be without three of their first-team squad for the trip to Benfica this weekend as Pedro Álvaro, Jordan Holsgrove and Erick Cabaco all have injuries.

Predicted lineup: Figueira (GK), Basso, Winther, Vital, Guitane, Zanocelo, Marques, Fernandes, Tavares, Marqués & Gomes

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/05/24

L

Moreirense

Moreirense

2

Estoril

Estoril

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/24

L

Sporting

Sporting

1

Estoril

Estoril

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/24

L

SC Farense

SC Farense

3

Estoril

Estoril

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 28/04/24

W

Famalicao

Famalicao

0

Estoril

Estoril

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 21/04/24

D

Chaves

Chaves

2

Estoril

Estoril

2

Player to watch – Rafa

If anyone is going to fire Benfica to the league title this season, it has to be Rafa.

Rafa player to watch
Futebol Clube Vizela hosted Sport Lisboa e Benfica this evening, at Estádio Futebol Clube Vizela – Photo by Icon Sport

The Portuguese forward has been in good form this season both from a scoring point and in terms of his creativity. The Benfica man top scores in the league for his club with 12 goals, four more than his nearest teammate Angel Di Maria, whom he also tops in the assists chart.

Benfica best player this season

Rafa has setup 11 goals in the Primeiraa Liga so far this season, almost doubling the tally of Di Maria, so you can see why we have highlighted Rafa as our player to watch this weekend.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things