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Belgium welcome Italy to the King Baudouin Stadium on Sunday, 15 November, with a UEFA Nations League quarter-final place on the line.
The hosts are narrow betting favourites, but the draw is an intriguing alternative for readers checking the Ladbrokes bonus code ahead of kick-off.
Read our Belgium vs Italy prediction below, or explore our today's betting tips for more upcoming matches.
Belgium vs Italy prediction: Key stats
- Italy lead Group A1 on 10 points, one ahead of Belgium, with a draw sufficient for the Azzurri to progress.
- Italy have scored 11 goals in five Nations League games but have not kept a clean sheet.
- Belgium have scored eight and conceded six across their five group matches.
- Belgium won the reverse fixture 2-0 in Rome on 25 September.
Belgium vs Italy preview: Can the Azzurri resist the pressure?
Belgium vs Italy – Tale of the Tape
| Belgium | vs | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd (A1) | Group position | 1st (A1) |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 8 | Goals For | 11 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1W-0D-1L (H) | Home / Away Form | 1W-1D-0L (A) |
Belgium kept their qualification hopes alive by beating Turkiye 2-1 in Izmir, with Kevin De Bruyne and Charles De Ketelaere scoring in the first half.
Mark van Bommel's men sit one point behind Italy and must win on Sunday to move above the Azzurri into the top two.
The Red Devils can draw encouragement from their 2-0 victory in Rome, which remains Italy's only defeat in this Nations League campaign.
However, Belgium lost both group meetings with France and conceded five goals across those two fixtures, exposing defensive concerns against strong opposition.
Jeremy Doku started against Turkiye after returning from injury, while Romelu Lukaku remains a fitness doubt because of a hip problem.
Italy arrive with renewed confidence after overturning an early deficit to defeat France 3-1 at San Siro on Thursday.
Pio Esposito scored twice to reach nine goals in 14 international appearances at 21, matching Francesco Totti's career total of nine in 58 caps.
The striker is also just one goal short of the ten-goal Italy totals recorded by Antonio Cassano and Gianfranco Zola.
Moise Kean missed the France game through injury, while defender Gianluca Mancini withdrew from Roberto Mancini's squad before the international break.
Italy need only a point to progress, although Mancini has stressed his ambition to win in Brussels and finish first in Group A1.
The Azzurri have scored 11 goals in five group games but conceded in every fixture, making another goal at either end a realistic prospect.
Belgium's need to attack could create spaces for Italy, yet the visitors' superior recent form makes a hard-fought draw a credible outcome.
Belgium vs Italy form guide: Last five matches
| Belgium | vs | Italy |
|---|---|---|
WLWLW | Form (All Comps) | LWDWW |
| 8 | Goals For | 11 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 6 |
WLWLW | UEFA Nations League | LWDWW |
Belgium vs Italy prediction: Italy to qualify with a draw
Our Belgium vs Italy prediction is a 1-1 draw, with the Azzurri showing enough composure to secure a quarter-final place.
The main selection is Draw at 12/5 (3.40), reflecting Italy's recent improvement and the contrasting qualification pressure on the two sides.
Both Teams To Score – Yes at 3/5 (1.60) also appeals, as Italy have yet to keep a clean sheet and Belgium must push forward for a win.
For a more ambitious option, HT/FT: Draw/Draw at 9/2 (5.50) would land if the teams are level both at half-time and after 90 minutes.
The HT/FT pick carries greater risk than a straight draw, especially with Belgium capable of starting quickly, and both markets depend on the same final result.
> Draw at 12/5 (3.40) | Likelihood: Possible
> Both Teams To Score – Yes at 3/5 (1.60) | Likelihood: High
> HT/FT: Draw/Draw at 9/2 (5.50) | Likelihood: Long shot