Bulgaria vs Belarus prediction, odds & betting tips – 18/11/2024

Bulgaria will host Belarus on Monday, 18 November, in the final round of the UEFA Nations League C.

With both teams still in play for promotion, who will emerge victorious from this duel? Read our Bulgaria vs Belarus predictions and preview to find that out and learn more about the game.

Bulgaria vs Belarus prediction: A low-scoring affair

Key stats

• Belarus have only one win in their last nine games across the board.
• Three of the last four H2H meetings between Bulgaria and Belarus have gone under 2.5 total goals.
• Bulgaria have gone under 2.5 total goals in eight of their last nine games.

Correct score prediction: Bulgaria 2-0 Belarus

While Belarus have been solid in this edition of the Nations League and they can still overtake Bulgaria in second place to secure promotion playoffs, if they win here, we don't see them even coming close. Instead, we expect a confident win for the hosts, likely while keeping a clean sheet.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bulgaria the more likely winners

• HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.90%
• DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.60%
• AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.20%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see from the Bulgaria vs Belarus odds that the hosts are the expected winners in this game, which makes sense given that they're currently ahead of Belarus by two points.

Furthermore, Bulgaria are a slightly better team on paper and they will have the advantage of playing at home, so we can see why the bookies see them as the more likely winners.

In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: A tied matchup lately

In the last five meetings between these teams, we saw a couple of wins for Bulgaria and Belarus each, along with one draw, which came in their latest duel, this year in the Nations League. Meanwhile, Bulgaria have a slight advantage when it comes to their overall H2H record with Belarus: 5-1-3.

UEFA Nations League C 05/09/24

Belarus

0

Bulgaria

0

International Match 26/02/20

Bulgaria

0

Belarus

1

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 09/06/17

Belarus

2

Bulgaria

1

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 13/11/16

Bulgaria

1

Belarus

0

Bulgaria preview: Hoping for a perfect ending of the group stage

After beating Luxembourg a few days ago, Bulgaria enter the final round of the UEFA Nations League C still in play for direct promotion. They are currently second in the group, two points behind Northern Ireland, so if they beat Belarus and Luxembourg beats Norther Ireland, they would earn promotion to League B.

However, Bulgaria can also finish third if they lose to Belarus and miss out on the promotion playoffs.

Predicted lineup: Mitov (GK), Popov, Petrov, Petkov, Nurnberger, Milanov, Panayotov, Kraev, Despodov, Krastev & Kolev

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

L

Rep of Ireland

2

Bulgaria

1

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

L

Rep of Ireland

2

Bulgaria

1

UEFA Nations League C 18/11/24

D

Belarus

1

Bulgaria

1

UEFA Nations League C 15/11/24

W

Luxembourg

0

Bulgaria

1

UEFA Nations League C 15/10/24

L

Northern Ireland

5

Bulgaria

0

Belarus preview: Hoping for a surprise against the favoured opponent

While Belarus have only won once in the five games they've played in this edition of the Nations League, they also have just one loss, with the remaining three games ending in draws. So, Belarus are third in the group standings and at the very least they secured they place in League C for next season, but a win over Bulgaria would push them into promotion playoffs.

Predicted lineup: Lapoukhov (GK), Pigas, Martynovich, Politevich, Zabelin, Pechenin, Yablonskiy, Selyava, Gromyko, Barkovskiy & Shikavka

International Match 25/03/25

W

Azerbaijan

0

Belarus

2

International Match 20/03/25

W

Tajikistan

0

Belarus

5

UEFA Nations League C 18/11/24

D

Bulgaria

1

Belarus

1

UEFA Nations League C 15/11/24

L

Northern Ireland

2

Belarus

0

UEFA Nations League C 15/10/24

D

Luxembourg

1

Belarus

1

Player to watch: Kiril Despodov

Bulgaria's captain and arguably their best player might have just one goal in this edition of the Nations League, but Despodov is always dangerous in front of the goal and he's our player to watch against Belarus.