Almeria vs Barcelona prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/05/2024

16/05/24 - 20:30

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Almeria - Barcelona

Spain La Liga - Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria and Barcelona clash in La Liga on Thursday night at the Power Horse Stadium. Our Almeria vs Barcelona prediction looks at whether the Catalans can take another step towards clinching second place.

Almeria vs Barcelona prediction: Visitors to win game with plenty of goals

Key Stats

• Our Almeria vs Barcelona betting tips take into account the visiting team’s strong away record with no defeats for Barca this term on the road against teams outside the top three.
• 71% of Barcelona’s away fixtures in La Liga this season have seen both teams score.
• 63% of Almeria’s league games overall have produced goals at each end.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the clear favourites

• HOME: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
• DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
• AWAY: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the favourites according to the Almeria vs Barcelona odds with an implied probability of 71.4% that they win this game against already relegated opposition.

Almeria are yet to win a home game this term, but they gave a reasonable account of themselves at Real Betis at the weekend, going down 3-2 with Luka Romero and Leo Baptistao on the scoresheet for the Andalusians.

Barcelona were in Monday night action at home to Real Sociedad. They ran out 2-0 winners with Lamine Yamal and Raphinha scoring their goals.

For more analysis and picks, today’s betting tips will guide you around the best of this week’s football action.

Last five H2Hs: Barca dominant but beaten here last season

Spain La Liga 20/12/23

Barcelona

3

Almeria

2

Spain La Liga 26/02/23

Almeria

1

Barcelona

0

Spain La Liga 05/11/22

Barcelona

2

Almeria

0

Spain La Liga 08/04/15

Barcelona

4

Almeria

0

Spain La Liga 08/11/14

Almeria

1

Barcelona

2

Our Almeria vs Barcelona prediction suggests there’ll be no repeat of the 1-0 win for Almeria in this fixture last season. Barca have won 10 of the last 11 meetings overall.

Almeria Preview: Rotation likely from La Liga’s bottom team

It has been a season to forget for Almeria and Pepe Mel may use the final few games to give minutes to some of his fringe players. Largie Ramazani is suspended again while Iddrisu Baba is a doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Maximiano (GK), Langa, Chumi, Montes, Pubill, Robertone, Edgar, Arribas, Viera, Romero, Lozano

Spain Segunda 09/05/25

L

Cadiz

2

Almeria

1

Spain Segunda 04/05/25

W

Eldense

0

Almeria

5

Spain Segunda 29/04/25

W

Racing Ferrol

1

Almeria

2

Spain Segunda 18/04/25

L

CD Castellon

4

Almeria

1

Spain Segunda 13/04/25

W

FC Cartagena

1

Almeria

2

Barcelona Preview: Gundogan suspended for visitors

We should see light changes from the away team with Ilkay Gundogan’s suspension sure to result in fresh legs in midfield. Gavi, Alejandro Balde and Frenkie de Jong are out injured while Ronald Araujo is a doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Fort, Martinez, Cubarsi, Kounde, Pedri, Christensen, Fermin, Raphinha, Lewandowski, Ferran Torres

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

W

Real Madrid

3

Barcelona

4

UEFA Champions League 06/05/25

L

Inter Milan

4

Barcelona

3

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

W

Valladolid

1

Barcelona

2

UEFA Champions League 30/04/25

D

Inter Milan

3

Barcelona

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

W

Real Madrid

2

Barcelona

3

Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski

Robert Lewandowski is set to finish as Barcelona’s top scorer again and he has been in good form over the past couple of months. The striker is on 17 goals in La Liga and has also chipped in with eight assists.

Veteran striking late

The Polish international has scored some important late goals with 41% of his goals in La Liga coming after the 75th minute. He has scored twice in Stoppage Time including a direct free kick in the recent win over Valencia.