Ballon d’Or winner betting odds: Mbappe closing in on Bellingham

After Lionel Messi won his eighth Ballon d'Or in October 2023, attention has already turned to who will win the 2024 award. The Ballon d'Or winner betting odds for 2024 are already taking shape but with plenty of football still to be played before voting commences, the market is expected to fluctuate significantly in the coming months.

As ever, performances in the Champions League and international tournaments will be crucial to determining who picks up the prestigious award later and this year is a big one on the international front. The AFC Asian Cup, Africa Cup of Nations, Copa America and Euro 2024 are all taking place in the next six months. Will the 2024 Ballon d'Or winner have to win one of these tournaments?

Ballon d'Or winner betting odds
Lionel Messi won his 8th Ballon d'Or last year – Photo by Icon sport

Ballon d'Or winner betting odds

Jude Bellingham – 3/1

As things stand, Jude Bellingham is the favourite to win the 2024 Ballon d'Or. The 20-year-old midfielder has been sensational since moving to Real Madrid in the summer with Carlo Ancelotti transforming him into a goalscoring number ten. Bellingham has scored 17 goals and provided 5 assists in 23 appearances so far this season.

As we know, individual brilliance is no longer enough to secure the Ballon d'Or – you need to also be able to put your medals on the table. Real Madrid are currently top of La Liga and are safely through to the knockout stages of the Champions League – where Bellingham has already scored some important goals. If he can keep his level up, he could become the latest Englishman to win the Ballon d'Or.

Kylian Mbappe – 7/2

Kylian Mbappe is the second favourite to win the Ballon d'Or this year, a prize he has been tipped to win ever since bursting onto the scene as a 17-year-old eight years ago. Scoring a bucketload of goals in France isn't going to be enough for the forward, and at club level he will need to lead PSG to their first-ever Champions League triumph to guarantee the Ballon d'Or.

What is more likely is Mbappe leading France to Euro 2024 glory. Mbappe was sensational at the most recent World Cup and if France had beaten Argentina in the final, he would have likely won the 2023 Ballon d'Or.

Harry Kane – 7/2

Harry Kane is the same price as Kylian Mbappe in the Ballon d'Or betting stakes. Kane has probably been the most in-form player in the world football this season since his move to Bayern Munich in the summer. He has broken Robert Lewandowski's record for the most goals scored in the first half of a Bundesliga season (22) and is on track to net 40+ league goals.

Kane is yet to win a major trophy in his career but one is surely on the way in 2024 which certainly boosts his chances of picking up the Ballon d'Or. If the 30-year-old can combine his goal tally with a Champions League trophy or England's first major trophy in 58 years then he will be the firm Ballon d'Or favourite.

harry kane
Could Harry Kane win the 2024 Ballon d'Or? – Photo by Icon Sport

Erling Haaland – 4/1

Erling Haaland can count himself unlucky not to have won the 2023 Ballon d'Or. He scored 52 goals in 53 appearances and won the Premier League, Champions League and FA Cup. Unfortunately for the Norweigan, the World Cup was always going to have a big say on who was awarded the trophy last year.

Haaland finished in second place to Messi on the podium but if he can get close to his goal tally of last season and go back-to-back with Man City in the Champions League, voters will find it difficult not to give the Ballon d'Or to him. On the flip side, could Norway's failure to qualify for Euro 2024 prove critical?

Lionel Messi – 8/1

Lionel Messi is now widely accepted as the greatest football to ever play the game so while he is active, there will always be a chance of him winning the Ballon d'Or. In terms of club form, whatever he does for Inter Miami is likely to count for very little given the level of competition in MLS, however, he is still playing for Argentina and the Copa America is set to take place this summer.

If Messi can roll back the years, score a hat-full of goals and win the Copa America for his nation this summer then he is absolutely going to be in the Ballon d'Or conversation. There is also the chance that Messi returns to Barcelona on loan this winter and if he does, then anything is possible.


Avatar of Andy Delaney
Andy Delaney

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.