Two sides seeking their first points of the new Primeira Liga campaign meet in Friday’s matchday two curtain-raiser, as AVS welcome Casa Pia to Estadio do CD Aves following defeats in their respective first outings.
You can view more of our latest tips on our free football predictions page after checking out our AVS vs Casa Pia predictions.
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AVS vs Casa Pia predictions: Tight contest expected
Key stats:
- AVS have won only one of their last eight competitive home matches (D2, L5), a run stretching back to last season.
- Casa Pia are winless in their last eight league games away from home (D3, L5), a sequence carried over from the previous campaign.
- Both teams found the net in AVS’ last two competitive matches.
- Casa Pia have scored and conceded in four of their previous six league fixtures.
Correct score prediction: AVS 1-1 Casa Pia
This fixture has all the ingredients for a closely fought affair, with both sides eager to recover from their respective league defeats.
Past meetings also support this scoreline, as the only two encounters between these teams both finished 1-1, so another stalemate could well be on the cards.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Bookies see no clear favourites
- HOME: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.0%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes; subject to change.
These odds suggest a razor-thin margin between the two sides, with AVS given a slight edge through home advantage at 13/8 (2.63), equating to a 38.0% chance of victory. Casa Pia’s win probability is just 1% lower at 37.0%, priced at 17/10 (2.70).
Our primary pick of a draw is set at 21/10 (3.10), which reflects a 32.3% chance, which is a strong value considering both past results between these sides ended level.
For our additional tip of ‘both teams to score’, the price of 19/20 (1.95) indicates a 51.3% likelihood, making it a realistic possibility given their recent scoring patterns.
Head-to-head history: Level terms so far
The two clubs have only met twice, both during the 2024-25 season, with each leg ending 1-1. This weekend could therefore bring the first decisive result between them.
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
AVS
Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 08/12/24
Casa Pia
AVS
AVS preview: Veteran forward pushing for a start
AVS are in their second season in the top flight, having made their debut last term. They secured survival by finishing 16th and overcoming Vizela in the relegation playoff. Following last weekend’s 3-1 defeat at Arouca, head coach Jose Mota will be intent on collecting points early to avoid another fight for safety.
Veteran striker Nene is in contention to start after the 42-year-old came off the bench to score in the opener, underlining his enduring impact in front of goal.
Predicted XI: Simao (GK), Kiki, Molina, Devenish, Mucuana, Lima, Grau, Algobia, Akinsola, Nene & Barbosa
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
W
Estrela
0
AVS
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/25
L
Boavista
2
AVS
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
L
Benfica
6
AVS
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
D
Casa Pia
1
AVS
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/25
L
Braga
4
AVS
1
Casa Pia preview: Pereira to keep faith with backline?
Casa Pia recorded their highest ever points total in the Primeira Liga last season, with 45 points securing a ninth-place finish – matching their best placement in the competition.
Aiming to build on that achievement, Joao Pereira’s men began this campaign with a 2-0 defeat at home to the reigning champions. Despite the loss, goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira impressed alongside Duplexe Tchamba, which could see the head coach retain his defensive line.
Predicted XI: Sequeira (GK), Tchamba, Goulart, Fonte, Benaissa-Yahia, Sousa, Brito, Larrazabal, Livolant, Cassiano & Nsona
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
W
Braga
1
Casa Pia
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25
D
Arouca
0
Casa Pia
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 29/04/25
L
Estoril
3
Casa Pia
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
D
AVS
1
Casa Pia
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
L
FC Porto
1
Casa Pia
0
Player to watch: Nene (Anderson Miguel da Silva)
Not many players in Europe are still active at this level at the age of 42, but Nene is one of them. The Brazilian’s goal against Arouca was his 30th in 60 appearances across all competitions for AVS and could be enough to earn him a starting spot this weekend – and it will be interesting to see how the veteran performs.
