Aston Villa will be aiming to solidify their position in the Premier League‘s top four when they host Leeds United on Saturday, February 21. The Villains lost ground in recent weeks and were dumped out of the FA Cup last weekend at home to Newcastle, but they must quickly focus on what awaits them this weekend.
Despite being only six points clear of the drop zone, Leeds are looking like a team that are less likely to go back down, as they have improved drastically since December.
The Whites themselves booked a place in the FA Cup fifth round after seeing off Birmingham City last weekend, and they will hope to translate some of that form into this away date with third-placed Aston Villa.
Explore our Aston Villa vs Leeds United betting tips below.
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Aston Villa vs Leeds United prediction: A tough and tricky opponent
Key stats
- Villa have only won two of their last five Premier League matches, losing twice in that run.
- Leeds are on a run of losing just one of their last seven outings.
- Since the start of December, only the Manchester clubs have lost fewer games than Leeds' two.
- Under the guidance of Unai Emery, the hosts have never lost to a newly-promoted club, winning 14 of 18 such fixtures.
Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-2 Leeds United
The home side are in a patch of indifferent form, and understandably so, considering their squad is being stretched due to European commitments. Conversely, the new boys are enjoying a decent spell, losing only to Arsenal across their last seven league outings. Leeds' most recent away date in the Premier League saw them rescue a 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge, after going two goals down. Altogether, the visitors scored five goals in their most recent two league matches, which means Villa must remain switched on to prevent Leeds from punishing them.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa expected to dominate
- HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
- DRAW: 13/5 (14.00) – 7.1%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
With Aston Villa currently in third place, it does not come as a surprise that they would be favourites to win this one, as they have a 54.1% chance to snatch all three points. The visitors have been given a 25% shot at leaving Villa Park with a victory, while a draw appears to be the least likely according to the bookmakers. A stalemate comes in at a 7.1% chance, despite both teams being in different places in terms of form.
We have more free betting tips for today to help you out with the best possible selections.
Most recent H2Hs: History on the Villains' side
Recently, Aston Villa have had the better of Leeds, as they are seeking their seventh straight win over the visitors. The hosts have only ever done the double over the Whites once before, which means there is added incentive for the home side to get over the line. Emery's troops left with a 2-1 win when his side visited Elland Road in November last year. Daniel Farke will no doubt point to Leeds' 3-0 triumph that they bagged at Villa Park back in 2020 as inspiration for this upcoming encounter.
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Aston Villa preview: Cash could return
Emery's right back, Matty Cas,h missed Villa's previous two outings, but could make a return to the lineup here. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Marco Bizot received a red card in the FA Cup last week, which means he will sit this one out through suspension. Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn and Youri Tielemans continue being sidelined through injury.
Predicted lineup: Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen; Onana, Luiz; Rogers, Buendia, Bailey; Abraham
Last five matches
- 14/02/26: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle (FA Cup)
- 11/02/26: Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton (Premier League)
- 07/02/26: Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa (Premier League)
- 01/02/26: Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford (Premier League)
- 29/01/26: Aston Villa 3-2 Salzburg (Europa League)
Leeds United preview: Struijk and Stach likely to miss out
Farke will travel to Villa with the services of Pascal Struijk and Anton Stach in major doubt, as both players are battling hip injuries. With three goal involvements in Leeds' last three outings, Noah Okafor will be missed if he does not pass a fitness test ahead of this battle with the Villains.
Predicted lineup: Darlow; Justin, Rodon, Bijol; Bogle, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson; Gnonto, Aaronson; Calvert-Lewin
Last five matches
- 15/02/26: Birmingham 1-1 Leeds (p) (FA Cup)
- 10/02/26: Chelsea 2-2 Leeds (Premier League)
- 06/02/26: Leeds 3-1 Nottingham Forest (Premier League)
- 31/01/26: Leeds 0-4 Arsenal (Premier League)
- 26/01/26: Everton 1-1 Leeds (Premier League)
Player to watch: Morgan Rogers
Aston Villa's joint-top scorer in the league is Morgan Rogers with eight goals, two of which he netted at Elland Road in their 2-1 triumph. With two goals in his last five appearances in all competitions, the England man is due for a return this weekend.