Finished
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Burnley - Aston Villa
England Premier League - Turf Moor
3rd Round
Prediction 1
BTTS
7/10 (1.70)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Over 2.5 Goals
5/6 (1.83)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Top Two Betting Tips for Burnley vs Aston Villa
Here are our Premier League predictions for Sunday's match between Burnley and Aston Villa. Kompany's men haven't played since that opening-day defeat at home to Man City due to the restrictions regarding Luton's ability to play at home. Aston Villa recovered from their thrashing at Newcastle by hammering Everton 4-0 at Villa Park last weekend and looking a lot more like the side we expect to see this season.
Contents
Both Teams to Score
- Both teams have scored in five of the last six meetings between these two clubs.
- Burnley have only failed to score in two of their last six competitive and non-competitive matches.
- Aston Villa scored four times against Everton and then five times against Hibs in midweek.
Over 2.5 Goals
- Four of the last six encounters between Burnley and Aston Villa have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Burnley's last two home games have witnessed at least three goals scored.
- Each of Aston Villa's last six outings in all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Odds & Probabilities
Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Burnley vs Aston Villa.
Head to Head
19/05/22
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Burnley
1
1
07/05/22
England Premier League EPL
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
3
27/01/21
England Premier League EPL
Burnley
Aston Villa
3
2
17/12/20
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Burnley
0
0
01/01/20
England Premier League EPL
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
2
Last Five - Burnley
05/12/23
England Premier League EPL
Wolverhampton
Burnley
1
0
L
02/12/23
England Premier League EPL
Sheff Utd
Burnley
0
5
W
25/11/23
England Premier League EPL
West Ham
Burnley
2
1
L
11/11/23
England Premier League EPL
Arsenal
Burnley
3
1
L
04/11/23
England Premier League EPL
Crystal Palace
Burnley
2
0
L
Last Five - Aston Villa
06/12/23
England Premier League EPL
Man City
Aston Villa
0
1
W
03/12/23
England Premier League EPL
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
2
2
D
30/11/23
UEFA Conference League UEFA
Legia Warsaw
Aston Villa
1
2
W
26/11/23
England Premier League EPL
Tottenham
Aston Villa
1
2
W
12/11/23
England Premier League EPL
Fulham
Aston Villa
1
3
W
Burnley odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
Draw odds: 77/29 (3.66) – 27.4%
Aston Villa odds: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.
Aston Villa are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 45.5%, but we are expecting a close and competitive 90-minutes between the two clubs. For more football betting tips on Sunday's match, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. You can back Watkins to score on Sunday at 9/5 (2.80) with a probability of 35.7%, Diaby and 13/5 (3.60) which has a probability of 27.8% or if you want to back a Burnley player to find the back of the net, Rodriquez has odds of 14/5 (3.80) with a probability of 26.3%.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Lineups & Last Match
Burnley
Burnley were brought back down to earth in the opening game of the new season at home to the Premier League champions, Man City. Haaland scored twice and Rodri added a third before insult was added to injury late on when Kompany's side were reduced to 10-men following a late challenge by Zaroury that was deemed worthy of a straight red card. So, Zaroury is suspended and there are injury concerns for Beyer, Obafemi and Churlinov this weekend.
Predicted Lineup – Trafford (GK), Roberts, O'Shea, Beyer, Vitinho, Al Dakhil, Berge, Cullen, Koleosho, Foster & Amdouni
Aston Villa
Aston Villa gave their fans something to shout about on Sunday following the 5-1 thrashing they received at St James' Park a week earlier. Villa dominated Everton from start to finish, exploiting the Toffee's poor defending to score four times without reply. McGinn put the home side in front after 18-minutes and a penalty from Luiz made it 2-0 heading into the break. Villa picked up where they left off in the first half, making it 3-0 in the 51st-minute and adding a fourth through substitute Duran 15-minutes from time. Buendia, Mings, Ramsey, Dendoncker, Coutinho, Moreno and Iroegbunam are the main injury concerns for the visitors ahead of their trip to Turf Moor.
Predicted Lineup – Martínez (GK), Digne, Torres, Konsa, Cash, McGinn, Bailey, Kamara, Luiz, Watkins & Diaby
Starting Lineups
Burnley
Aston Villa
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Moussa Diaby
A lot of big-name teams looked at Diaby over the last few seasons with Newcastle coming close to securing his signature last summer. However, Aston Villa won the battle to sign the French attacker and the 24-year-old looks like a perfect fit for the Premier League.
After impressing at Bayer Leverkusen, Diaby made the move to the Premier League this summer, scoring on his debut against Newcastle and causing the Everton defence plenty of issues last time out. As well as his pace and finishing ability, Diaby has great awareness, popping up in areas of space in and around the opposition's area causing defences to panic as we saw against Everton.
We're backing Diaby to impress once again this weekend at Truf Moor where he is likely to find those pockets of space that cause Burnely plenty of headaches and may well lead to a goal or two for his team.
