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Aston Villa - Burnley
England Premier League - Villa Park
Prediction 1
BTTS
22/25 (1.88)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
3-1 Aston Villa
10/1 (11.00)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
Here are our Premier League predictions for Aston Villa vs Burnley. Both of these teams will be hoping to bounce back from Boxing Day defeats but it's the hosts Aston Villa that head into this match as the clear favourite to win with all bookmakers.
Contents
Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Both Teams to Score
- Both teams have scored in each of Aston Villa's last four matches.
- Six of the last seven head-to-heads between these two clubs have ended with both teams scoring.
Another reason that we have backed BTTS as our main prediction is that Aston Villa have only kept two clean sheets in their last six attempts.
Latest odds
Head to Head
27/08/23
England Premier League EPL
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
3
19/05/22
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Burnley
1
1
07/05/22
England Premier League EPL
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
3
27/01/21
England Premier League EPL
Burnley
Aston Villa
3
2
17/12/20
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Burnley
0
0
Last Five - Aston Villa
10/05/25
England Premier League EPL
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
0
1
W
03/05/25
England Premier League EPL
Fulham
Aston Villa
0
1
W
26/04/25
England FA Cup FA Cup
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
3
0
L
22/04/25
England Premier League EPL
Man City
Aston Villa
2
1
L
19/04/25
England Premier League EPL
Newcastle
Aston Villa
1
4
W
Last Five - Burnley
03/05/25
England Championship CHA
Millwall
Burnley
1
3
W
26/04/25
England Championship CHA
QPR
Burnley
0
5
W
21/04/25
England Championship CHA
Sheff Utd
Burnley
1
2
W
18/04/25
England Championship CHA
Watford
Burnley
1
2
W
11/04/25
England Championship CHA
Norwich
Burnley
1
2
W
Win probability
- HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75%
- DRAW: 23/5 (5.60) – 17.9%
- AWAY: 19/2 (10.50) – 9.5%
Aston Villa are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 75%, and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this pick. If you want more football betting tips on this Premier League encounter, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Ollie Watkins is the favouirite to score in this game at 13/14 (1.93) which has a probability of 51.9%, but you could go with Burnley's Zeki Amdouni to score at 5/1 (6.00) with a probability of 16.7%.
Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction – Other tips
Correct Score: 3-1
- Aston Villa's last two wins against Burnley both ended 3-1.
- Aston Villa have conceded at least one goal in each of their last four fixtures.
Over 2.5 Goals
- Five of the last seven encounters between Aston Villa and Burnley have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Two of Aston Villa's last three league games have ended with at least three goals scored.
Aston Villa vs Burnley team news
Aston Villa
Aston Villa fans will still be scratching their heads at just how their side didn't take home all three points at Old Trafford on Boxing Day. John McGinn fired the visitors in front in the twenty-first minute and a rare goal from Leander Dendoncker put Villa 2-0 up at the interval. However, Man Utd scored three times without a reply in the second half to win the match 3-2, much to the disappointment of the away fans.
Lucas Digne had to be taken off during that defeat and now looks set to join Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Robin Olsen, Youri Tielemans and Pau Torres on the sidelines. Boubacar Kamara misses the game through suspension but Matty Caszh returns to the side.
Predicted Lineup: Martínez (GK), Moreno, Lenglet, Carlos, Cash, Dendoncker, McGinn, Bailey, Luiz, Ramsey & Watkins
Burnley
Burnley went down 2-0 in their own backyard against Liverpool last time out. The visitors scored a goal in each half to secure all three points in what was a fairly closely fought game.
Luca Koleosho and Jack Cork are both expected to miss the trip to Villa Park this weekend due to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK), Taylor, O'Shea, Beyer, Vitinho, Brownhill, Berge, Trésor, Foster, Amdouni & Odobert
Aston Villa
Burnley
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Leon Bailey
Aston Villa's Jamaican winger might not have been an automatic starter this season but whenever he has featured, the former Bayer Leverkusen man has produced.
Despite only starting seven league games this season, Bailey has provided five goals and five assists for Unai Emery's side and we're backing the winger to put in another good performance against a leaky Burnley defence on Saturday, helping to guide Aston Villa back to winning ways.
