Latvia will host Armenia on Sunday, 17 November, in the final round of this UEFA Nations League edition, in League C.
Can Latvia take advantage of playing at home to secure a win or will Armenia resist them as two teams fight to avoid relegation playoffs? Read our Latvia vs Armenia predictions and preview to find that out.
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Latvia vs Armenia prediction: A low-scoring draw on hands?
Key stats
- Three of the previous five duels between these teams have gone under 2.5 total goals.
- Armenia have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their five Nations League games.
- Latvia have gone under 2.5 total goals in eight of their last 10 games across the board.
Correct score prediction: Latvia 1-1 Armenia
While Armenia have beaten Latvia 4-1 in their first duel, we expect a much closer game this time around, especially in light of Armenia's loss to Faroe Islands a few days ago. Still, the guests should be able to hold on to a draw at least to avoid relegation playoffs.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Armenia the more likely winners
- HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
- AWAY: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.40%
We can see from these Latvia vs Armenia odds that the bookies see the guests as the expected winners, although by a small margin, so the hosts aren't without their chances either.
This makes sense given that Armenia are 99th in FIFA rankings, while Latvia are 137th. On the other hand, the two teams are tied in their Nations League group and Latvia will have the home-court advantage.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Two teams tied so far
We saw these two teams meet five times in their history and they are currently tied with two wins each, along with one draw. Armenia have beaten Latvia 4-1 in their most recent meeting back in September.
UEFA Nations League C 07/09/24
Armenia
Latvia
Euro 2023 Qualifying 12/10/23
Latvia
Armenia
Euro 2023 Qualifying 19/06/23
Armenia
Latvia
International Match 03/09/14
Latvia
Armenia
Latvia preview: Hoping for revenge against Armenia
After starting this edition of the Nations League with a 4-1 loss to Armenia, Latvia have done better in the next four games, securing four points. However, they are still last in the group despite being tied with Armenia in points due to having a worse goal difference. So, Latvia have to beat Armenia in the last round of group stages to avoid relegation playoffs and ensure they stay in League C of the competition.
Predicted lineup: Matrevics (GK), Jurkovskis, Cernomordijs, Jagodinskis, Savalnieks, Jaunzems, Vapne, Zelenkovs, Ciganiks, Uldrikis & Gutkovskis
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25
L
England
3
Latvia
0
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W
Andorra
0
Latvia
1
UEFA Nations League C 17/11/24
L
Armenia
2
Latvia
1
UEFA Nations League C 14/11/24
L
North Macedonia
1
Latvia
0
UEFA Nations League C 13/10/24
D
Faroe Islands
1
Latvia
1
Armenia preview: Hoping to put their last game behind them
With four points from five games in the UEFA Nations League, Armenia share the last place in the group with Latvia, although they are ahead by virtue of better goal difference. So, even a draw in their upcoming meeting would secure Armenia their place in League C, while a loss would put them into relegation playoffs. That being said, Armenia enter this game after a shocking loss to Faroe Islands at home.
Predicted lineup: Cancarevic (GK), Hambardzumyan, Haroyan, Arutiunian, Tiknizyan, Iwu, Bichakhchyan, Shaghoyan, Ranos, Sperstyan & Zelarayan
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L
Georgia
6
Armenia
1
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L
Georgia
3
Armenia
0
UEFA Nations League C 17/11/24
W
Latvia
1
Armenia
2
UEFA Nations League C 14/11/24
L
Faroe Islands
1
Armenia
0
UEFA Nations League C 13/10/24
L
North Macedonia
2
Armenia
0
Player to watch: Vladislavs Gutkovskis
With 11 goals in Latvia's jersey, Gutkovskis is one of the team's top scorers overall and his failure to score in this edition of the UEFA Nations League is one of the reasons why Latvia have struggled to get points. In any case, Gutkovskis is the team's biggest threat up front and he's our player to watch against Armenia.
