Real Sociedad vs Almeria prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/04/2024

14/04/24 - 20:00

Finished

2

-

2

Real Sociedad - Almeria

Spain La Liga - Reale Arena

Real Sociedad welcome rock bottom Almeria to the Reale Arena this weekend in La Liga. Our Real Sociedad vs Almeria prediction explores whether the hosts can record a fourth straight league win.

Real Sociedad vs Almeria prediction: Basques to win to nil

Key Stats

• Our Real Sociedad vs Almeria betting tips take into account the visitors having lost 80% of their away league games this term.
• In an upturn in form, La Real have won all three matches since exiting the Champions League.
• Almeria have lost all eight away matches against current top-half opponents, conceding 21 times in those games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Sociedad huge favourites

• HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
• DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
• AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the red-hot favourites according to the Real Sociedad vs Almeria odds, with an implied probability of 76.9% that they put three points on the board to bolster their European ambitions.

Real Sociedad are in good form with defender Jon Pacheco, their unlikely match-winner last time out in the 1-0 victory at Alaves. Almeria won their first game of the season in their first match under new boss Pepe Mel but followed that up with a poor 3-0 home defeat against Osasuna last time out.

For more picks from other games around Europe, today’s football tips guide you through the best bets this weekend. 

Last five H2Hs: La Real the dominant force

Spain La Liga 11/11/23

Almeria

1

Real Sociedad

3

Spain La Liga 23/05/23

Real Sociedad

1

Almeria

0

Spain La Liga 08/01/23

Almeria

0

Real Sociedad

2

Spain La Liga 13/02/15

Almeria

2

Real Sociedad

2

Spain La Liga 21/09/14

Real Sociedad

1

Almeria

2

Our Real Sociedad vs Almeria prediction is backed up by the recent history with Imanol’s team having won all three meetings since Almeria won promotion to the top flight in 2022. Almeria last won this fixture a decade ago with a 2-1 victory in Donostia.

Real Sociedad Preview: Kubo passed fit

Take Kubo looks to have recovered from a knock and should start for the hosts. Brais Mendez is their only significant injury absentee, with a couple of fringe players also out.

Predicted Lineup: Remiro (GK), Galan, Le Normand, Zubeldia, Traore, Merino, Zubimendi, Zakharyan, Barrenetxea, Oyarzabal, Kubo

Spain La Liga 12/04/25

L

Mallorca

2

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 06/04/25

W

Las Palmas

1

Real Sociedad

3

Spain Copa del Rey 01/04/25

D

Real Madrid

4

Real Sociedad

4

Spain La Liga 29/03/25

W

Valladolid

1

Real Sociedad

2

Spain La Liga 16/03/25

D

Rayo Vallecano

2

Real Sociedad

2

Almeria Preview: Mel to make changes

Pepe Mel is missing the suspended Gonzalo Melero, while Luis Suarez and Aleksandar Radovanovic are out injured. He could make other changes after a heavy defeat.

Predicted Lineup: Maximiano (GK), Centelles, Edgar, Montes, Pubill, Peña, Robertone, Embarba, Viera, Ramazani, Baptistao

Spain Segunda 13/04/25

W

FC Cartagena

1

Almeria

2

Spain Segunda 05/04/25

L

Granada

3

Almeria

1

Spain Segunda 29/03/25

W

Levante

0

Almeria

1

Spain Segunda 21/03/25

L

Burgos

3

Almeria

1

Spain Segunda 15/03/25

W

Real Zaragoza

1

Almeria

4

Player to watch – Mikel Oyarzabal

Mikel Oyarzabal is Real Sociedad’s top scorer in La Liga this term with eight goals. While it hasn’t been his best campaign, he has managed to stay fit mostly and will be hoping to kick on next term after fighting back from a serious injury last year.

A bigger threat after the break

A total of 88% of Oyarzabal’s league goals this season have come in the second half. His favourite time to score has been between the 61st and 75th minutes which is when five of his eight league strikes have come.