Aston Villa vs Ajax prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/03/2024

14/03/24 - 20:00

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Aston Villa - Ajax

UEFA Conference League - Villa Park

4th Round

After an uneventful draw in the first leg, Aston Villa will host Ajax in the second leg of Europa Conference League Round of 16 on Thursday, 14 March.

Will we see a more interesting game as both teams look for their spot in the quarter-finals? Read our Aston Villa vs Ajax prediction to learn more about this game, but don't forget to look at our other exciting Conference League predictions either.

Aston Villa vs Ajax prediction: Villa to get to the next stage

Key stats

• Aston Villa have lost just once in Europe this season.
• Ajax have won just two games during their European campaign.
• We saw both teams score in five of the last seven Aston Villa's games across the board.
• Both teams have scored in seven of Ajax's 11 games in Europe this season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa viewed as heavy favourites

• HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.40%
• DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.80%
• AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.40%

It's clear from these Aston Villa vs Ajax odds that Villa are the expected winners here, which is understandable given that they will have the home court advantage. So, there's very little worth in this market and we'd advise looking at our other free betting tips ahead of this clash.

That being said, Ajax still have a chance despite their poor performances this season overall, but they'll have to be at their best if they are to be the first team to beat Aston Villa at home in Europe this season.

Last five H2Hs: Third meeting in history

The first and only time these two teams met before last week was in 2008, in group stages of Europa League. Aston Villa won this match, so they remain unbeaten against Ajax. Meanwhile, Aston Villa played only four times against Dutch teams, with a record of three wins and one draw.

On the other hand, Ajax met with English teams much more throughout their history, so check their record against English clubs in this article.

Aston Villa preview: Emery's side looking for an emphatic win

After drawing in the first leg in Amsterdam, Aston Villa are in good position ahead of the second leg of this tie. Meanwhile, the team has been inconsistent lately, which they proved with a rough 4-0 loss to Tottenham in Premier League over the weekend.

When it comes to team news, Ezri Konsa is suspended for this match, while Emi Buendia, Boubacar Kamara, Tyrone Mings, Jhon Duran, and Jacob Ramsey are out with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Martinez – Cash, Carlos, Torres, Moreno – McGinn, Luiz, Iroegbunam, Tielemans – Diaby, Watkins

England FA Cup 09/02/25

W

Tottenham

1

Aston Villa

2

England Premier League 01/02/25

L

Wolverhampton

2

Aston Villa

0

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

W

Celtic

2

Aston Villa

4

England Premier League 26/01/25

D

West Ham

1

Aston Villa

1

UEFA Champions League 21/01/25

L

Monaco

1

Aston Villa

0

Ajax preview: Dutch giants hoping to fix their European woes

While Ajax have managed to turn around their shocking early season form in the Eredivisie, they are continuing to have woes in Europe. Only two wins in Europe this season has them facing a premature exit from the Conference League, especially after they failed to beat Aston Villa at home in the first leg.

Meanwhile, Tristan Gooijer will have to sit this match out after being sent off in the first leg, while Steven Bergwijn and Steven Berghuis are on the sidelines with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Ramaj – Kaplan, Hato, Medic – Sosa, Tahirovic, Van den Boomen, Forbs – Taylor, Hlynsson – Brobbey

Netherlands Eredivisie 09/02/25

W

Fortuna Sittard

0

Ajax

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 02/02/25

W

Feyenoord

1

Ajax

2

UEFA Europa League 30/01/25

W

Galatasaray

1

Ajax

2

UEFA Europa League 23/01/25

L

Rigas FS

1

Ajax

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 19/01/25

W

Heerenveen

0

Ajax

2

Player to watch – Ollie Watkins

It's no surprise that Ollie Watkins is the main man Ajax must keep an eye on this midweek. The England international has been in fine form all season but even more so in the last five games for Villa having scored five times.

Is a goal guaranteed if handed a start?

Watkins managed to find the back of the net just twice during Villa's group stage adventure, but he was only afforded two starts by Emery in the group stages. So, he will clearly pose the biggest threat to Ajax in this match.