AFCON penalty shootout records: DR Congo boast the strongest win rate

We have analysed the AFCON penalty shootout records of the four semi-finalists set to face off in the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) on Wednesday. Nigeria v South Africa kicks off an exciting evening, before hosts Ivory Coast try to get past DR Congo and reach Sunday's final.

Check out our AFCON name the finalists betting tips to see which two teams are most and least likely to make the final based on current market odds, while we dive in to their respective penalty shootout histories in the tournament:

AFCON penalty shootout records: DR Congo boast the strongest win rate

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Nigeria – 0/1 penalty shootout wins (0%)

Nigeria have only played in one penalty shootout at AFCON before, which was a 4-3 defeat to Cameroon in the 1999/00 final. The game finished 2-2 in normal time, with Super Eagles legend Nwankwo Kanu among those to have missed his spot-kick!

In terms of the current squad, William Troost-Ekong scored a decisive penalty in Nigeria's 1-0 win over Ivory Coast in the group stage, and so can be relied upon from the spot. Moses Simon also took two penalties in friendlies leading up to the tournament – scoring one and missing one – but that miss was only one of 10 in his club and international career, as he scored the other nine.

Betting markets have given 13/5 odds of a draw between Nigeria and South Africa in normal time, but a Nigeria win is rated more likely at 5/8.

Ronwen Williams was the hero for South Africa in the quarter finals - Photo by Icon Sport
Photo by Icon Sport

South Africa – 2/3 penalty shootout wins (67%)

South Africa have participated in three AFCON penalty shootouts, winning two and losing the other. They won their first one 4-3 against Tunisia in a third-place play-off in 1999/00, after a 2-2 draw in normal time. However, their second one was a 3-1 loss to Mali after a 1-1 draw in normal time in the 2012/13 quarter-final, with Siphiwe Tshabalala the only player to convert.

Of course, South Africa recently defeated Cape Verde via a penalty shootout in this year's quarter-final, with Teboho Mokoena and Mothobi Mvala scoring, but Zakhele Lepas and Aubrey Modiba missing from 12 yards in a 2-1 victory after a 0-0 stalemate in normal time.

Percy Tau has also taken two penalties at AFCON so far – one he missed in South Africa's 2-0 defeat to Mali, and the other scored in their 4-0 win over Namibia. He also has a 50% success ratio in terms of career penalties (2/4), and so can be deemed unpredictable from the spot.

Betting markets have given 13/5 odds of a draw between Nigeria and South Africa in normal time, but a Nigeria win is rated more likely at 5/8.

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Ivory Coast – 3/8 penalty shootout wins (38%)

Ivory Coast have a poor record when it comes to AFCON penalty shootouts. They have only won three of seven, although the hosts did beat holders Senegal 5-4 on penalties in this year's round of 16 after a 1-1 draw in normal time. Their most recent defeat was in the last tournament against Egypt, going down 5-4 on penalties in the round of 16 after a 0-0 draw in normal time.

Nicolas Pepe, Christian Kouame, Sebastien Haller, Serge Aurier and Franck Kessie made it a perfect five against one of the pre-tournament favourites, and so they can be relied upon should their semi-final go to spot-kicks again.

Betting markets have given 2/1 odds of a draw between Ivory Coast and DR Congo in normal time, but an Ivory Coast win is rated more likely at 16/13.

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Photo by Icon Sport

DR Congo – 3/4 penalty shootout wins (75%)

DR Congo have been more successful than not at AFCON penalty shootouts, winning three of four – including their 8-7 victory against Egypt in this year's round of 16 after a 1-1 draw in normal time. Their sole loss was a shock 4-2 defeat to Madagascar in the 2018/19 round of 16 after a 2-2 stalemate in normal time.

Arthur Masuaku was the only DR Congo player to miss in the shootout against the Pharaohs, and so should not be relied upon from the spot. Cedric Bakambu also missed in their 1-1 draw with Morocco in the group stage, while Yoane Wissa scored in their 3-1 victory over Guinea in the quarter-finals.

Betting markets have given 2/1 odds of a draw between Ivory Coast and DR Congo in normal time, but an Ivory Coast win is rated more likely at 16/13.


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Adam Clancy

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, of whom he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.