The intensity of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations group stage games continues as Zambia face a difficult challenge against the host country, Morocco, on Monday at the Levy Mwanawasa Stadium.
Zambia have displayed resilience during this AFCON campaign, grinding out draws against Mali and Comoros, the latter ending scoreless. However, that performance raised concerns, as the Copper Bullets failed to test the opposition goalkeeper even once.
With a fourth consecutive group-stage elimination looming, managing the margin of defeat could prove vital, as goal difference may ultimately determine whether Zambia can sneak through as one of the best third-placed teams.
Morocco, meanwhile, were surprisingly stalled on matchday two, settling for a 1-1 draw with Mali in a contest decided entirely by penalties. That result denied the Atlas Lions the chance to seal qualification early.
The 2022 World Cup semi-finalists will be eager to respond emphatically, aiming to reassert their dominance and send a strong message to the rest of the tournament participants.
Read our Zambia vs Morocco predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other AFCON predictions.
Contents
Zambia vs Morocco prediction: Atlas Lions to claim victory
Key statistics
- BTTS has been scored in three of their last five meetings.
- Morocco have won the last five encounters against Zambia.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five clashes.
Correct score prediction: Zambia 1-2 Morocco
We expect the visitors to come out on top in what should be an easy game for them based on the form they are in heading into this clash. Zambia have struggled to build momentum and have managed only one draw in their last five games.
The Atlas Lions are well-positioned to secure the win in this game, with the match favouring a 2-1 victory. They will also be boosted by their home fans, with them being the host of the tournament. The recent history between the two sides in major tournaments has also favoured Morocco, giving them the edge in this tie.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Morocco are sure favourites
- Home: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
- Draw: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- Away: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers expect a one-sided contest, with Morocco priced at just 1.20, implying an overwhelming 83.3% chance of victory. Zambia are heavy outsiders at 12.00 (8.3%), reflecting their recent struggles and lack of cutting edge in attack, while the draw is available at 5.50 (18.2%). The odds suggest that anything other than a Morocco win would be a major surprise.
Most recent head-to-head: Dominate record for the Atlas Lions
The previous fixture suggests that the host country have held a significant advantage over their Zambian side in recent years. In their last five competitive meetings, Morocco have recorded five victories, while Zambia have none.
The most recent match between the two took place in 2025, during the FIFA World Cup qualifiers, where the Atlas Lions claimed a 2-0 victory over the Chipolopolo.
Going further back, the sides met at the African Nations Championship in 2025, with Morocco also claiming a 3-1 win. This sequence of six recent meetings demonstrates that Morocco have been dominant against their opponent.
Africa - World Cup Qualifying 07/06/24
Morocco
Zambia
Africa Cup of Nations 24/01/24
Zambia
Morocco
African Nations Championship 31/01/21
Morocco
Zambia
International Match 16/06/19
Morocco
Zambia
After reviewing our key Zambia vs Morocco predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Zambia preview: No injury concerns
Zambia head into this fixture with a clean bill of health, as there are no injury or suspension concerns for the Copper Bullets, giving the coaching staff full freedom in team selection.
Predicted lineup: Mwanza (GK), Banda, Sakala, Chanda, Musonda, Kangwa, Tembo, Simukonda, Banda, Daka & Sakala
Last five fixtures
- 26.12.25 – Zambia 0–0 Comoros
- 22.12.25 – Mali 1–1 Zambia
- 16.12.25 – D.R. Congo 2–0 Zambia
- 18.11.25 – Angola 3–2 Zambia
- 15.11.25 – South Africa 3–1 Zambia
Morocco preview: One key player missing
Morocco, however, will be without Hamza Igamane, who is sidelined through injury. Aside from that setback, the Atlas Lions have no other confirmed absentees as they look to secure progression to the knockout stages.
Predicted lineup: Bounou (GK), Mazraoui, El Yamiq, Aguerd, Salah-Eddine, Amrabat, Brahim, El Aynaoui, Ounahi, Saibari & El Kaabi
Last five fixtures
- 26.12.25 – Morocco 1–1 Mali
- 21.12.25 – Morocco 2–0 Comoros
- 18.12.25 – Jordan 2–3 Morocco
- 15.12.25 – Morocco 3–0 United Arab Emirates
- 11.12.25 – Morocco 1–0 Syria
Player to watch: Brahim Diaz
Morocco midfielder Brahim Diaz is the player to watch in this match because he has become the focal point of the national team's attack. He was instrumental in the opening game of the tournament and scored the opening goal for his team.
The playmaker is known for his incredible technical skill and his ability to create goal-scoring opportunities out of nothing. He possesses the vision to find his teammates with precise passes and is equally dangerous when he decides to take a shot himself.