An intriguing Welsh derby awaits in the Championship as Wrexham welcome Swansea City to the Racecourse Ground on Friday night.
The Red Dragons will have full focus on trying to get promoted to the Premier League now having been knocked out 4-2 at home by Chelsea in the FA Cup last time out, while the Swans are hoping for a late play-off push as they sit just four places and five points behind their Welsh rivals in 11th place.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below using odds from bet365, and make sure to check out our Today's betting tips page for more of our free expert Championship predictions!
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Wrexham vs Swansea City key stats
- Wrexham have lost their last two games on home soil.
- Swansea have won their previous two matches, and have lost just once in five.
- Swansea are also unbeaten in the last four H2Hs, winning the previous three.
Wrexham vs Swansea City preview: Swans to cause an upset?
| Wrexham | vs | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Position | 11th |
| 57 | Points | 52 |
| 55 | Goals For | 44 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 9th | Home Rank | 5th |
| 6th | Away Rank | 22nd |
What we can deduce from the table is aside from Wrexham being in a higher league position and collecting more points than Swansea in total so far, they are also much more clinical in front of goal with 11 more goals scored.
However, Swansea actually boast a better defensive record with three fewer goals conceded, as well as keeping two more clean sheets.
Wrexham have only failed to score in one game since December.
This suggests that while Wrexham may have few problems in actually getting on the scoresheet, they are also quite vulnerable down the other end of the pitch.
Another interesting pair of stats are the home and away rank, as Wrexham are actually slightly better on their travels, while Swansea are much better on home soil.
With this particular match-up being played at the Racecourse Ground, perhaps this does not suit either side, but Wrexham should still be installed as favourites on home soil and given their superior league position.
Zan Vipotnik is the Championship's top scorer with 17 goals.
Other metrics to take into consideration though are form as well as team news, with Wrexham coming into this off the back of two straight defeats with Swansea in contrast banking two successive victories.
The hosts could also be missing up to four first-team players with injury, although the visitors will be sweating on the fitness of top-scorer Zan Vipotnik themselves.
Overall, Wrexham will be fancied to win this one, but taking everything into account, we could see Swansea cause an upset.
Wrexham vs Swansea City form guide & betting tips
| Wrexham | vs | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| D-W-W-W-L | League Form | W-D-L-W-W |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 6th | Form Table | 8th |
| 11 | Goals For | 6 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 5 |
| W-W-W-L-L | Form (all comps) | W-D-L-W-W |
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Whispers predicts: Wrexham 1-1 Swansea
Wrexham are the 6/5 favourites with bet365 to win the game, but in a derby, anything can happen.
The formbook in the league is also identical, and so we are happy to back Swansea to sneak a draw at 9/4.
In terms of goals, the Swans are also conceding just one on average per match across their last five games, and so backing under 2.5 goals at 8/11 seems a logical shout.
For a more ambitious bet though, the correct score prediction of 1-1 has come through no fewer than 12 times combined between these clubs this season alone, and can also be backed at 5/1.
> Under 2.5 goals at 8/11 | Likelihood: Probable
> Match result - Draw at 9/4 | Likelihood: Possible
> Correct score - 1-1 at 5/1 | Likelihood: Outsider