One of the most entertaining 2026 World Cup groups delivered across all fronts.
With the Netherlands, Japan, Sweden and Tunisia, Group F was the one of the most interesting at the tournament going into the final round despite the latter already eliminated.
Football Whispers breaks down Group F in full, including fixtures, latest odds and predictions.
Contents
World Cup 2026 Group F winner odds
- Netherlands – 33/100 (Qualified ✅)
- Japan – 5/2 (Qualified ✅)
- Sweden – 16/1 (Qualified ✅)
- Tunisia – N/A (Eliminated ❌)
After three rounds, in terms of points or goal difference, the Netherlands and Japan finished inside the automatic qualification spots. The Oranje, from the beginning, remained odds-on favourites to win Group F.
Sweden managed to secure a top three spot thanks to their early win over Tunisia. he Eagles of Carthage went unbeaten in qualifying but were the third nation to exit the tournament.
World Cup 2026 Group F qualification odds
- Netherlands – N/A
- Japan – N/A
- Sweden – 1/33
- Tunisia – N/A
After three rounds, the final Group F standings are mathematically confirmed. Sweden's hopes of progression remain intact.
There is room for eight of the best 12 third-placed teams to qualify from the group stages this year, so it would be no shock to see Sweden go through.
World Cup 2026 Group F fixtures: Match-by-match schedule
Group F: Full Fixture Schedule
All six matches, with venues and kick-off times
Odds correct at time of publishing. UK kick-off times shown.
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2026 World Cup Group F predictions and betting angles
Netherlands
Two-time runners-up Netherlands are in the hunt for their first-ever World Cup triumph this summer. Four years ago, they made it through to the quarter-finals before cruelly losing on penalties to Argentina. Meanwhile, at Euro 2024, they lost in the dying minutes of their semi-final with England.
Ronald Koeman’s side opened with a 2-2 draw in their Group F opener against Japan. A goalless first period was followed by a thrilling second as the Blue Samurai emerged from the shadows to steal a point in the dying minutes.
The Netherlands stepped up a gear in their second match against Sweden. A brace in each half from Brian Brobbey and Cody Gakpo led the Oranje to a 5-1 victory in Houston. The Oranje are now unbeaten in 18 World Cup group stage fixtures since 2006, and in 14 straight World Cup matches since defeat in the 2010 final.
The Oranje's easiest fixtures came on the final day, as they beat Tunisia 3-1. An own goal from Ellyes Skhiri was followed by goals from Brian Brobbey and Jan van Hecke. Hazem Mastouri's second-half strike proved nothing more than a consolation for Tunisia.
They finish top with seven points, and will face another African side in Morocco in the round of 32.
Japan
Several members of this Japan squad are accustomed to being part of difficult World Cup groups. After being placed alongside Spain and Germany at Qatar in 2022, Japan made it through as group winners, proving their credentials at this level. Thy could finish first once again.
Japan came twice from behind in the second half against the Netherlands, showcasing their ability to upset big teams in high intensity situations. Their chances of topping the group isn’t entirely out of question, especially if they step up their game against Sweden
In their second game and the 1000th in World Cup history, the Blue Samurai were clinical, sealing a 4-0 win. A man-of-the-match performance by Ayase Ueda helped Japan score four goals for the first time ever at the World Cup.
Daizen Maeda opened the scoring with a deft dtrike against Sweden in their final group game, but Japan succumbed few minutes later to Anthony Elanga's goal.
Japan coach Hajime Moriyasu has a well-organised unit at his disposal. A mouthwatering last 32 clash against Brazil awaits the Blue Samurai.
Sweden
This is Sweden's first appearance at a World Cup since 2018 after failing to qualify for Qatar. Their route to 2026 edition has been unusual to say the least. They won none of their six qualifiers, picking up just two points along the way. They were ultimately bailed out by their Nations League performance, which earned them a place in the playoffs.
Graham Potter's men didn’t disappoint in their opening game against Tunisia. A rampant Swedish side made their presence known from the get-go, ultimately firing five past the Eagles of Carthage in a five-star performance.
In their second outing, Sweden were given a harsh reality check by an in-form Netherlands. They crumbled early to a Brian Brobbey brace, before conceding three more in the second period. That makes it seven winless games in eight against fellow European sides at the World Cup.
In their final group game, the Blagult held Japan to a thrilling 1-1 draw, with Antthony Elanga's 62nd minute strike cancelling Daizen Maeda's goal few minutes earlier.
Sweden finish third despite their shambolic penultimate game. Their next opponents will likely be either France or Norway.
Tunisia
Tunisia's World Cup qualifying performances were at the opposite end of the spectrum to Sweden's. The Eagles of Carthage picked up 28 points from a possible 30 in their qualifying group, making it to the finals with ease.
Despite that, Tunisia made the bold decision to change managers earlier this year following a poor Africa Cup of Nations campaign. Sami Trabelsi was replaced by Sabri Lamouchi in the hot seat. However, the latter was dismissed immediately after their 5-1 loss to Sweden – marking the earliest sacking at the World Cup.
French manager Herve Renard was appointed just three days before their second group game. It made little difference, as Tunisia were dealt another heavy blow. Japan scored two goals in either half for a clinical 4-0 victory.
Tunisia failed to pick themselves up on the final day, bidding goodbye following a 3-1 defeat to Netherlands after a poro first period.
The set of three heavy defeat means Tunisia are the third team to exit the tournament. They remain fourth.
Final Group F standings
- Netherlands – 7 points
- Japan – 5 points
- Sweden – 4 points
- Tunisia – 0 points