Premier League side Wolverhampton Wanderers have the home advantage against Championship side Burnley in the EFL Cup on Wednesday night and we're bringing you our predictions for the game.
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Wolves vs Burnley prediction: Goals expected at Molineux
Key stats
- At least three goals have been scored in four of Burnley's last six fixtures.
- Wolves have only failed to score in two of their last six outings.
- Both teams have scored in four of Burnley's last six matches.
Correct score prediction: Wolves 3-1 Burnley
While we expect both teams to make changes to their usual starting lineup on Wednesday night, we're backing Wolves to come out on top as 3-1 winners due to the depth of squad available to the Premier League side. Wolves are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Burnley, picking up wins in two of those encounters.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Wolves the clear favourite
- HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Wolves are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 57.9%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this one.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Wolves just in front
Wednesday's hosts have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five encounters with Burnley in all competitions, including friendlies.
England Premier League 02/04/24
Burnley
Wolverhampton
England Premier League 05/12/23
Wolverhampton
Burnley
England Premier League 24/04/22
Burnley
Wolverhampton
England Premier League 01/12/21
Wolverhampton
Burnley
England Premier League 25/04/21
Wolverhampton
Burnley
Wolves preview: Looking to end losing start
Gary O'Neil will be desperate to secure his first win of the season following back-to-back defeats in the Premier League.
In fairness to Wolves, they have played Arsenal away and Chelsea at home in their opening fixtures so there is no shame on them to have lost both matches.
O'Neil is unlikely to field the same starting lineup that lost heavily to Chelsea as Wolves have decent depth to their squad and fringe players will get a chance to impress in the cup competitions.
Enso Gonzalez Medina, Leon Chiwone and Sasa Kalajdzic will miss the midweek encounter through injury.
Predicted Lineup: Bentley (GK), Doherty, Ait-Nouri, Bueno, Dawson, Doyle, Guedes, Podence, R. Gomes, Strand Larsen & Sarabia
England Premier League 10/05/25
L
Brighton
2
Wolverhampton
0
England Premier League 02/05/25
L
Man City
1
Wolverhampton
0
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
Leicester
0
Wolverhampton
3
England Premier League 20/04/25
W
Man Utd
0
Wolverhampton
1
England Premier League 13/04/25
W
Tottenham
2
Wolverhampton
4
Burnley preview: The main focus is promotion
Scott Parker's side got off to a flying start to the season, hammering Luton Town and Cardiff City but their trip to Sunderland at the weekend ended in a narrow defeat.
Promotion is the only thing on Burnley's mind this season so we fully expected Parker to rotate his starting lineup for the trip to Wolves as the club simply don't need the distraction of a cup run and won't want to add to an already growing injury list.
Mike Tresor, Nathan Redmond, Hannes Delcroix, Hjalmar Ekdal, Louis Jordan Beyer, Ameen Al Dakhil and Aaron Ramsey are all currently injured and won't feature against Wolves.
Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK), Roberts, Sambo, Egan-Riley, Esteve, Pires, Brownhill, Massengo, Amdouni, Foster & Hountondji
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Millwall
1
Burnley
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
QPR
0
Burnley
5
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Sheff Utd
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Watford
1
Burnley
2
England Championship 11/04/25
W
Norwich
1
Burnley
2
Player to watch – Rodrigo Gomes
Rodrigo Gomes joined Wolves this summer from Portuguese side Braga and really impressed during pre-season.
The 21-year-old midfielder spent last season on loan at Estoril where he scored nine goals in 36 games across all competitions, prompting the Premier League side to take a chance on him.
Impressed in pre-season
We like what we saw from Gomes in pre-season and fully expect the young midfielder to start against Burnley on Wednesday and wouldn't be surprised if he came away with a goal or an assist as well as the man of the match award.