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West Ham United must win and realistically hope Tottenham lose to avoid relegation on the Premier League's final day as they host Leeds United at the London Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
The Hammers are two points behind Spurs, but have a vastly inferior goal difference, so anything other than a three-point swing will likely to see them drop down to the Championship.
Leeds have virtually nothing to play for, but can finish as high as 11th with victory themselves.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
West Ham United vs. Leeds United key stats
- West Ham have won two of their last three home games (L1).
- Leeds are winless in three away matches in all competitions (D2, L1).
- West Ham have also won two of the last three home Premier League H2Hs (L1).
West Ham United vs. Leeds United preview: Hammers to get home win?
West Ham vs Leeds — Tale of the Tape
| West Ham | vs | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 14th |
| 36 | Points | 47 |
| 43 | Goals For | 49 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 17th | Home / Away Rank | 18th |
West Ham landed on Nuno Espirito Santo to try to get them out of relegation trouble, but after a promising run of form, three straight defeats see them occupy 18th place heading into the final day.
With one of the worst defensive records in the division, the Hammers' goal difference is 12 worse than Tottenham's, so realistically they must win and hope Spurs lose to have any chance of staying up.
There is at least some good news on the injury front, as Adama Traore is expected to be West Ham's only absentee.
However, there is concern over the form of Jarrod Bowen, who has not scored in his last 13 appearances and has missed out on the England squad for the World Cup.
Leeds confirmed their Premier League safety a while ago, in what has been a great season for the promoted side as they also reached the FA Cup semi-final.
Daniel Farke was under pressure at the start of the season, but has really turned it around at Elland Road.
There is no pressure on the Whites here, but they could jump as many as three places to 11th with a victory.
However, Anton Stach has joined a growing injury list, although Jayden Bogle and Pascal Struijk are back in training.
West Ham United vs. Leeds United form guide & betting tips
| West Ham | vs | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
DWLLL |
Form | WDWDW |
| 4 | Points | 11 |
| 16th | Form Table | 4th |
| 3 | Goals For | 10 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 4 |
DWLLL |
Form (All Comps) | DLWDW |
Whispers predicts: West Ham United 2-1 Leeds United
West Ham are favourites to win with bookmakers, and given the need for victory, we are happy to back West Ham to win at 17/20.
With our other bets, we are willing to go niche, and one interesting stat is that the Hammers have conceded the most corners (228) in the league this term.
At an average of over six per game, backing Over 5.5 Leeds corners at 13/5 could be worth a punt.
Another bet focuses on Bowen, who although he has not scored, he has assisted eight of West Ham's last 12 goals.
Bowen Over 0.5 assists at 17/4 is therefore our final pick.
Overall, we are predicting a 2-1 West Ham victory, which is available at 8/1.
> West Ham to win at 17/20 | Likelihood: Probable
> Over 5.5 Leeds corners at 13/5 | Likelihood: Outsider
> Bowen Over 0.5 assists at 17/4 | Likelihood: Outsider