Plymouth vs Watford prediction
Watford in action against Oxford United - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Vakoun Bayo to score

Vakoun Bayo top scores for Watford this season with ten Championship goals and his xG stands at 11.6 which is the highest in the Hornet's squad by some distance.

Watford have the home advantage against the Championship's bottom club Plymouth and we're bringing you our predictions for Saturday's early kick-off.

Watford vs Plymouth prediction: Vakoun Bayo to star?

Key Stats

  • Vakoun Bayo is averaging 2.33 shots per 90 minutes in the Championship and has a shots on target ratio of 37.7%.
  • Both teams have scored in 55% of Watford's league games so far this season.
  • 53% of Plymouth's outings in the Championship have ended with both teams scoring.

Correct score prediction: Watford 2-1 Plymouth

We're backing Watford to claim a narrow 2-1 win against a Plymouth side that have lost 13 of their 19 away games this season. The hosts score an average of 1.26 goals per home game and concede an average of 1.21 goals, so you can see why we've backed a narrow 2-1 correct scoreline prediction in Watford's favour.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Watford the clear favourite

  • HOME: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Watford are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 58.8% and we can only see this game ending in victory for the hosts.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Watford in front

Saturday's hosts have won two and drawn three of their last five meetings with Plymouth. The pair played out a 2-2 draw in November's reverse league meeting.

England Championship 22/11/24

Plymouth

Plymouth

2
Watford

Watford

2

England EFL Cup 27/08/24

Watford

Watford

2
Plymouth

Plymouth

0

England Championship 01/01/24

Plymouth

Plymouth

3
Watford

Watford

3

England Championship 12/08/23

Watford

Watford

0
Plymouth

Plymouth

0

Watford preview: Undone in Oxford

Watford probably would have come away with a point from their last game away at Oxford United had they not had a player sent off late on.

With the game goalless heading into the 79th minute, Watford defender James Abankwah picked up his second yellow card of the game and three minutes later, Oxford scored the game's only goal.

Abankwah is now suspended for the Plymouth game and forward Kwadwo Baah and goalkeeper Daniel Bachmann are both doubts for the game due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Selvik (GK), Sierralta, Ngakia, Larouci, Morris, Sissoko, Ince, Chakvetadze, Dele-Bashiru, Louza & Bayo

England Championship 03/05/25

D

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

1

Watford

Watford

1

England Championship 26/04/25

L

Blackburn

Blackburn

2

Watford

Watford

1

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

1

Watford

Watford

0

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Burnley

Burnley

2

Watford

Watford

1

England Championship 12/04/25

L

West Brom

West Brom

2

Watford

Watford

1

Plymouth preview: Downed by Derby

Plymouth really needed a positive result before the international break when they played host to fellow strugglers Derby County.

The Rams raced into a two-goal lead inside the opening 26 minutes but Mustapha Bundu pulled a goal back for the hosts before the break and an own goal got Plymouth back onto level terms at the start of the second 45. However, Derby scored a dramatic winning goal in the 88th minute to claim what could prove to be a huge victory come the end of the season.

Defenders Maksym Talovierov and Brendan Galloway are expected to miss out this weekend due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Hazard (GK), Puchacz, Katic, Mumba, Szucs, Talovierov, Houghton, Wright, Gyabi, Hardie & Bundu

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Leeds

Leeds

2

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

England Championship 26/04/25

W

Preston

Preston

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

2

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Coventry

Coventry

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

3

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

2

Player to watch: Vakoun Bayo

Vakoun Bayo has impressed for Watford this season, scoring ten times in 34 appearances in the Championship.

Vakoun Bayo player to watch
Vakoun Bayo has ten goals in the Championship this season – Photo by Imago

The 28-year-old, who struggled to find his form in his first two seasons with the Hornets, top scores for Watford in his third campaign.

The Ivory Coast striker top scores for the Hornets

Bayo is going through a goal drought right now but if there was any game a striker could choose to get back to scoring ways it would be at home against the division's bottom club.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.